Are Stocks Too Expensive? 2 Reasons Why They Aren’t

You might think that the TSX is too expensive when looking at some big names on the stock market, but it might not be the case.

| More on:

The S&P/TSX Composite Index has been on another volatile run in recent weeks. After hitting new all-time highs in November 2021, the Canadian benchmark index is down by 4.73% at writing. Considering that the stock market has been on a constant upward trend throughout this year, it’s leading many investors to think that stocks are too expensive.

Barring the COVID-19-frenzy-fueled downturn in February and March 2020, the stock market has been rising for over a decade. The Canadian benchmark index is up by a massive 54.04% since mid January 2011, a return much more significant than the decades before this. It is natural to assume that the stock market is overheating right now.

A short-term pullback had been long overdue, and we might be in the middle of that right now. However, stocks, as a whole, might not be overvalued. It is true that prices for equity securities like the top tech stocks are rising, but so are earnings. If you consider a stock’s valuation expensive or cheap based on its earnings, most stocks might have become cheaper.

The Price-to-Earnings ratio is slowing down

Taking a look at the S&P 500’s average performance can put things into better perspective. The index was trading at a historically high 35 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for most of 2021. The S&P 500’s P/E ratio had not been this high since 2009, during the peak of the last great recession. Stock markets worldwide saw massive declines, but the overall economic environment also meant lower earnings for companies.

The overall historical average P/E for the market is 18. The ratio hitting 35 would be a major cause for concern. However, the P/E ratio has been going down. At writing, the P/E for the S&P 500 sits at 29.41. Many companies saw challenges riddle their paths during 2020 but have spent most of 2021 recovering from the impact of COVID-19.

This year has painted a completely different picture for most TSX stocks. The changing economic landscape in the new normal has led to several companies seeing revenues soar this year. The tech sector has done particularly well due to technology playing a crucial role in facilitating the new normal.

Tech stocks are no longer as expensive as they initially were

The tech industry and some of the top tech stocks like Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) and Lightspeed Commerce (TSX:LSPD)(NYSE:LSPD) are primary reasons stocks became so expensive. Lightspeed Commerce had been unbelievably expensive the last few years. Then, the stock kicked things up a notch as the pandemic hit, reaching a P/E ratio of 50 at one point.

At writing, the situation has changed entirely. Lightspeed Commerce stock is trading for $50.90 per share, down by almost 70% from its all-time highs. At current levels, Lightspeed Commerce stock boasts a price-to-sales ratio of just 14.30. If there was ever a cheap stock to consider buying on the dip, it would be Lightspeed stock today.

It might take some time for the stock to regain momentum, but it will likely recover to its all-time high and surpass it in the coming years.

Foolish takeaway

The ongoing market correction is creating plenty of opportunities for investors seeking value stocks right now. There are plenty of names that could be value traps after the correction. However, several TSX stocks could be temporarily cheap. If you are looking for such investments, Lightspeed Commerce stock could be one of them.

Fool contributor Adam Othman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns and recommends Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends Lightspeed Commerce.

More on Investing

a person watches stock market trades
Stocks for Beginners

Why Smart Canadian Investors Are Watching These 3 Stocks Right Now

These three TSX names are on investors’ watchlists because each has a real catalyst, real growth, and just enough proof…

Read more »

four people hold happy emoji masks
Dividend Stocks

Love Income Stocks? This High-Yield Alternative to Telus Might be Worth a Look

Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust offers a high-yield of 6.6%, with the benefits of diversification, strong returns, and growth.

Read more »

hand stacks coins
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Dividend Stocks Whose Passive Income Just Keeps Climbing

Here's a group of Canadian dividend stocks investors can look to buying on dips for growing passive income.

Read more »

Forklift in a warehouse
Dividend Stocks

2 TFSA Dividend Stocks I’d Lock In Now for Long-Term Income

TFSA investors: Shield high-yield REIT income from taxes forever. Lock in SmartCentres REIT (6.6% yield) & Granite REIT now for…

Read more »

real estate and REITs can be good investments for Canadians
Dividend Stocks

2 Top Canadian Stocks to Buy if Rates Stay Higher for Longer

These two high-yield TSX lenders look built for “higher-for-longer” rates, with dividends supported by earnings and loans that can reprice.

Read more »

Canada national flag waving in wind on clear day
Tech Stocks

1 Canadian Stock to Buy Before the Bank of Canada Speaks

BlackBerry is suddenly looking like a real pre-Bank of Canada play, with sticky government and auto customers, plus a turnaround…

Read more »

Start line on the highway
Investing

5 TSX Stocks That Could Be a Great Starting Point for New Canadian Investors

These TSX stocks offer stability, consistent income through dividends, and moderate but reliable long-term growth to new investors.

Read more »

Concept of multiple streams of income
Dividend Stocks

3 Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stocks I’m Still Buying

These three TSX high-yielders try to back up their payouts with real cash flow, not just a flashy headline yield.

Read more »