Potash, Goldcorp, Agnico-Eagle: Miss, Miss, Miss

All 3 stepped up to the plate and came up empty with their quarterly releases.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Since yesterday’s close, three big Canadian resource companies reported their Q2/13 earnings and three big Canadian resource companies missed their quarterly earnings expectations.  Let’s dig into all three reports:


As Fool.com analyst Taylor Muckerman suspected, volumes weren’t an issue for Potash during the quarter, it was price.  Potash sales volumes were 2.5 million tonnes in Q2, which compares favourably to the 2.6 million tonnes that were shipped in the same quarter last year.  However, the average price on this year’s shipments was just $356/tonne vs. $433/tonne last year.  This price decline led to the company earning $0.73/share in the quarter, which came in $0.07 short of what analysts expected.  Potash also lowered its full year EPS guidance range to $2.45-$2.70 from $2.75-$3.25.  On the bright side, a $2 billion share buyback was announced as the company continues with its shareholder friendly ways.  The buyback is scheduled to occur over the course of the next 12 months.

Goldcorp (TSX:G,NYSE:GG)

Given the carnage that has occurred in the gold space, Goldcorp’s miss wasn’t really a big surprise, even though the shares are currently down on the day.  In adjusted terms, the company reported EPS of $0.14 vs. the expected $0.23.  We’re speaking in “adjusted” terms because of the somewhat dramatic $1.96 billion in write-downs the company announced.  The bulk of which applies to greenfield exploration at its Penasquito mine.  Earnings are one thing, but perhaps the biggest issue that comes with a lower gold price is that those assets in the ground that appeared attractive and were valued using a long-term average gold price of, say, $1,500/oz don’t look so good when that long-term price is forced down.  Exploration at Penasquito is not nearly as attractive as it was in a higher price environment, hence the write-down.

Agnico-Eagle (TSX:AEM)

Agnico also came up short when it announced results after yesterday’s close.  The company checked in with a loss of $0.03/share in the quarter vs. the $0.09 gain that the market expected.  These lower than expected results were primarily driven by an extended maintenance shut-down at one of the company’s mines (Kittila).  Agnico also announced that it’s reducing 2013 cap ex from an expected $621 million to $597 million, and has shaved $200 million and $50 million respectively from its 2014 cap ex and exploration budgets.  Spending in 2014 is now expected to be $400 million and $50 million for each program.

Foolish Takeaway

Because of their weight in the Canadian market, companies like Potash and Goldcorp have a significant impact on the overall performance of the S&P/TSX Composite.  This can be harmful for those investors that think they are well-diversified with an index fund or ETF that is linked to our market.

We have prepared a Special FREE Report that will clue you into the perils of passively investing in the Canadian index and suggests an easy to implement alternative strategy.  The report is called “5 Stocks That Should Replace Your Canadian Index Fund”.  One of these 5 is in the process of being taken over at a huge premium.  Find out who the remaining 4 are simply by clicking here.

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Iain Butler owns shares in Potash and Goldcorp.  The Motley Fool doesn’t own shares in any of the companies mentioned.   

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

More on Investing

Gold bars
Metals and Mining Stocks

Here’s a Precious Metals Stock With Less Risk

Wheaton is well positioned to form a small part of a much

Read more »

Natural gas prices are rising, making energy companies a good investment.
Energy Stocks

Bonterra Energy Stock Has Doubled: Is There More Upside in 2022?

It's been one of the best-performing TSX small-cap energy stocks in 2022, yet shares are cheap today.

Read more »

Early retirement handwritten in a note
Stocks for Beginners

How This Stock Market Selloff Can Help You Retire Early

The ongoing market crash can massively enhance your potential long-term profits to let you plan your early retirement.

Read more »

Question marks in a pile
Tech Stocks

Should You Finally Buy BlackBerry (TSX:BB)?

Is it time to finally buy BlackBerry?

Read more »

Community homes
Dividend Stocks

Canada’s House Prices Cool: 1 REIT to Buy the Dip

Canada’s house prices are cooling. Should you be concerned about falling house prices or use the dip to buy a…

Read more »

grow dividends
Tech Stocks

3 Top TSX Growth Stocks to Buy for Less Than $10

These high-growth TSX stocks are trading less than $10 and have strong potential to beat the broader markets in the…

Read more »

Top view of mixed race business team sitting at the table at loft office and working. Woman manager brings the document
Bank Stocks

Top 2 Stocks for Beginners in 2022

Bank stocks like Bank of Montreal (TSX:BMO)(NYSE:BMO) are top picks for 2022.

Read more »

protect, safe, trust
Dividend Stocks

Market Selloff: 2 Safe-Haven Dividend Stocks to Limit Your Losses

Instead of worrying about the ongoing market selloff, investors should act now and add some safe dividend stocks to their…

Read more »