Is Valeant Pharmaceuticals Inc. a Soaring Rocket or a Hot Air Balloon?

Valeant Pharmaceuticals Inc. (TSX:VRX)(NYSE:VRX) has been a big win for its shareholders. Just how long can the good times last?

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Needless to say, there are a lot of struggling companies in Canada, and this has left investors very frustrated.

But one company in particular has been roaring along in recent years. Valeant Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s (TSX:VRX)(NYSE:VRX) stock price has skyrocketed past $250 from less than $16 this time in 2009. So it’s only natural for investors to gravitate towards this stock.

That said, before you go buy a big chunk of Valeant, there are some major concerns about the company. In fact, it could be the most polarizing company on the TSX. On that note, we take a look below at what’s made the company so successful, and we also look at why there are so many detractors.

A very simple strategy

The essence of Valeant’s strategy is centred on acquisitions. To be more specific, the company doesn’t like to spend money developing its own drugs. Instead, it would rather buy product lines that have already been established. Once a company is acquired, Valeant slashes the target’s costs.

To illustrate how this affects Valeant’s numbers, just take a look at its (lack of) research and development (R&D) expense. According to its most recent annual report, R&D totals just 2.7% of revenue. By comparison, this ratio was 12.9% and 17.0% at Pfizer Inc. and Merck & Co., Inc. respectively.

There’s a very strong case to be made for Valeant’s strategy. Research and development costs are typically very steep, and can get out of control quite easily. This is why there are so many mergers in the pharmaceuticals industry; when two companies combine, R&D costs can be more easily absorbed.

Valeant’s strategy has certainly worked thus far. Just this past quarter, revenue increased by 11% year-over-year, and net income was up by a lot more. Valeant has also announced plans to buy gastrointestinal drugmaker Salix Pharmaceuticals Ltd. for US$10.1 billion, something investors have reacted to very enthusiastically. For the Valeant believers, the future looks as bright as ever, and there’s no reason to doubt the company now.

There’s more to the story

Valeant has a lot of detractors, and these aren’t just your average investors. One is Jim Chanos, who gained fame by betting against Enron. Another is Jim Grant, who writes the much-respected newsletter Grant’s Interest Rate Observer.

The two investors label Valeant as a “roll-up,” meaning the company thrives only by using its inflated stock price to make acquisitions. By doing this, Valeant is able to mask its lack of profitability.

According to Mr. Chanos, once Valeant stops making acquisitions, its lack of true revenue growth will show. That could come before long—once the Salix merger is complete, Valeant’s net debt will nearly double to US$30 billion, or 5.6 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. With this kind of debt load, further big deals will be tougher for Valeant to pull off.

It’s true that Mr. Grant’s and Mr. Chanos’s bets have not worked out so far. In fact, Valeant shares are up by 68% since early March 2014, when Mr. Grant first presented his idea. But their ideas are still worth considering, to say the least.

So, if you’re thinking of owning Valeant, you may get some diversification from Canada’s struggling companies. But you shouldn’t own very many shares—the risk is just too great.

Fool contributor Benjamin Sinclair has no position in any stocks mentioned. Tom Gardner owns shares of Valeant Pharmaceuticals. The Motley Fool owns shares of Valeant Pharmaceuticals.

More on Investing

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Dividend Stocks

Undervalued Canadian Stocks to Buy Now

Here are some quality Canadian stocks trading at a discount that you can consider buying on dips.

Read more »

running robot changes direction
Dividend Stocks

4 TSX Stocks to Buy Now as Investors Rotate Back to Value

Value rotations reward companies with real cash flow, fair prices, and dividends you can collect while you wait.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Thursday, March 19

Cautious signals from the BoC and Fed triggered a sharp TSX selloff, with today’s tone expected to be shaped by…

Read more »

upside down girl playing on swing over the sea,
Dividend Stocks

A Dependable Dividend Stock to Buy With $20,000 Right Now

This dependable stock has the ability consistently pay and increase its yearly payouts regardless of market conditions.

Read more »

Concept of big data flow, analysis, and visualizing complex information for artificial intelligence
Tech Stocks

Down 12% Over the Past Year, Is it Time to Buy Kinaxis Stock?

Here's why Kinaxis (TSX:KXS) stock is starting to look like a screaming buy, no matter what the naysayers in the…

Read more »

up arrow on wooden blocks
Dividend Stocks

A TSX Dividend Stock Down 42% That’s Worth Buying Before it Rebounds

Pet Valu is down 42% from its highs, but this TSX dividend stock offers a growing payout, strong free cash…

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Dividend Stocks

These Canadian Companies Keep Hiking Their Dividends

These three reliable dividend growth stocks are some of the best long-term investments that Canadians can buy today.

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Investing

3 TFSA Red Flags the CRA Is Actively Looking for

Unlock the full potential of your TFSA. Learn how to leverage this account for wealth creation and avoid common pitfalls.

Read more »