Were the Short-Sellers Wrong? Is Aphria Inc (TSX:APHA) a Good Buy?

Aphria Inc (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) hopes that a recent report will put to rest questions about some of its investments.

Aphria (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) has seen its name dragged through the mud for some time. The stock was one of the worst performing on the TSX last year, and it even got a low-ball offer last year from a company that saw an opportunity to make a steal of a deal. However, a lot of the stock’s struggles stem from the bad press it has received surrounding its investments in other parts of the world; a short-seller alleged that the investments were worthless and that the company was a “black hole.”

Since then, Aphria has done its own analysis of the acquisition of LATAM Holdings Inc., the one which the company has been accused of overpaying for. A special committee of independent directors acting with legal and accounting professionals set out to review the dealings and decipher if any wrongdoing took place.

In their findings, the special committee was able to confirm the existence of the assets in both Colombia and Jamaica, as advisors had conducted in-person site reviews. Another key finding was that the purchase price paid for the acquisition was “within an acceptable range as compared to similar acquisitions by competitors.” The committee did note, however, that there were some conflicting interests involving non-independent directors that weren’t fully disclosed.

What does this mean for investors?

This report should alleviate some of the concerns that investors had of the assets not existing or being wildly overpriced. One of the risks when a company invests in another part of the world is that it’s often not easy to gain visibility into those assets to see that they really exist or that they’re worth what the company paid for them. However, by verifying the assets, the committee was able to address a big cloud hanging over Aphria’s investments and should help add some confidence to its balance sheet.

While the committee did note that the price paid was comparable to others, that wouldn’t suggest to me that it’s still a good price. After all, we’ve seen many high price tags when it comes to the cannabis industry, and it might not be a good ball park to compare against. At the very least, however, investors can have some sense of relief that it isn’t a whole lot worse than what Aphria’s peers have paid for some of their investments.

Is the stock a buy?

Aphria’s stock has started the year on a good rally, rising more than 60% year to date. Last week’s news could help propel the stock even higher, as investors might see this as an opportunity to buy the stock back up before it peaks yet again. The one sobering reminder for investors is that the stock has been very volatile over the past year and it’s a very high-risk buy, even with fears being calmed a little about the company’s investments.

Outside a spike in price around August to November, Aphria’s stock has typically traded at around $12 or less over the past 12 months, and I wouldn’t expect this news to carry it much higher. Without a big development or earnings report, I still wouldn’t consider buying Aphria today.

Fool contributor David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Best Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold in a TFSA

Given their reliable business models, consistent financials, and healthy growth prospects, these three Canadian stocks are ideal additions to your…

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Dividend Stocks

What Every Investor Should Know Before Buying BCE for its Dividend

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock looks like an untimely trap, but there's a strong case for buying as the firm looks to…

Read more »

senior man and woman stretch their legs on yoga mats outside
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Dividend Stocks Retirees Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade

These dividend stocks provide the right mix of growth, income, and stability for the long term.

Read more »

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations
Dividend Stocks

3 Stocks to Build a Strong Canadian Income Portfolio

While no dividend is guaranteed, these companies have shown their ability to generate resilient cash flows and return capital.

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Dividend Stocks

2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold for a Decade of Income

With resilient business models, reliable cash flows, high yields, and healthy growth prospects, these two Canadian stocks are ideal for…

Read more »

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Investing

Buy the Dip: 3 Stocks to Buy Today and Hold for the Next 5 Years

These stocks are under pressure, but should be solid dividend picks over the medium term.

Read more »

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Dividend Stocks

I’d Put My Whole 2026 TFSA Contribution Into this 5.5% Passive-Income Payer

This passive-income payer has raised its dividend every year since 1995. Moreover, it has room to increase its dividend in…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

$10,000 Invested at 8% for 20 Years Could Become $46,610

$10,000 doesn’t need perfect timing to become meaningful wealth — it mainly needs time and compounding.

Read more »