Is the Post-Earnings Drop in Yamana Gold Inc. a Buying Opportunity?
Yamana Gold Inc. (TSX:YRI)(NYSE:AUY), one of world’s leading producers of gold, silver, and copper, announced third-quarter earnings results after the market closed on October 29, and its stock responded by falling over 4% in the trading session that followed. Let’s take a closer look at the results to determine if this weakness represents a long-term buying opportunity, or if it could continue lower from here.
Lower commodity prices lead to year-over-year declines
Here’s a breakdown of Yamana’s third-quarter earnings results compared with what analysts had expected and its results in the same quarter a year ago. All figures are in U.S. dollars.
|Metric||Q3 2015 Actual||Q3 2015 Expected||Q3 2014 Actual|
|Adjusted Earnings Per Share||($0.02)||($0.01)||$0.00|
|Revenue||$448.9 million||$472.34 million||$494.4 million|
Source: Financial Times
In the third quarter of fiscal 2015, Yamana reported an adjusted net loss from continuing operations of $20.2 million, or $0.02 per share, compared to an adjusted loss of $1.3 million, or $0.00 per share, in the same period a year ago, as its revenues decreased 9.2% year over year to $448.9 million.
These weak results can be attributed to lower commodity prices compared with the year-ago period, which led to the company’s average realized price of gold decreasing 12.1% to $1,122 per ounce, its average realized price of silver decreasing 22.8% to $14.88 per ounce, and its average realized price of copper decreasing 9.2% to $2.85 per pound.
Here’s a quick breakdown of some other notable statistics from the report compared with the year-ago period:
- Gold production decreased 1.9% to 325,897 ounces and gold sales increased 12.8% to 317,859 ounces
- All-in sustaining cost per ounce of gold decreased 3% to $841
- Silver production decreased 25.4% to 2.2 million ounces and silver sales decreased 16.4% to 2.25 million ounces
- All-in sustaining cost per ounce of silver increased 28.6% to $11.32
- Copper production decreased 10.5% to 34 million pounds and copper sales decreased 18.5% to 29.1 million pounds
- Cash cost per pound of copper decreased 11.3% to $1.41
- Mine operating earnings decreased 41% to $49.7 million
- Adjusted cash flow from operations before changes in non-working capital decreased 25.9% to $133.9 million
Yamana also announced that it will be maintaining its dividend of $0.015 per share in the fourth quarter, and it will be paid out on January 14 to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 31.
Should you buy or avoid Yamana today?
It was a disappointing quarter overall for Yamana, so I think the post-earnings weakness in its stock is warranted. However, I do not see significant downside from here, because its stock now trades at a mere 0.31 times its book value per share of $7.08, and this is very inexpensive compared with its five-year average price-to-book value of 1.12.
Also, its stock now has a 2.7% yield. I think this yield, paired with its low valuation, makes it one of the top turnaround and dividend plays in the metals and mining industry today.
With all of the information provided above in mind, I think investors looking to add a gold producer to their portfolio should take a closer look at Yamana and consider beginning to slowly scale in to long-term positions over the next couple of weeks.
Want to know our TOP turnaround stock pick?
When tech companies fall from grace like this Canadian icon did, it's typically impossible to regain relevance. Here at Motley Fool Canada, we think this company and its CEO are prepared to prove all of the doubters wrong. We have even named it one TOP turnaround stock for 2015. Will you be left on the outside looking in should our intuition come to fruition?
If you're a curious soul (like me), then you can download the name, ticker symbol, and price guidance absolutely FREE.
NEW! 1 TOP STOCK FOR 2016 AND BEYOND...
Let’s not beat around the bush – energy companies performed miserably in 2015. Yet, even though the carnage was widespread, not all energy-related businesses were equally affected.
We've identified an energy company we think offers one of the best growth opportunities around. While this company is largely tied to the production of natural gas, it doesn't actually produce the gas. Instead, it provides the equipment required to get natural gas from the ground to the end user. With diversified operations around the globe, we think it's a rare find in the industry.
We like it so much, we’ve named it as 1 Top Stock for 2016 and Beyond. To find out why, simply enter your email address below to claim your FREE copy of this brand new report, "1 Top Stock for 2016 and Beyond"!
Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Yamana Gold Inc. (TSX:YRI)(NYSE:AUY), one of world?s leading producers of gold, silver, and copper, announced third-quarter earnings results after the market closed on October 29, and its stock responded by falling over 4% in the trading session that followed. Let?s take a closer look at the results to determine if this weakness represents a long-term buying opportunity, or if it could continue lower from here.
Lower commodity prices lead to year-over-year declines
Here’s a breakdown of Yamana?s third-quarter earnings results compared with what analysts had expected and its results in the same quarter a year ago. All figures are in U.S….