Why Manulife Financial Corp. Could Outperform in 2017

Manulife Financial Corp. (TSX:MFC)(NYSE:MFC) is an undervalued play with international exposure and a considerable margin of safety.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Manulife Financial Corp. (TSX:MFC)(NYSE:MFC) has been a tough stock for long-term investors to own, as the stock price fell over 20% from its peak last summer. I believe Manulife is one of the most undervalued stocks on the TSX in the current low interest rate environment.

The company has a very solid 3.9% dividend yield, which income investors can feel safe owning. I believe that investors are overly fearful of Manulife, despite it being one of Canada’s biggest and most trusted names in the insurance field.

What happened to the stock, and where is it heading?

It’s no mystery that the dividend got slashed in half during the financial crisis of 2008. Investors responded by selling the stock, and the price hasn’t even come close to recovering over eight years later. Manulife made some poor risk-management decisions before the height of the financial crisis, and the result left investors with a bad taste in their mouths.

I believe the same dividend cut will not occur if another crisis were to happen, as Manulife looks to be a better manager of risk now. Manulife’s payout ratio is higher than it was before the financial crisis. Investors can expect dividend raises going forward as interest rates start to rise over the next few years, which will be a tailwind for Manulife as well as other insurers.

International growth also continues, and the company is introducing a rewards program to reduce its customer insurance claims.

International growth to continue

Since the financial crisis, Manulife has made terrific investments in Asia as well as the United States to become a more internationally diversified provider of insurance and financial services. Manulife has 37% of earnings coming from the U.S. with 32% coming from Asia and 31% coming from Canada.

Manulife will continue acquiring other smaller insurers and wealth management firms going forward in order to increase its international exposure even more.

Manulife is a terrific pick for investors looking to gain global financial exposure, and it looks to be a steal at current valuations.

Investing in customers’ ability to improve their health

Manulife has been investing in ways to improve its customers’ lives while simultaneously reducing its own financial liability. Manulife has invested in a rewards program which tracks a customer’s fitness and provides benefits to customers who show that they can live a healthier lifestyle. With healthier customers comes fewer insurance claims, which benefits both the customer and the company.

I believe this investment is one that will pay itself off as the program matures going forward.

Valuation and conclusion

Manulife is a terrific value play, turnaround play, and a dividend play that investors can feel comfortable holding in their TFSAs. The P/B is at one with a P/S of 0.6 and a P/CF of 3.2, all of which are lower than their five-year historical average values of 1.2, one, and 3.7, respectively. This means Manulife is undervalued based on most traditional valuation metrics.

The dividend yield is also 0.4% higher than average at 3.9%, so investors looking to add international financial exposure will do very with Manulife over the next few years as interest rates start going up. Until then, collect the dividend and sleep comfortably, as the stock has a significant margin of safety at current levels.

Fool contributor Joey Frenette has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

woman checks off all the boxes
Dividend Stocks

5 Dividend Stocks That Could Deserve a Spot in Nearly Any Portfolio

Are you wondering how to build a portfolio that generates stable, growing passive income? These five top dividend stocks should…

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Stocks for Beginners

2 Canadian Stocks That Could Benefit From a Stronger Loonie

A stronger loonie can boost margins for companies with U.S.-dollar costs, but it can also dampen reported results from foreign…

Read more »

workers walk through an office building
Dividend Stocks

3 Undervalued TSX Stocks to Buy Before the Crowd Catches On

These three “undervalued” TSX names all look imperfect today, which is exactly why their valuations may be offering opportunity.

Read more »

trading chart of brent crude oil prices
Energy Stocks

Oil Is Surging Again: 2 Canadian Stocks to Watch Closely

An oil spike can lift energy stocks fast, but the best plays aren’t always pure producers.

Read more »

bank of canada governor tiff macklem
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks I’d Buy Before the Next Bank of Canada Move

With the Bank of Canada on hold, these three TSX names offer earnings power that doesn’t require perfect rate cuts.

Read more »

Investor wonders if it's safe to buy stocks now
Dividend Stocks

This Market Feels Shaky: Here Are 2 Canadian Stocks I’d Still Buy

When markets get shaky, two TSX names, a cash-gushing gold miner and a deeply discounted fund, can help you stay…

Read more »

electrical cord plugs into wall socket for more energy
Dividend Stocks

1 TSX Dividend Stock That’s Down 10% – and Looks Worth Buying While It’s There

Considering its solid operational performance, growth pipeline, reasonable valuation, and healthy dividend yield, Northland Power offers attractive buying opportunities at…

Read more »

Abstract technology background image with standing businessman
Dividend Stocks

Two Canadian Dividend Stocks Worth Snapping Up on Any Dip

These Canadian stocks have a multi-decade record of paying and growing dividends, making them top investments for passive income.

Read more »