Is Now the Time to Bet on Barrick Gold Corp.?

Barrick Gold Corp. (TSX:ABX)(NYSE:ABX) has suffered its share of difficulties, but may have finally turned a corner.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

On Wednesday, Barrick Gold Corp. (TSX: ABX)(NYSE: ABX) reported results for the third quarter of 2014, and results were better than expectations, particularly on the cost side.

As a result, the company has revised its guidance for 2014. Barrick now expects all-in sustaining costs to be $880-$920 per ounce for the year, down from previous 2014 guidance of $900-$920 per ounce. The company also bumped up its expectations for copper production.

The low cost numbers represent a real shift for Barrick, and are the result of some tremendous cost-cutting efforts. So is now the time to take a chance on the company? Below, we take a look at three reasons to do so.

1. Improved discipline

This is a change that was desperately needed at Barrick. When gold prices were high, the company was spending billions on wasteful projects and unwise acquisitions. Mine costs were through the roof, but no one seemed to care. So when gold prices plunged, the company was caught red-handed, and the stock has suffered tremendously.

But now spending is much more under control. To illustrate, all-in costs are down to $951 per ounce so far this year. In 2013, that number was $1,269. Capital spending is also under control, expected to decrease by at least 50% relative to last year. Better yet, roughly half of capital expenditures are taking place in Nevada, a safe jurisdiction that Barrick is very familiar with.

2. Financial flexibility

At first, this seems to be a point of weakness. After all, Barrick still has over $13 billion in debt, a massive number for a company valued at only $16 billion. But the company’s debt is not as much of a burden as one would think.

In fact, only $1 billion of debt is due by the end of 2017. In the meantime, Barrick has $2.7 billion of cash and a $4 billion undrawn credit facility. So even if the gold price plunges, then the company’s debt will not sink the company.

To be fair, Barrick’s debt will likely impede the company from doing any major acquisitions. But given the miner’s recent history, a break from acquisitions is probably a good thing.

3. A depressed price

Despite these improvements, Barrick’s stock price is as depressed as ever. As of this writing, the stock price is down about 4% on the day, and has now reached a low not seen for decades.

Barrick is also trading at a significant discount to peers. For example, Goldcorp is valued more highly than Barrick, despite having about half the production.

So if you’re looking to bet on the price of gold, Barrick may now be the way to do it. Otherwise, there are still plenty of great options for your portfolio. Five are revealed in the free report below.

Fool contributor Benjamin Sinclair has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Metals and Mining Stocks

man looks surprised at investment growth
Tech Stocks

2 Canadian Stocks That Could Surprise Investors in 2026

These two TSX stocks have momentum and catalysts that could still drive upside surprises in 2026.

Read more »

builder frames a house with lumber
Stocks for Beginners

Why These 3 Canadian Stocks Look So Attractive Right Now

These three TSX commodity stocks have clear catalysts and still offer upside without chasing overheated momentum.

Read more »

Stacked gold bars
Stocks for Beginners

1 Top TSX Stock to Buy Before the Next Market Shock

Market shocks hit suddenly, so gold miners like B2Gold can offer cash flow and real-asset protection.

Read more »

panning for gold uncovers nuggets and flakes
Metals and Mining Stocks

Should TFSA Investors Buy Gold on a Dip?

Barrick’s strong cash flow and expanding North American assets could support more upside for TFSA investors.

Read more »

investor schemes to buy stocks before market notices them
Metals and Mining Stocks

1 Canadian Stock I’d Buy Before Investors Wake Up to This Trend

Torex’s Media Luna ramp-up has turned it from a one-mine story into a growing cash-generating gold producer that still trades…

Read more »

Two seniors float in a pool.
Stocks for Beginners

Why I’d Buy These 3 TSX Stocks Before Summer

Summer setups can look best when they combine steady demand, real catalysts, and enough financial strength to handle noise.

Read more »

panning for gold uncovers nuggets and flakes
Metals and Mining Stocks

Should TFSA Investors Buy Gold on a Dip?

Sprott Physical Gold Trust (TSX:PHYS) stands out as a wise bet as gold limps back after a tough first quarter…

Read more »

woman considering the future
Stocks for Beginners

3 Canadian Stocks That Look Like Smart Long-Term Buys Today

Three TSX dividend names offer staying power in very different ways: media tech, gold production, and real-asset development.

Read more »