How Expensive Are Canadian Stocks? A Look at the S&P/TSX Composite Index

Taking a quick peek at the relative valuation of the Canadian market.

The Motley Fool

The S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX:^OSPTX) is up about 2% year to date, after posting a 4% gain in 2012.

The S&P/TSX held up better than the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEX: ^DJI) during the financial crisis of 2008, so its recovery since 2009 hasn’t been as massive, and it’s still below its all-time high. (The Dow broke its all-time record back in March.) Still the two indices have roughly mirrored each other over the past 10 years:

tsx v djia

Source: Google Finance. Blue line = S&P/TSX Composite. Red = Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The S&P/TSX Composite covers about 70% of the market capitalization of Canadian stocks, and so is a fair representation of the overall market. With that in mind, let’s look at its current valuation, relative to the past four calendar years:

S&P/TSX   Composite Index Current 2012 2011 2010 2009
P/E 19.1 18.0 16.8 17.9 30.6
P/B 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3
ROE 9.3% 10.1% 12.0% 12.1% 8.1%
Net   Income Margin 8.2% 8.8% 9.9% 10.2% 6.7%

Data from S&P Capital IQ.

The price-to-earnings ratio of Canadian stocks has inched up in the past few years, even as price-to-book multiples have decreased slightly. At the same time, returns on equity and net income margin figures have bounced around.

Compared with the Dow, the Canadian figures look less enticing. Even as the Dow has reached new highs, its P/E and P/B multiples have come down, while its ROE and net income margin have edged slightly higher:

Dow Jones   Industrial Average Current 2012 2011 2010 2009
P/E 16.5 16.7 16.8 17.6 22.2
P/B 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.8
ROE 15.4% 15.4% 16.2% 15.9% 14.6%
Net   Income Margin 9.6% 9.3% 9.6% 9.9% 9.1%

Data from S&P Capital IQ.

Not only are Canadian stocks more expensive relative to their American neighbours, the S&P/TSX Composite is flawed for index-tracking — it’s overweight in resource and financial stocks, meaning index investors lack proper diversification.

We have created an exclusive free report detailing “5 Stocks That Should Replace Your Canadian Index Fund,” designed as an easy-to-implement strategy for market-beating returns. To download a copy of this FREE report, simply click here right now.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

This post was created by Fool contributor Brian Richards.   

Fool contributor Brian Richards does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned at this time.  The Motley Fool has no positions in the stocks mentioned above.

 

More on Investing

top TSX stocks to buy
Investing

Got $5,000? 2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy That Could Double Your Money

These two stocks have the potential to generate annualized returns exceeding 18.9% over the next four years.

Read more »

Canadian Red maple leaves seamless wallpaper pattern
Stocks for Beginners

5 Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next 5 Years

Check out these five top Canadian stocks you can buy and hold for diversification, income, and growth in the coming…

Read more »

space ship model takes off
Investing

3 TSX Superstars That Could Beat the Market in 2026 (Get In Now)

These top TSX stocks have already generated significant returns and the momentum is likely to sustain driven by solid demand…

Read more »

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Investing

Here’s the Average Canadian RRSP at Age 55

Here are three key things to note about the average Canadian's RRSP balance at age 55, and what to do…

Read more »

An investor uses a tablet
Dividend Stocks

2 Bruised Dividend Titans Worth Buying on the Cheap

Here's why Propel Holdings (TSX:PRL) and goeasy (TSX:GSY) are cheap dividends stocks that could rock a contrarian investor's portfolio...

Read more »

senior man and woman stretch their legs on yoga mats outside
Retirement

2 Safer High-Yield Dividend Picks for Canadian Retirees

Two reliable, high‑yield Canadian dividend stocks can offer retirees stable income, and defensive appeal for long‑term portfolio.

Read more »

a person watches a downward arrow crash through the floor
Top TSX Stocks

Market Turbulence Ahead? Take Shelter With 2 Handpicked TSX Stocks

Take shelter from a stock market crash with safe stocks like Enbridge and Fortis, which are yielding 5.3% and 3.3%,…

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

For Monthly Income, a 5.4% Dividend Stock to Consider

A high-yield TSX stock can provide sustained monthly income streams and temper investors’ war-driven anxiety.

Read more »