How Should Home Capital Group Inc. Proceed With its Upcoming Vote?

Will Home Capital Group Inc. (TSX:HCG) shareholders vote in favour of giving Mr. Buffett another 20% of the company? Or will the alternative lender’s large shareholders quash the deal?

| More on:

On September 12, shareholders of Home Capital Group Inc. (TSX:HCG) will vote on whether or not to approve a second investment tranche for Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B). The vote is a relatively simple one, in which shareholders will be asked if they agree to add an additional 23.955 million common shares and sell those shares to Berkshire for $10.30 per share, representing a discount of more than 20% to the company’s share price as of August 24.

The 23.955 million shares which are expected to be issued will hand over an additional 19.99% of the company to Berkshire in addition to the first tranche, which saw the company receive a 19.99% equity stake in the Canadian alternative lender for an even steeper discount; Berkshire paid only $9.55 per share for a little more than 16 million shares the first time around.

One thing investors will notice here is that the company needs to issue substantially more shares to give Mr. Buffett an additional 20% of the business; the reality that all shareholders, including Mr. Buffett, will be diluted by the second tranche, should the vote go through in the affirmative, is a harsh one to accept for some, and will likely make the vote a contentious one.

Shareholders have generally been sitting on the fence with respect to the vote — a vote which will require a simple majority to pass. One the one hand, an additional investment from Mr. Buffett would inexorably tie the fate of the Canadian alternative lender to Berkshire’s financial returns — something Mr. Buffett cares deeply about. The prestige and perceived safety of having Warren Buffett more fully invested in Home Capital is a situation some investors prefer.

This view is supported by a fairness opinion conducted by three firms (which is slightly unusual; typically, only one firm is consulted). The fairness opinion came back supporting the equity issuance, even though the price the shares would be issued at is currently below the shares’ intrinsic value. The analysis took into consideration a “what if” analysis, comparing the price of Home Capital’s shares with and without Berkshire’s investment; it concluded that shareholders would ultimately be better off with the investment.

Bottom line

In general, dilution is a very bad thing for investors when considering the impacts dilution has on some key aspects of the equity portion of the business (dilution affects everything from return on equity to earnings per share). While the cash raised through this issuance should, in theory, provide the alternative lender with another capital infusion, increasing the company’s margin of safety with respect to its liquidity position, this capital does not come without costs for shareholders. Home Capital’s shareholders will need to decide for themselves, and it will be interesting to watch from the sidelines and see how this situation plays out.

Stay Foolish, my friends.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

More on Bank Stocks

Dice engraved with the words buy and sell
Bank Stocks

Scotiabank Stock Has a High Yield, But Is it a Buy?

The Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS) stock is very cheap and high yielding, but faces a lot of currency risk.

Read more »

Bank sign on traditional europe building facade
Bank Stocks

JPMorgan vs. Royal Bank of Canada: Which Bank Stock Is Better Buy?

Blue-chip bank stocks such as JPMorgan and Royal Bank of Canada are solid long-term bets for shareholders in 2024.

Read more »

Bank sign on traditional europe building facade
Stocks for Beginners

1 Magnificent TSX Dividend Stock Down 22% to Buy and Hold Forever

This dividend stock may be down 22% from all-time highs, but is up 17% in the last year alone. And…

Read more »

edit Woman calculating figures next to a laptop
Bank Stocks

Better Bank Buy: Scotiabank Stock or CIBC Stock?

These two bank stocks have been showing some improvements, but which is the better buy for investors who are looking…

Read more »

Coworkers standing near a wall
Bank Stocks

The Average Canadian Stock Investor Owns This 1 Stock: Do You?

Here's why Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY) makes it into most investor portfolios in Canada, and why global investors should…

Read more »

Man considering whether to sell or buy
Bank Stocks

Is TD Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TD stock just bounced. Are more gains on the way?

Read more »

edit U-turn
Bank Stocks

TD Stock: Why I Reversed Course

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD) is one stock I reversed course on in a big way.

Read more »

Man with no money. Businessman holding empty wallet
Dividend Stocks

3 Ways Canadian Investors Can Save Thousands in 2024

If you've done the budgeting and are still coming out with less money than you'd like, consider these three ways…

Read more »