6 Green Flags Indicate This Dividend Stock Could Rally Soon

Canaccord Genuity Group Inc.’s (TSX:CF) dividend is deceptively low. Considering the payout ratio, low debt, cash on hand, growth prospects, and buybacks, the dividend is worth more attention.

| More on:

Dividend yields, more often than not, can be deceptive. Sometimes companies pay out more than they can afford, leading to a rush for a coveted yield. Other times, a company pays out much less than it can afford, leading to unattractive dividend yields that miss the attention of income-seeking investors.

In my opinion, Vancouver-based wealth management company Canaccord Genuity (TSX:CF) is one of the latter. If you’re an active stock picker, you’ve probably come across this company’s research on a wide range of Canadian and American stocks. What you’ve probably missed is the fact that equity research is only a small fraction of Canaccord’s operations.

The company provides wealth management, investment banking, and financial consultation services to companies and individuals spread across much of the developed world. While 80% of revenue last year was generated in North America, the company also has operations in the United Kingdom, United Arab Emirates, European Union, and Australia.

Although the company offers a dividend, the yield is barely 0.65% — one-third the rate on a 10-year Canadian government bond. However, my research indicates six reasons for investors to take a closer look:

Low dividend-payout ratio

Canaccord’s dividend-payout ratio is a mere 11%, which indicates the company is holding back and reinvesting much of the cash it generates. My guess is that the company is building its arsenal for further expansion and acquisitions, like the recently purchased Petsky Prunier LLC, a merger and acquisition specialist based in New York.  

Insiders buying

Insiders have been net buyers of the stock over the past 12 months, deploying $2 million in net inflow. The biggest purchase was driven by Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer Stuart Raftus.

Earnings growth

Revenue, net income, and diluted earnings per share are all up over the past three fiscal years. The company has swung from a $6 million loss in 2016 to a $82 million profit in 2018.

Share buybacks

The company has bought back and retired 1,028,700 shares over the past 12 months. Assuming the average price for these purchases was $6, the company has deployed 50% more cash in buybacks than dividends over the past year. However, some of this buyback is offset by the dilution caused by the company’s stock compensation to employees.

Buy ratings

The two analysts who cover the stock, Jeff Fenwick of Cormark Securities and Graham Ryding of TD Securities, both have buy ratings on Canaccord Genuity. The average of their respective price targets is $9.25, while the stock trades 33% lower.

Cash on hand

As of December 31, 2018, Canaccord Genuity reported $931 million in cash and cash equivalents. That covers the dividend and buyback more than 93 times.

Bottom line

I suspect that Canaccord Genuity is trying to drive growth through the mergers and acquisitions strategies it specializes in. Over the next few years, much of its cash hoard could be deployed in buying financial companies across the world.

If the company can boost the return on equity with this strategy, investors will ultimately reap the benefits of capital appreciation. Meanwhile, there’s always a chance management will be more generous with dividends and buybacks.

Fool contributor Vishesh Raisinghani has no position in any stocks mentioned. 

More on Dividend Stocks

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

Today’s Perfect TFSA Stock: 6% Monthly Income

SmartCentres REIT stands out as the perfect TFSA stock for Canadians seeking reliable monthly income, and long‑term stability.

Read more »

A modern office building detail
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian REITs That Look Worth Buying Right Now

SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) and another yield-rich, passive-income play are fit for Canadian value seekers.

Read more »

man gives stopping gesture
Dividend Stocks

2 Stocks That Canadian Retirees May Want to Think Twice About Owning

If you have a long investment horizon and a portfolio geared for retirement planning, these two stocks are investments you…

Read more »

senior man smiles next to a light-filled window
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks to Buy if Rates Stay Higher for Longer

Higher rates make yield traps more dangerous, so these three dividend names show three different “quality income” approaches.

Read more »

middle-aged couple work together on laptop
Dividend Stocks

5 Canadian Stocks Beginners Can Buy and Hold Forever

These five Canadian stocks offer beginners a mix of simple business models and long-term staying power.

Read more »

Income and growth financial chart
Dividend Stocks

1 Canadian Stock I’d Buy Before Trade Tensions Heat Up Again

Trade tensions can rattle markets, but food companies like Maple Leaf tend to hold steadier because people still need to…

Read more »

farmer holds box of leafy greens
Dividend Stocks

One Canadian Dividend Stock That’s Down 10% — and Worth Holding for the Very Long Term

Nutrien (TSX:NTR) might be down, but shares are too cheap as the TSX Index rallies onward.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

The Smartest Dividend Stocks to Buy With $250 Right Now

Start early and invest consistently in solid dividend stocks for long-term wealth creation.

Read more »