Earn a 3.9% Dividend Yield From Alberta’s Oil Bonanza

This could be the top dividend growth stock of the next decade.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Fort McMurray, Alberta, is home to one of the largest construction projects in human history.

You wouldn’t know it looking at the statistics. With a population just north of 60,000, Fort McMurray is scarcely larger than some Toronto suburbs. Yet this tiny town is ground zero for Alberta’s oil bonanza.

Thanks to new technologies like Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage, billions of barrels of previously unrecoverable bitumen are now being extracted from the nearby oil sands.

This field is massive. In terms of proven reserves, Alberta’s oil sands hold 168 billion barrels of crude, ranking second only to Saudi Arabia. Though new technologies could push that figure much higher.

And according to the many estimates, oil sands output alone is set to almost triple over the next 20 years.

That’s why TransCanada (TSX:TRP, NYSE:TRP) could be the top dividend growth stock of the next decade.

The company owns 68,500 kilometres of oil and gas pipelines — enough to cross the country almost two and a half times — that move valuable commodities around the continent.

TransCanada’s business is critical pillar in our society. Our daily lives would be drastically different without the commodities the company ships through its pipelines or the power the firm generates for our homes. That means TransCanada sees consistent demand for its services.

And the profits the company earns are just as consistent. Most of the revenue TransCanada generates is fee based. Commodity prices have little impact on the company’s overall profitability. It simply earns a fee for every barrel that flows through its pipelines.

And TransCanada returns much of that cash back to shareholders through dividends. The company has hiked its dividend payment for 13 straight years since 2000. In the past year, TransCanada distributed $1.3 billion to investors, and today the stock yields 3.9%.

But that’s small potatoes compared to what could happen next.

Thanks to Alberta’s energy boom, the amount of bitumen currently being pulled daily out of the ground is only a fraction of what’s to come.

According to the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, oil sands production is expected to surpass 5.2 million barrels per day by 2030 – almost triple current output.

This will require a massive expansion of Canada’s energy infrastructure to move all of this output to market. Companies that collect, ship, and store all of this production are poised to make a fortune.

TransCanada has a remarkable $38 billion in secured expansion projects on the books through 2018. Keep in mind, this is already one of the country’s largest midstream players, already endowed with a great set wide-moat assets.

And while most investors avoid this stock because of the Keystone XL pipeline debacle, it’s important to note that the southern leg of the project is already completed.

While full construction is certainly a nice bonus, Keystone is only a portion of the company’s growth strategy. With new proposals such as Energy East, it’s becoming less and less relevant by the day.

Investors could definitely be rewarded for years to come through steady cash flow, increasing dividends, and a backlog of expansion projects as TransCanada taps into Alberta’s oil bonanza.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Disclosure: Robert Baillieul has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article.

More on Investing

funds, money, nest egg
Investing

Retirees: 3 Canadian Stocks You Can Confidently Own for the Next 20 Years

Here's why retirees need to plan beyond 20 years in retirement. Fortis Inc. (TSX:FTS), Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY) stock…

Read more »

Question marks in a pile
Tech Stocks

Should You Invest in Absolute Software Stock Right Now?

Absolute Software (TSX:ABST) is a tech stock that is worth your attention, as it offers exposure to exciting security markets.

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

1 Oversold Dividend Stock I’d Buy in December 2022

Here’s one of the best Canadian dividend stocks to buy in December that I find undervalued.

Read more »

Investing

FOR TUESDAY – 3 TSX Stocks to Buy Today and Hold for the Next 3 Years

Given their growth prospects, these three TSX stocks could outperform over the next three years.

Read more »

Supermarket aisle with empty green shopping cart
Stocks for Beginners

Is Dollarama Stock a Buy at All-Time Highs?

Dollarama stock (TSX:DOL) remains at all-time highs while the rest of the market drops. Does this mean it's due to…

Read more »

Online shopping
Tech Stocks

Should You Buy Shopify Stock If the Rate Hike Cycle Slows?

Is SHOP stock a buy after its 72% drop this year?

Read more »

A bull outlined against a field
Investing

2 Canadian Stocks Set to Soar in a New Bull Market

Consider Sleep Country Canada Holdings (TSX:ZZZ) stock and another mid-cap bargain, as the bear market moves on.

Read more »

Gold bars
Metals and Mining Stocks

Better Buy: Newmont or Barrick Gold Stock?

If you think better days are ahead for gold miners, consider exploring gold stocks Newmont and Barrick Gold.

Read more »