Is BlackBerry Ripe for a Comeback?

The first quarter of 2015 saw BlackBerry post a GAAP profit… is it time to get back in?

| More on:
The Motley Fool

BlackBerry (TSX: BB)(NASDAQ: BBRY) missed revenue estimates in six of the last eight quarters, not to mention the heavy cash burn and write-downs it had to live through during those periods, but last quarter, BlackBerry managed to post a GAAP profit.

Could this be the bottom investors have been waiting for? Frankly, taking a position in Blackberry even now is a gamble — here’s why.

The competition isn’t standing still

Last quarter, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) sold 43 million iPhones even after the record breaking 51 million in Q1. Of those 43 million, 66% came from overseas (BlackBerry’s bread and butter), showing that Apple is set to gain share in the emerging marketplace. Meanwhile, Google has over 1 billion Android devices activated and more than half of the market in the U.S., along with an ever-increasing offering of products within the Android ecosystem. BlackBerry is going to need a blockbuster product to attract consumers to its products.

The menace of another write-down

BlackBerry gets 71% of its revenue outside North America and while it was announced that the Z3 was launched in Indonesia along with eight new markets to follow, a write-down of inventory due to low sales is probable. Considering BlackBerry’s recent history with new products coupled with competition from the emerging market phone manufacturers, it is a danger that needs to be taken into account.

A sliver of optimism

Along the cost reduction side of the income statement, BlackBerry seems to be doing well with its strategy. It managed to post a gross margin of 48%, an increment of 5% over last quarter along with reducing adjusted operating expenses by 57% on a year-over-year basis. So while growth is not quite there yet, at least the company is now more aligned on the cost side with its anticipated revenue stream. The sale of its real estate managed to increase cash on the balance sheet to $3.1 billion, allowing management more freedom to maneuver without the threat of liquidity in the near to mid future.

New markets and executive vote of trust

It was announced last week that BlackBerry signed an accord with Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) to open the BlackBerry devices to the Amazon app store, giving its users access to the most popular apps on the market at the moment. Moreover, new CEO John Chen bought 50,000 shares so far in 2014 sending a signal that the top executive is bullish on the company’s prospects.

Proceed at your own risk

Whether or not you believe in BlackBerry, opening a position is speculation at this stage. With such high volatility both pre- and post-earnings release in the past years, it might be more prudent to sit this one out until the restructuring is on more sound footing.

 

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor François Denault has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. David Gardner owns shares of Amazon.com, Apple, and Google (C shares). Tom Gardner owns shares of Google (C shares). The Motley Fool owns shares of Amazon.com, Apple, and Google (C shares).

More on Investing

Dividend Stocks

2 of the Best Dividend Stocks to Buy Before They Start to Recover

These dividend stocks offer superior deals for those seeking long-term passive income, but these prices certainly won't last forever.

Read more »

HIGH VOLTAGE ELECRICITY TOWERS
Dividend Stocks

Algonquin Insiders Are Loading Up on AQN Stock – Should You Follow?

Algonquin Power and Utilities (TSX:AQN) insiders poured millions into AQN stock last week. Share valuation multiples seem compelling.

Read more »

Young adult woman walking up the stairs with sun sport background
Stocks for Beginners

New Investor? Buy These 2 Growth Stocks

These two growth stocks are perfect if you want superior growth in the near future but a long-term hold that…

Read more »

Man data analyze
Investing

A Passive-Income Triple Play: 3 Top TSX Stocks to Buy Together

These two top Canadian dividend stocks provide long-term investors with much-needed stability and passive income right now.

Read more »

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Dividend Stocks

TFSA: 2 Stocks To Earn Passive Income Even in a Recession

Investors are coping with 2023 recession fears differently. Some are investing in stocks that can create long-term passive income.

Read more »

Investing

2 Top Canadian Retail Stocks That Could Get a Holiday Boost

Here's why Canadian Tire (TSX:CTC.A) and Canada Goose (TSX:GOOS) are two top Canadian retail stocks to buy right now.

Read more »

Cogs turning against each other
Dividend Stocks

3 Stocks You Can Confidently Own in an Upside-Down Market

Although many stocks have lost major value this year, here are three high-quality companies you can confidently own in this…

Read more »

Increasing yield
Dividend Stocks

2 Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stocks on Sale Today

Besides their ultra-high yields, here are more factors that make these two of the best Canadian dividend stocks worth buying…

Read more »