Market Crash: Is This 8% Yield Sustainable?

The market crash lifted the dividend yield of Enbridge (TSX:ENB)(NYSE:ENB) stock to 8.2%. How sustainable is this yield?

| More on:

Market crashes are rare. They typically come by once about every 10 years.

Today is a buyer’s market, as the TSX index has fallen by about 30%. Investors who buy stocks in this market crash will look back years later and see it as a super buying opportunity.

There are treasures everywhere in the stock market. You’ve just got to pick them up!

Among the top stocks, you can consider dividend stocks that tend to increase their dividends. Here is a dividend-growth stock that offers a high yield of 8%!

Market crash: Massive buy signal in Enbridge stock

Enbridge (TSX:ENB)(NYSE:ENB) stock is a Dividend Aristocrat. It has increased its dividend for 24 consecutive years. And it has paid dividends for more than 65 years.

The company is the North American energy infrastructure leader. At the recent quotation of $39 and change per share, the dividend stock yields 8.2%.

Enbridge stock had a big buy signal this quarter. 10 insiders bought a total of $1.7 million worth of the Dividend Aristocrat from the stock market at an average price of $45.80 per share. The strong insider buying should give investors confidence that Enbridge will survive this economic turmoil.

Market crash: Is Enbridge stock’s dividend not sustainable?

The market crash and Enbridge stock’s resultant high yield isn’t what’s causing investor anxiety over the sustainability of the stock’s dividend.

In 2019, Enbridge generated $13.2 billion of adjusted EBITDA. Roughly 53% came from liquids pipelines, 29% from gas transmission and midstream, 14% from gas distribution, and 3% from renewable power generation and transmission.

The EBITDA translated to $9.2 billion of distributable cash flow. The distributable cash flow is what remains after paying for items such as interest expense, maintenance capital, income taxes, and preferred share dividends. This led to a 2019 payout ratio of 65%.

Unfortunately, the coronavirus pandemic caused an energy market crash as well as lower demand for energy.

Although Enbridge’s cash flow is somewhat protected by long-term contracts, let’s assume a more bearish case that it only earns 60% and 70%, respectively, of its 2019 adjusted EBITDA from its core businesses of liquids pipelines and gas transmission and midstream.

Additionally, let’s assume Enbridge generates the same amount of cash flow from its other businesses. That would translate to a reduction of roughly 43% of distributable cash flow, which would lead to a payout ratio that’s temporarily stretched to roughly 125%.

The longer the coronavirus epidemic in North America drags on, the bigger the risk that Enbridge stock could cut its dividend. However, if we’re able to slow down the virus, the economy will get back to its normal state sooner.

The Foolish bottom line

This market crash has brought Enbridge stock’s valuation to the cheapest level in 20 years. If the economy gets back to normal by next year, I think the stock can have a temporarily extended payout ratio while maintaining its generous dividend.

A working vaccine isn’t expected to arrive until a year later. So, everyone should do their part to stay home as much as possible and to wash their hands regularly. This will help slow the spread of the coronavirus, save lives, and get our economy back to normal sooner.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of Enbridge. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Enbridge.

More on Dividend Stocks

infrastructure like highways enables economic growth
Dividend Stocks

3 TSX Stocks That Could Benefit From Canada’s Huge Infrastructure Spending

These three TSX infrastructure plays cover the full chain, from design to building, and they can benefit from multi-year spending…

Read more »

Piggy bank with word TFSA for tax-free savings accounts.
Dividend Stocks

Here’s the Average TFSA Balance for Canadians Age 50

The average TFSA balance for many Canadians aged 50 remains significantly lower than the maximum allowed ceiling.

Read more »

tree rings show growth patience passage of time
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Dividend Stocks I’d Hold for the Next Decade

High-yield dividends can supercharge long-term returns, but only if free cash flow covers payouts and debt stays manageable.

Read more »

Redwood forest shows growth potential with time
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks Yielding 4%+ That Still Have Growth Potential

A 4%+ yield works best when it’s backed by real cash flow and a plan to grow, not just a…

Read more »

Man meditating in lotus position outdoor on patio
Dividend Stocks

This Canadian Dividend Stock Is Down 21% and Still a Forever Buy

Gildan Activewear stock is down 21%, but its HanesBrands acquisition, $250 million in synergies, and 20–25% EPS growth make it…

Read more »

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Dividend Stocks

Undervalued Canadian Stocks to Buy Now

Here are some quality Canadian stocks trading at a discount that you can consider buying on dips.

Read more »

running robot changes direction
Dividend Stocks

4 TSX Stocks to Buy Now as Investors Rotate Back to Value

Value rotations reward companies with real cash flow, fair prices, and dividends you can collect while you wait.

Read more »

upside down girl playing on swing over the sea,
Dividend Stocks

A Dependable Dividend Stock to Buy With $20,000 Right Now

This dependable stock has the ability consistently pay and increase its yearly payouts regardless of market conditions.

Read more »