The art of value investing requires picking up those “discarded cigarette butts” and grabbing another puff or two, as iconic investor Warren Buffett would say. In other words, buying equities when everyone else is running for the hills has proven to be a time-tested strategy, which generally outperforms over long periods of time.
In this article, I have two beaten-up picks for value investors. These are solid picks for those who don’t mind a little near-term downside momentum in the search for long-term value.
Canadian National Railway
Canada’s railroads have lost approximately one-third of their value in about a month, at the time of writing. This is due to obvious concerns about a global recession impacting the Canadian economy in a meaningful way. After all, the success of companies like Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) is highly correlated with growth in the North American economy.
That said, Canadian National has an impressive backlog it will need to work through before load factors are impacted in a meaningful way. Therefore, this backlog provides a near-term cushion, which should soften the blow for investors cringing at Q1 earnings possibilities.
Rail remains much more economical and environmentally friendly than other land transportation methods. This fact provides some medium-term stability in the face of broader pessimism around economic growth long term. Should we enter a meaningful recession, CNR will get hit hard. However, CNR will perhaps not be hit as hard as many other Canadian businesses from a solvency and earnings perspective. Therefore, this railroad is a top long-term pick for me, despite near-term turbulence.
Another one of my favourite companies to follow that has been hit hard of late is WPT Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX:WIR.U). This REIT holds a number of high-quality industrial real estate properties centered in the United States. This means Canadian investors are able to get access to an asset mismatch via this Canada-listed REIT holding U.S. assets, earning income in U.S. dollars. Therefore, Canadian investors will benefit from currency diversification and WPT’s international focus.
By investing in WPT, Canadian investors will also get access to properties that would otherwise be unattainable to individuals. We’re talking about warehouses and industrial real estate in prime locations, often valued at more than US$10 million each. These properties are mainly occupied by blue-chip tenants with long-term leases. Therefore, this REIT’s cash flow is much more stable than, say, a residential/apartment REIT with shorter lease durations and lower average tenant quality.
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This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.
David Gardner owns shares of Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool recommends Canadian National Railway. Fool contributor Chris MacDonald does not have ownership in any stocks mentioned in this article.