Canadian National Railway Company Surpasses Q2 Estimates: Time to Buy?

Canadian National Railway Company (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) just released better-than-expected Q2 results. What should you do now? Let’s find out.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Canadian National Railway Company (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI), Canada’s largest rail network operator, announced better-than-expected second-quarter earnings results after the market closed on Tuesday. Let’s take a closer look at the results and the fundamentals of its stock to determine if we should be long-term buyers today.

A quarter of very strong top- and bottom-line growth

Here’s a quick breakdown of 10 of the most notable statistics from Canadian National’s three-month period ended on June 30, 2017, compared with the same period a year ago:

Metric Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Change
Adjusted net income $1,013 million $865 million 17.1%
Adjusted earnings per share $1.34 $1.11 20.7%
Rail freight revenues $3,111 million $2,646 million 17.6%
Other revenues $218 million $196 million 11.2%
Total revenues $3,329 million $2,842 million 17.1%
Operating income $1,495 million $1,293 million 15.6%
Operating ratio 55.1% 54.5% (60 basis points)
Free cash flow $811 million $585 million 38.6%
Carloads 1.42 million 1.25 million 14%
Freight revenue per carload $2,185 $2,118 3.2%

Other notable announcements

In addition to its earnings results, Canadian National made two notable announcements.

First, it announced that it would be maintaining its dividend of $0.4125 per share in the third quarter, and it will be paid on September 29 to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 8.

Second, it reiterated its outlook on fiscal 2017, calling for adjusted earnings per share in the range of $4.95-5.10 compared to fiscal 2016’s adjusted earnings per share of $4.59.

What should you do now?

It was an outstanding quarter overall for Canadian National, and the results beat analysts’ expectations, which called for adjusted earnings per share of $1.32 on revenue of $3.27 billion. That being said, I think the market will react positively to these results by sending its stock higher in the trading sessions ahead, and I think it represents a great long-term investment opportunity for two reasons in particular.

First, it trades at attractive valuations. As of the market close on Tuesday, Canadian National’s stock trades at 19.7 times fiscal 2017’s estimated earnings per share of $5.15 and 18.1 times fiscal 2018’s estimated earnings per share of $5.61, both of which are inexpensive given its current growth rate and its estimated 8.9% long-term earnings-growth rate.

Second, it’s one of the best dividend-growth stocks in the market. Canadian National currently sports a 1.6% yield, and its 10% dividend hike in January has it positioned for 2017 to mark the 21st consecutive year in which it has raised its annual dividend payment. It’s also important to note that it has a dividend-payout target of 35% of its net income, so I think its very strong growth, including its 19.4% year-over-year increase to an adjusted $2.52 per share in the first half of 2017, will allow this streak to continue for the foreseeable future.

With all of the information provided above in mind, I think all Foolish investors should strongly consider initiating positions in Canadian National Railway today.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned. David Gardner owns shares of Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool owns shares of Canadian National Railway. Canadian National Railway is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Investing

crisis concept, falling stairs
Stocks for Beginners

2 Canadian Stocks That Could Utterly Destroy a $100,000 Portfolio

Understand the risks associated with goeasy stock and its significant decline. Protect your portfolio with informed decisions.

Read more »

man gives stopping gesture
Dividend Stocks

2 Stocks That Canadian Retirees May Want to Think Twice About Owning

If you have a long investment horizon and a portfolio geared for retirement planning, these two stocks are investments you…

Read more »

senior man smiles next to a light-filled window
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks to Buy if Rates Stay Higher for Longer

Higher rates make yield traps more dangerous, so these three dividend names show three different “quality income” approaches.

Read more »

middle-aged couple work together on laptop
Dividend Stocks

5 Canadian Stocks Beginners Can Buy and Hold Forever

These five Canadian stocks offer beginners a mix of simple business models and long-term staying power.

Read more »

Income and growth financial chart
Dividend Stocks

1 Canadian Stock I’d Buy Before Trade Tensions Heat Up Again

Trade tensions can rattle markets, but food companies like Maple Leaf tend to hold steadier because people still need to…

Read more »

farmer holds box of leafy greens
Dividend Stocks

One Canadian Dividend Stock That’s Down 10% — and Worth Holding for the Very Long Term

Nutrien (TSX:NTR) might be down, but shares are too cheap as the TSX Index rallies onward.

Read more »

frustrated shopper at grocery store
Stock Market

A Top‑Performing U.S. Stock That Canadian Investors Really Should Own

Canadian investors looking for stability and growth should consider Costco, a top‑performing U.S. stock with a resilient business model and…

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

The Smartest Dividend Stocks to Buy With $250 Right Now

Start early and invest consistently in solid dividend stocks for long-term wealth creation.

Read more »