How Risky Are Cannabis Stocks in Light of the TMX Group Limited Review?

Cannabis stocks such as Aphria Inc. (TSX:APH) have dropped on news of regulatory review.

| More on:

Top cannabis stocks were down again on Wednesday, October 18, as the market has been struck with deep anxiety following the announcement from TMX Group Limited (TSX:X). The exchange group revealed that it would launch a review of companies listed on its markets to determine if business was being done in the United States where cannabis is still prohibited by federal law.

Cannabis firms that have violated federal law by doing business in the United States are at risk of being de-listed from the Toronto Stock Exchange and the TSX Venture Exchange. This would include markets in U.S. states that have legalized recreational cannabis use. So, a Canadian cannabis company operating in Colorado, which recently passed legalization, would still be in violation of federal law.

Shares of Aphria Inc. (TSX:APH) have dropped 9% since the news as of close on October 18. Aphria released a statement responding to both the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) staff notice and the TSX guidance on October 17. “We believe the new CSA staff notice provides a very balanced framework for the Canadian capital markets,” said CEO Vic Neufeld. “…We welcome the additional guidance on specific and enhanced disclosure requirements for U.S. marijuana-related activities as they pertain to the medical marijuana industry in Canada.”

A statement from Aphria also accused the TSX staff notice as being too broad in determining business that could be in violation in the United States. For reference, the company currently has a stake in an Arizona-based medical cannabis producer and originally had plans to begin early expansion into Florida.

Canopy Growth Corp. (TSX:WEED) has experienced a 6% decline since the news broke. However, leadership at Canopy was far more welcoming of the news than some of its key competitors. The company has focused on a push to Europe and has no U.S. interests to speak of. Canopy CEO Bruce Linton said that the company had only operated in jurisdictions in which it was permitted and has little to worry about.

In spite of the lack of U.S. investments for Canopy, its stock has become a victim of a broader sell off. This is after a surge since mid-July which has moved the stock up over 60% on a slew of positive news for the industry, as provincial plans have started to be fleshed out, and Canopy itself has moved forward on some key deals with public and private entities.

Are cannabis stocks destined for another period of volatility?

Investors in companies like Aphria, with stakes in the U.S., will obviously see enhanced risk over the course of this review. We must also balance the statements from the CSA, which seem to suggest that companies need simply divulge investments that breach U.S. federal law to satisfy the regulator.

This is not the first time cannabis stocks have been wracked by this threat. If anything, a conclusion of the review should bring some much-needed clarity to a market plagued by uncertainty due to conflict caused by Canadian recreational legalization.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Retirement
Dividend Stocks

Here’s the Average CPP Benefit at Age 60 in 2024

Dividend stocks like Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY) can provide passive income that supplements your CPP payments.

Read more »

Canadian Dollars
Dividend Stocks

How Investing $100 Per Week Can Create $1,500 in Annual Dividend Income

If you want high dividend income from just $100 per week, then pick up this dividend stock and keep reinvesting.…

Read more »

Retirement plan
Tech Stocks

Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $15,000 in These 3 Stocks

All you need are these three Canadian stocks to build a million-dollar portfolio.

Read more »

Target. Stand out from the crowd
Investing

1 Beaten-Down Stock That Could Be the Best Bet in the TSX

Enbridge (TSX:ENB) stock has been crushed in recent years, but it's showing signs of waking up!

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Wednesday, April 24

Corporate earnings, Canada’s retail sales data, and the ongoing geopolitical tensions will remain on TSX investors’ radar today.

Read more »

alcohol
Tech Stocks

3 Magnificent Stocks That Have Created Many Millionaires, and Will Continue to Make More

Shopify stock is an example of a millionaire-maker stock that is likely to continue to thrive in the long run.

Read more »

Couple relaxing on a beach in front of a sunset
Investing

3 Stocks to Buy Now That Could Help You Retire a Millionaire

These three Canadian stocks are highly reliable and have tremendous long-term growth potential, making them some of the best to…

Read more »

hand using ATM
Dividend Stocks

Should Bank of Nova Scotia or Enbridge Stock Be on Your Buy List Today?

These TSX dividend stocks trade way below their 2022 highs. Is one now undervalued?

Read more »