Were the Short-Sellers Wrong? Is Aphria Inc (TSX:APHA) a Good Buy?

Aphria Inc (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) hopes that a recent report will put to rest questions about some of its investments.

Aphria (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) has seen its name dragged through the mud for some time. The stock was one of the worst performing on the TSX last year, and it even got a low-ball offer last year from a company that saw an opportunity to make a steal of a deal. However, a lot of the stock’s struggles stem from the bad press it has received surrounding its investments in other parts of the world; a short-seller alleged that the investments were worthless and that the company was a “black hole.”

Since then, Aphria has done its own analysis of the acquisition of LATAM Holdings Inc., the one which the company has been accused of overpaying for. A special committee of independent directors acting with legal and accounting professionals set out to review the dealings and decipher if any wrongdoing took place.

In their findings, the special committee was able to confirm the existence of the assets in both Colombia and Jamaica, as advisors had conducted in-person site reviews. Another key finding was that the purchase price paid for the acquisition was “within an acceptable range as compared to similar acquisitions by competitors.” The committee did note, however, that there were some conflicting interests involving non-independent directors that weren’t fully disclosed.

What does this mean for investors?

This report should alleviate some of the concerns that investors had of the assets not existing or being wildly overpriced. One of the risks when a company invests in another part of the world is that it’s often not easy to gain visibility into those assets to see that they really exist or that they’re worth what the company paid for them. However, by verifying the assets, the committee was able to address a big cloud hanging over Aphria’s investments and should help add some confidence to its balance sheet.

While the committee did note that the price paid was comparable to others, that wouldn’t suggest to me that it’s still a good price. After all, we’ve seen many high price tags when it comes to the cannabis industry, and it might not be a good ball park to compare against. At the very least, however, investors can have some sense of relief that it isn’t a whole lot worse than what Aphria’s peers have paid for some of their investments.

Is the stock a buy?

Aphria’s stock has started the year on a good rally, rising more than 60% year to date. Last week’s news could help propel the stock even higher, as investors might see this as an opportunity to buy the stock back up before it peaks yet again. The one sobering reminder for investors is that the stock has been very volatile over the past year and it’s a very high-risk buy, even with fears being calmed a little about the company’s investments.

Outside a spike in price around August to November, Aphria’s stock has typically traded at around $12 or less over the past 12 months, and I wouldn’t expect this news to carry it much higher. Without a big development or earnings report, I still wouldn’t consider buying Aphria today.

Fool contributor David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Tech Stocks

Meet the Canadian Semiconductor Stock Up 150% This Year

Given its healthy growth outlook and reasonable valuation, 5N Plus would be a compelling buy at these levels.

Read more »

top TSX stocks to buy
Stocks for Beginners

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy With $5,000 in 2026

If you are looking to invest $5,000 in 2026, these top Canadian stocks stand out for their solid momentum, financial…

Read more »

Dam of hydroelectric power plant in Canadian Rockies
Energy Stocks

2 Stocks Worth Buying and Holding in a TFSA Right Now

Given their regulated business model, visible growth trajectory, and reliable income stream, these two Canadian stocks are ideal for your…

Read more »

money goes up and down in balance
Tech Stocks

1 Magnificent Canadian Stock Down 26% to Buy and Hold Forever

Lightspeed isn’t the pandemic high-flyer anymore and that reset may be exactly what gives patient investors a better-risk, better-price entry…

Read more »

A worker drinks out of a mug in an office.
Dividend Stocks

2 Magnificent TSX Dividend Stocks Down 35% to Buy and Hold Forever

These two top TSX dividend stocks are both high-quality businesses and trading unbelievably cheap, making them two of the best…

Read more »

happy woman throws cash
Dividend Stocks

This 7.5% Dividend Stock Sends Cash to Investors Every Single Month

If you want TFSA-friendly income you can actually feel each month, this beaten-down REIT offers a high yield while it…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

1 Smart Buy-and-Hold Canadian Stock

This ultra-reliable Canadian stock is the perfect business to buy now and hold in your portfolio for decades to come.

Read more »

man touches brain to show a good idea
Stocks for Beginners

The No-Brainer Canadian Stocks I’d Buy With $5,000 Right Now

Explore promising Canadian stocks to buy now. Invest $5,000 wisely for new opportunities and growth in 2027.

Read more »