3 Reasons Loblaw Shares Could Go Higher

This Fool thinks all signs are pointing up for this recovering grocer.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

By:  Chris Lau

After several years of lacklustre performance, Loblaw (TSX:L) stock has had a terrific year.

To help right the ship and inject some life into its stock, Loblaw made two primary moves.  First, the company monetized its huge real estate portfolio.  Second, it bought Shoppers Drug Mart (TSX:SC).

While it’s up on the year, Loblaw has the potential to do much more for investors.  Here are three items that point towards more upside for Loblaw owners.

1.    Earnings growth

Loblaw demonstrated sizeable year-over-year improvements in both earnings per share (EPS) and EBITDA margin in the most recent quarter.  EPS grew from $0.55 in Q2/12 to $0.63 in Q2/13, a 14.5% increase.  In addition, the EBITDA margin expanded to 6.8% from 6.3% in this year’s second quarter.

Improved profitability came down to two basic items.  Improved revenue and better cost control.  Loblaw shares will benefit should these trends continue.

2.    REIT IPO

Loblaw announced an IPO for Choice Properties REIT to help unlock the value of its real estate assets. Loblaw has nearly $7B worth of properties and related assets. The IPO has provided Loblaw owners with $460M in cash, and still left them with a majority ownership of the REIT at 81.7%.

Not only will Loblaw potentially benefit from the re-deployment of the cash, but also from the public valuation that is now ascribed to this publicly traded REIT vehicle.

3.    Shoppers Takeover

Galen Weston, the Executive Chairman, said in the quarterly report:

Combining Loblaw and Shoppers Drug Mart will build on the strong base Vicente and his team have developed over the last two years, providing an excellent strategic complement to our existing assets, and setting the stage for further shareholder value creation.

It is reasonable to believe the market has underestimated the benefit of buying Shoppers.  There are obvious cross-over opportunities between the two operations with front of store food sales at one, and a beefed up pharmacy at the other.  Combined, the two have the potential to create something the Canadian market has never seen before, and that should be a good thing for long-term shareholders.

Foolish Bottom Line

Loblaw shares are on the mend, owed greatly to solid operational management and some savvy corporate actions.  If the company continues with its improved grocery operations, as well as successfully integrates the Shoppers deal, Loblaw shareholders, and the Weston family, are in for some happy times.

Another idea….

Like Loblaw, but looking for a small-cap idea instead?  The Motley Fool Canada’s senior investment analyst has identified his “Top Canadian Small Cap for 2013 — and Beyond” in a new research report. You can instantly access the report — and see the ticker — by simply clicking here now.

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Disclosure: Chris Lau has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article.

More on Investing

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Top Stocks TFSA Investors Can Buy Now

These three Canadian stocks are some of the top picks for investors to buy in their TFSAs heading into 2026.

Read more »

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Dividend Stocks

The Smartest Dividend Stocks to Buy with $1,000 Right Now

Add these two TSX dividend stocks to your self-directed investment portfolio to unlock long-term wealth growth.

Read more »

some REITs give investors exposure to commercial real estate
Investing

Promising Canadian Small-Cap Stocks for the New Year

Two Canadian small-caps with strong 2026 catalysts: Propel Holdings’s banking shift and Hammond Power’s electrification role offer compelling stock price…

Read more »

stock chart
Investing

Grab These TSX Stocks Before the Holiday Rally

The market correction seems to be making way for the holiday surge. You might want to buy these two stocks…

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Stocks for Beginners

1 Megatrend Shaping Canadian Investments for 2026

Behind the rapid expansion of AI, a surge in infrastructure spending is creating new investment opportunities in Canada.

Read more »

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Investing

1 Canadian Stock to Buy and Hold Forever in a TFSA

Shopify (TSX:SHOP) stock is getting way too cheap, even if its multiple suggests frothiness.

Read more »

Business success of growth metaverse finance and investment profit graph concept or development analysis progress chart on financial market achievement strategy background with increase hand diagram
Stocks for Beginners

2 Magnificent Canadian Stocks Ready to Surge Into 2026

Not every stock slows down after a big rally, and these two top Canadian stocks are proving they may still…

Read more »

Data center woman holding laptop
Tech Stocks

2 Stocks to Help Turn $100,000 into $1 Million

Two TSX high-growth stocks can help turn $100,000 into a million but the journey could be extremely volatile.

Read more »