When Should You Invest in Gold Stocks?

Investors have long flocked to the safety of precious metals producers like Barrick Gold Corp. (TSX:ABX)(NYSE:ABX) in uncertain times. Are gold stocks still good investments?

| More on:

Gold miners have long held a very unique status among investors. First, there’s the long-held belief that gold is a safe store of wealth that will only appreciate in value over time owing to its scarcity and high demand. Then there are the efforts by gold miners over the past few years to become increasingly more efficient, which, by extension, results in higher margins and better returns.

But does that theory still stand true? In 2011, we witnessed the epic collapse of gold prices from near US$1,900 per ounce to multi-year lows of below US$1,100 per ounce. Arguably, it was those depressed prices that forced miners to pursue more efficient operations and cost-cutting measures.

There’s also the cryptocurrency debacle that continues to tease crypto-investors, frustrate regulatory bodies, and confuse everyone else, and more recently, we have rising interest rates and even the ongoing war of words with Saudi Arabia to shake investors.

The good news is that despite that uncertainty, there’s still a handful of promising precious metal investments worthy of consideration.

Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX)(NYSE:ABX) is the largest gold mining company on the planet and is an impressive option to add to any portfolio. Like many other precious metals miners, in the fallout of the 2011 pricing drop, Barrick was left with a staggering amount of debt that was near US$13 billion and a very inefficient process.

To counter that drop, Barrack engaged in a very aggressive cost-cutting/debt-reduction program nearly four years ago to begin the process of trimming that debt; it has proven incredibly successful. So far, Barrick has paid down over US$6 billion in debt and is on target to bring that down to US$5 billion by the end of the current fiscal year.

The final key point is Barrick’s production. Last month, Barrick announced updated figures for the second fiscal quarter of 2018. Two of the key takeaways from the report was that copper production was down, and due to some delays in the Lumwana mine in Zambia, cost estimates and all-in sustaining costs witnessed a noticeable bump, which caused the stock to slide.

Barrick typically is the envy of the market in terms of efficiency, so this drop, albeit temporary, provides an ideal moment for prospective investors to pick up shares at a discount.

Yamana Gold (TSX:YRI)(NYSE:AUY) is another interesting pick for gold bugs. This week, the company announced that Daniel Racine was promoted to president and CEO of the company, with company founder and former CEO, Peter Marrone taking on a new as executive chairman.

In addition to the staffing changes, Yamana’s recent report on the second fiscal quarter of 2018 showcased a noted improvement in several areas over the same period last year. Specifically, gold production saw an uptick of 1.4%, revenue saw a small increase by 0.7%, and, as a result, net income for the quarter came in at a respectable US$18 million, which was a significant improvement over the US$39.9 million loss reported in the same period last year.

All-in sustaining costs dropped to US$837 per ounce in the quarter, and production for both silver and copper beat expectations.

In short, there are several key points that put Yamana on the grid as a great precious metals investment. First, the company is becoming more efficient with each passing quarter. This is not only reflected in the all-in sustaining costs that continue to improve but in Yamana’s bevy of low-cost mines that continue to ramp up production.

The second point relates to that ramp up in production. Some of Yamana’s mines, such as Cerro Moro, are seeing increased production levels that are likely to continue for the foreseeable future. With a production guidance that is likely to beat estimates for 2018, and a significantly higher guidance set for 2019 that is also likely to be met or even surpassed, investors in Yamana should continue to see strong growth.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Demetris Afxentiou has no position in any stocks mentioned.  

More on Metals and Mining Stocks

ETF chart stocks
Metals and Mining Stocks

3 Best Commodity ETFs to Buy Now

Investors looking to get in on security during volatility should consider these three commodity ETFs, which do well no matter…

Read more »

gold stocks gold mining
Metals and Mining Stocks

Gold Prices Are on the Rise: Time to Invest?

Gold prices are rising, but short of buying up some bullion, what are some ways that Canadian investors can get…

Read more »

silver metal
Metals and Mining Stocks

Silver Surge: 2 Mining Stocks to Play the Recent Rally

Pan American Silver (TSX:PAAS) stock and another top value play to ride the silver bull run.

Read more »

gold stocks gold mining
Metals and Mining Stocks

With Gold Soaring, Here’s 1 Mining Stock I’d Buy Now

Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX) stock could continue to move higher as the precious metal skyrockets in 2024.

Read more »

silver metal
Metals and Mining Stocks

Why Endeavour Silver Stock Jumped 10% on Friday

Endeavour (TSX:EDR) stock rose significantly last week after earnings that blew past estimates and a drawdown that means more growth.

Read more »

Metals
Stocks for Beginners

Steel Is in Demand: 2 Canadian Stocks That Should Benefit

Steel stocks are making a comeback, with 2024 and 2025 marked as huge years for the industry. And these two…

Read more »

Dice engraved with the words buy and sell
Metals and Mining Stocks

Canadian Mining Stocks: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Teck Resources is a Canadian mining stock that likely has a bright future due to the company's focus on copper.

Read more »

Paper airplanes flying on blue sky with form of growing graph
Tech Stocks

2 Soaring Stocks I’d Buy Now With No Hesitation

Sure, these soaring stocks have already climbed by immense amounts. But I would all but guarantee these companies have more…

Read more »