The Hidden Message in BlackBerry’s Results

Look behind the numbers and the BlackBerry story takes on a different light.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

There were two critical pieces of information in today’s BlackBerry (TSX:BB,NASDAQ:BBRY) release that are getting attention, but maybe not the right kind of attention.

The company’s initial release included neither the number of new BlackBerry 10 devices that have been sold or where the overall subscriber base currently stands.  This is information that the public markets crave.

These numbers were eventually announced during the conference call, but the company also indicated it won’t release subscriber numbers going forward.

From an investor’s standpoint, this may seem crazy.  What company that is optimistic about its future doesn’t want to prove how well it’s doing?

From the company’s perspective however, all these numbers do is lead to wild predictions from the masses and violent moves in the stock price.  Neither of which is conducive to a company that is trying to build for the future.  With the long-term squarely in focus, quarter by quarter updates on items such as the subscriber base and how it compares to some analyst’s guess create nothing more than noise.

The Big Picture

In the grand scheme of things, BlackBerry doesn’t need the equity market.  As we reported in an earlier post, the company has never been more flush with cash, and is generating approximately $500 million of free cash every quarter.  Financing, which is one of the equity market’s primary functions, is not an issue.

By not catering to the desires of the multitudes of market participants that follow this company, this message is effectively being communicated.  Which brings us to an intriguing possibility.

BlackBerry’s largest shareholder is Hamblin Watsa, which is led by famed Canadian investor Prem Watsa, and serves as the investment arm of Canadian insurer Fairfax Financial (TSX:FFH).

Watsa is on BlackBerry’s board, presumably knows the company as well as anyone, and has been reasonably clear about how confident he is in the long-term prospects offered by the fallen tech giant.

Given BlackBerry’s still sizeable cash flows, it wouldn’t take much for Watsa to take this company private.  With $3 billion of cash on its balance sheet, BlackBerry’s Enterprise Value after all is just $2.5 billion.  I’m no investment banker, but, Fairfax has indicated it has $1 billion of excess capital at the holding company level.  To borrow a few billion more to get a deal done, with BB’s cash flows, doesn’t seem like it would be much of a stretch.

Foolish Takeaway

I’m sure BlackBerry’s CEO Thorsten Heins would be a very happy man if he could rid the company of all the noise created by being a publicly traded entity.  Especially because being a publicly traded entity isn’t an integral part of the firm’s long-term existence.  Watsa could bring BlackBerry into the FFH fold, let them do their thing in relative obscurity, and see what happens over the next 5 years.  Stranger things have happened!

Looking for a smoother ride to riches than BlackBerry shares offer?  Click here now to download our special FREE report “3 U.S. Stocks that Every Canadian Should Own”.  These 3 companies prove that investing doesn’t have to be the emotional roller coaster that BlackBerry makes it out to be.

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Iain Butler does not own any of the companies mentioned in this report.  The Motley Fool has no position in any stocks mentioned at this time.

More on Investing

Close up of an egg in a nest of twigs on grass with RRSP written on it symbolizing a RRSP contribution.
Retirement

Here’s How Much 50-Year-Old Canadians Need Now to Retire at 65

Turning 50 and not sure if you have enough to retire? It is time to pump up your retirement plan…

Read more »

Partially complete jigsaw puzzle with scattered missing pieces
Dividend Stocks

This 6.1% Yield Is One I’m Comfortable Holding for the Long Term

After a year of dividend cuts, Enbridge stock's 6.1% yield stands out, backed by a $35 billion backlog and 31…

Read more »

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund
Investing

Turn a $20,000 TFSA Into $75,000 With This Easy ETF

S&P 500 and chill.

Read more »

Pile of Canadian dollar bills in various denominations
Dividend Stocks

1 Magnificent Canadian Dividend Stock Down 59% to Buy for Decades

A battered dividend stock can be worth a second look when the core business is still essential and the dividend…

Read more »

A worker gives a business presentation.
Stocks for Beginners

5 TSX Stocks to Hold for the Next Decade

These stocks are here to stay and grow. Investors should consider accumulating shares on market pullbacks.

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Dividend Stocks

Why I’m Letting This Unstoppable Stock Ride for Decades

Brookfield (TSX:BN) is a stock worth owning for decades.

Read more »

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Stocks for Beginners

Where to Invest Your $7,000 TFSA Contribution for Long-Term Gains

Looking for where to allocate your TFSA contribution? Here are two options to direct that $7,000 where it will give…

Read more »

four people hold happy emoji masks
Investing

Got $7,000? The Best Canadian Stocks to Buy Right Now

These three Canadian stocks offer excellent buying opportunities right now.

Read more »