The Hidden Message in BlackBerry’s Results

Look behind the numbers and the BlackBerry story takes on a different light.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

There were two critical pieces of information in today’s BlackBerry (TSX:BB,NASDAQ:BBRY) release that are getting attention, but maybe not the right kind of attention.

The company’s initial release included neither the number of new BlackBerry 10 devices that have been sold or where the overall subscriber base currently stands.  This is information that the public markets crave.

These numbers were eventually announced during the conference call, but the company also indicated it won’t release subscriber numbers going forward.

From an investor’s standpoint, this may seem crazy.  What company that is optimistic about its future doesn’t want to prove how well it’s doing?

From the company’s perspective however, all these numbers do is lead to wild predictions from the masses and violent moves in the stock price.  Neither of which is conducive to a company that is trying to build for the future.  With the long-term squarely in focus, quarter by quarter updates on items such as the subscriber base and how it compares to some analyst’s guess create nothing more than noise.

The Big Picture

In the grand scheme of things, BlackBerry doesn’t need the equity market.  As we reported in an earlier post, the company has never been more flush with cash, and is generating approximately $500 million of free cash every quarter.  Financing, which is one of the equity market’s primary functions, is not an issue.

By not catering to the desires of the multitudes of market participants that follow this company, this message is effectively being communicated.  Which brings us to an intriguing possibility.

BlackBerry’s largest shareholder is Hamblin Watsa, which is led by famed Canadian investor Prem Watsa, and serves as the investment arm of Canadian insurer Fairfax Financial (TSX:FFH).

Watsa is on BlackBerry’s board, presumably knows the company as well as anyone, and has been reasonably clear about how confident he is in the long-term prospects offered by the fallen tech giant.

Given BlackBerry’s still sizeable cash flows, it wouldn’t take much for Watsa to take this company private.  With $3 billion of cash on its balance sheet, BlackBerry’s Enterprise Value after all is just $2.5 billion.  I’m no investment banker, but, Fairfax has indicated it has $1 billion of excess capital at the holding company level.  To borrow a few billion more to get a deal done, with BB’s cash flows, doesn’t seem like it would be much of a stretch.

Foolish Takeaway

I’m sure BlackBerry’s CEO Thorsten Heins would be a very happy man if he could rid the company of all the noise created by being a publicly traded entity.  Especially because being a publicly traded entity isn’t an integral part of the firm’s long-term existence.  Watsa could bring BlackBerry into the FFH fold, let them do their thing in relative obscurity, and see what happens over the next 5 years.  Stranger things have happened!

Looking for a smoother ride to riches than BlackBerry shares offer?  Click here now to download our special FREE report “3 U.S. Stocks that Every Canadian Should Own”.  These 3 companies prove that investing doesn’t have to be the emotional roller coaster that BlackBerry makes it out to be.

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Iain Butler does not own any of the companies mentioned in this report.  The Motley Fool has no position in any stocks mentioned at this time.

More on Investing

woman looks ahead of her over water
Retirement

Want $1 Million in Retirement? Invest $50,000 in These 3 Stocks and Wait a Decade

These three stocks look well-positioned to take investors much closer to their goal of being seven-figure retirees over time.

Read more »

A woman stands on an apartment balcony in a city
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian REITs for an Income Portfolio That Holds Up in Any Market

Dividend income feels most reliable when housing demand stays steady and the payout is clearly covered by FFO or AFFO.

Read more »

A Canada Pension Plan Statement of Contributions with a 100 dollar banknote and dollar coins.
Dividend Stocks

The Average TFSA Balance for Canadians at 55

Discover the significance of turning 55 for CPP payout decisions and strategies for maximizing your TFSA in Canada.

Read more »

man looks worried about something on his phone
Dividend Stocks

Down 10% From Its High, Could Now Be an Opportune Time to Buy Restaurant Brands Stock?

Restaurant Brands International (TSX:QSR) might be the perfect breakout play for 2026.

Read more »

boy in bowtie and glasses gives positive thumbs up
Investing

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy With $5,000 in 2026

These top Canadian stocks could outperform the broader market and deliver notable returns on the back of steady demand trends.

Read more »

nugget gold
Metals and Mining Stocks

The Only Stock I’d Consider Buying in March 2026

Barrick Mining (TSX:ABX) still looks like a great bet, even if the trade is a bit overextended in March.

Read more »

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Dividend Stocks

Buy 1,000 Shares of 1 Dividend Stock, Create $58/Month in Passive Income

Its solid fundamentals, consistent monthly distributions, and a high yield make this dividend stock an attractive option.

Read more »

a woman sleeps with her eyes covered with a mask
Dividend Stocks

Worried About Your Portfolio Right Now? These 3 Canadian Picks Are Built for Defence

These investments defend a portfolio in different ways: steady healthcare rent, essential waste services, and a diversified 60/40 mix.

Read more »