Warren Buffett Bets on Gold: Should You Follow Suit?

Warren Buffett’s bet on gold goes against his previous statements, but it still falls in line with his value investing principles.

| More on:

Gold prices soared to record levels in July. At the time, I’d discussed why investors should continue to have faith in precious metals. Meanwhile, this also indicated that there was still considerable anxiety when it came to the broader market and economy. Today, I want to discuss Warren Buffett’s big and somewhat surprising bet on one of the biggest players in the gold mining space.

What is behind Buffett’s sudden change of heart? Moreover, should you follow in his footsteps? Let’s dive in.

Warren Buffett: Why the change of heart on gold?

In early 2019, Warren Buffett was critical of investors who were bullish on gold and bearish on the long-term prospects of the United States economy. “The magical metal was no match for the American mettle,” he wrote. However, his comments should be taken in context. Warren Buffett correctly pointed out that the S&P 500 had outperformed the spot price of gold in the modern era. That does not mean that gold does not hold value as a hedge.

Buffett’s company Berkshire Hathaway recently added a $562 million stake in Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX)(NYSE:ABX). Shares of Barrick Gold shot up 11% on August 17 in response to the news. It is now trading close to its 52-week high.

It is important to note that Warren Buffett may not be behind the purchase itself. Investors and analysts tend to blend Buffett and Berkshire together. However, Buffett’s investing lieutenants Ted Weschler or Todd Combs could be behind the purchase. Regardless, Berkshire has made a big purchase in one of the largest gold producers in the world. The question is, should investors follow suit?

Should investors follow suit and pour into this sector?

Earlier this month, I’d discussed why some of Warren Buffett’s favourite indicators suggested that a market crash may be imminent. Gold has proven to be one of the most dependable safe havens. However, gold equities are also just as susceptible as the broader market to periods of severe volatility.

Shares of Barrick Gold have now climbed 65% in 2020 as of close on August 17. The company released its second-quarter 2020 results on July 16. Unsurprisingly, it has had a strong start in the first six months of the fiscal year. Group gold production in the year-to-date period reached 2.4 million ounces, at the midpoint of its 4.6 to 5.0 million guided range.

Warren Buffett is a major proponent of value investing. That involves targeting and buying stocks at less than their intrinsic value. Barrick Gold has had a phenomenal year so far, but it still fits the bill for value investors. This top producer is reliable and possesses an excellent balance sheet.

Moreover, the stock last had a price-to-earnings ratio of 12 and a price-to-book value of 2.4. This puts Barrick in attractive value territory relative to its industry peers.

Gold has bounced back quickly from its early August dip. Fortunately, Barrick still offers favourable value for those looking to follow in the footsteps of Warren Buffett’s company.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Canadian investor contemplating U.S. stocks with multiple doors to choose from.
Energy Stocks

Suncor, Enbridge, or Canadian Natural? Here’s Which Oil Stock Makes Sense for Your Portfolio

Let's compare and contrast three of the best energy stocks in the Canadian market, and see which comes out as…

Read more »

social media scrolling on phone networking
Investing

This TFSA Stock Offers a Rock-Solid 5% Yield

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock looks like a great dividend bargain to pursue as things turn around.

Read more »

monthly calendar with clock
Energy Stocks

Today’s Perfect TFSA Stock: 5% Monthly Income

This top monthly dividend stock yielding 5% is worth considering for investors of nearly all time horizons and risk tolerance…

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Investing

The Canadian ETFs Most Investors Are Overlooking Right Now

Neither of these ETFs holds flashy companies, but they can make sense for contrarian investors.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

How $14,000 Can Become a Steady TFSA Dividend Income Engine

Investors can build a reliable TFSA dividend strategy by turning $14,000 into steady, tax‑free income with Enbridge, Scotiabank, and Emera.

Read more »

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

3 Canadian Energy Stocks That Win When Oil Spikes and Hold Up When it Doesn’t

These energy companies’ operating structures reduce downside risk, making them relatively defensive bets during periods of weak prices.

Read more »

Piggy bank and Canadian coins
Dividend Stocks

1 Single Stock That I’d Hold Forever in a TFSA

This stock is an excellent consideration to buy on dips and hold forever in a TFSA.

Read more »

pig shows concept of sustainable investing
Retirement

How Much Canadians Typically Have in a TFSA by Age 50

Here's what the average TFSA balance is for Canadians at age 50, what it should be, and the pitfalls worth…

Read more »