Air Canada Beats Estimates, Stock Soars

One day’s gain doesn’t make for a great long-term thesis.

The Motley Fool

Air Canada’s (TSX:AC.B) stock is flying on Wednesday after announcing better than expected quarterly results.

With just over an hour in trading to go, the stock sits up a tidy 25% after more than 8 million shares have traded hands thus far.  That’s a slight increase over the typical 1.1 million or so that trade on an average day.

Capital IQ indicates that normalized earnings for our national airline came in at $0.41 vs. an estimate of $0.13.  The company exceeded estimates on the top line as well, as quarterly revenues checked in at $3.057 billion vs. the estimated $3.018 billion.  Incidentally, this was the best second quarter revenue ever.

Increased sales of inflight earphones have been attributed to this beat.  Not really.

Positive year-over-year yield growth of 1.5% was no doubt a factor in this huge move by the stock, particularly after WestJet (TSX:WJA) reported that yield growth had turned negative in the Q2’13.

Cost containment was another big positive.  Management now expects costs to be down 1% to 2% in 2013 vs. the projected -0.5% to -1.5%.  Lower maintenance costs appear to be behind this improved forecast.

Maintenance is precisely the area that frequent flyers are happy to see costs being contained.  Again, not really.

The Foolish Bottom Line

If you bought Air Canada shares yesterday and sold them today, congratulations, you are in the minority of investors that have ever made money on an airline stock.  While the company appears to be flying along smoothly at the moment, you can almost bet that it won’t always be so.  And with a still wonky balance sheet that carries more than $3 billion of debt and negative equity, Air Canada faces significant long-term financial risk alongside the implied business risk that its industry holds.  Investors beware!

Hate business risk?  And financial risk?  You’re not alone.  That’s why we’ve created a special FREE report that profiles 3 companies that are so dominant that these risks hardly apply.  Click here now to download “3 U.S. Companies That Every Canadian Should Own”.  It’s free!

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Iain Butler does not own shares in any company mentioned at this time.  The Motley Fool doesn’t own shares in any of the companies mentioned.

More on Investing

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

A Canadian Dividend Pick Down 22%: A “Forever” Hold

CN Rail (TSX:CNR) is a great wide-moat stock to stash away for the long haul despite a lack of results…

Read more »

earn passive income by investing in dividend paying stocks
Dividend Stocks

When Doing Nothing Is the Smartest Investment Move

When investors have built a solid portfolio, they can sit back during volatility and consider buying more shares on weakness.

Read more »

senior man and woman stretch their legs on yoga mats outside
Retirement

2 Dividend Stocks for Canadian Investors to Hold Through Retirement

These stocks have delivered annual dividend growth for decades.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

5 Dividend Stocks Everyone Should Own

Owning a diversified mix of dividend stocks can provide a growing, stable source of income that lasts decades.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Tuesday, February 10

A surge in metals and a rebound in tech drove the TSX sharply higher to start the week, while today’s…

Read more »

some REITs give investors exposure to commercial real estate
Dividend Stocks

The Best TSX Dividend Stock to Buy in February

A quiet TSX real estate name with a modest yield may offer a safer February dividend than the flashy high-yield…

Read more »

Warning sign with the text "Trade war" in front of container ship
Dividend Stocks

The Canadian Companies Thriving Despite (or Because of) Trade Tensions

Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) is thriving despite trade tensions.

Read more »

customer uses bank ATM
Dividend Stocks

Invest $5,000 in This Dividend Stock for $168 in Passive Income

Propel Holdings just pulled off something most fintech companies only dream about –regulatory approval to launch its own bank.

Read more »