Forget Air Canada (TSX:AC): Buy This Travel Stock Instead

Most investors are interesting in Air Canada (TSX:AC), but I prefer another travel stock. Why you should choose American Hotel Properties (TSX:HOT.UN) instead.

| More on:
Dice engraved with the words buy and sell

Image source: Getty Images.

Air Canada (TSX:AC) has been investors’ top travel stock choice — on this side of the border at least — and it’s easy to see why.

The logic behind an Air Canada investment is simple. Travel will eventually recover, likely faster than all the naysayers predict. All it needs to do is survive this crisis  and it’ll be fine. Most folks predict there’s no way the government will let our nation’s largest airline declare bankruptcy, so they’re bullish.

But I’m not sure the thesis will play out that smoothly. Remember, Air Canada has already gone bankrupt, and there could be advantages to going through the process again.

The company does have more than $3 billion in net debt, after all. There’s also no guarantee a bailout would be good for common shareholders. Government assistance is designed to help keep jobs, not backstop investors.

Besides, I think there’s another Canadian travel stock investors should consider, a company that might even offer more upside potential than Air Canada. Let’s check it out.

Invest in hotels

Investors shouldn’t just be checking out airline stocks. Hotels are similarly beaten up, and are facing many of the same challenges.

The hotel industry is much more fragmented than the airline business. Even big brands don’t typically operate their own hotels; they franchise the business to scores of different entrepreneurs. This makes a wholesale bailout of the hotel business impossible.

Thankfully, the industry doesn’t necessarily need it. Most hotels remain open, although occupancy is quite weak. But hotels have been able to lay off staff and take other measures to cut costs. Additionally, lenders are being smart by giving the industry a pass on paying back mortgages for the foreseeable future.

All of this translates into good news for American Hotel Income Properties REIT (TSX:HOT.UN), which is probably my favorite travel stock on the Toronto Stock Exchange today.

American Hotel Properties owns 79 different hotels in so-called secondary cities, places like Pittsburgh, Tampa, and Baltimore. While these cities may not be tourist meccas, they get steady traffic from business travelers. Additionally, most hotels are on major transport routes, which also helps occupancy.

The company has been a growth-by-acquisition story over the last few years, transforming the portfolio by purchasing higher-end hotels. The company was a disciplined buyer, always buying below replacement value and insisting on a cap rate of greater than 8%.

But the main reason why American Hotel Properties remains my favourite travel stock today is its dirt-cheap valuation. If you think Air Canada is cheap based on trailing earnings, you’ll be shocked at this stock.


As I type this, American Hotel Properties shares are trading at a mere 30% of book value. That alone is insanely cheap.

But it gets better. Last year the company earned US$0.70 per share in funds from operations, which translates into approximately $1 per share in Canadian currency. Shares, meanwhile, trade for just over $2.30 each on the Toronto Stock Exchange. That’s right; this stock trades at just over 2 times trailing earnings.

Yes, I’m the first to admit this company won’t earn nearly that much in 2020. The bottom line may not even recover substantially in 2021, either. But I am confident its long-term earning ability will bounce back to 2019’s levels — and then some. It’ll just take time for this travel stock to return to normal.

In fact, I can easily envision a world where this travel stock trades at the $8-$10 per share level. Yes, the name is risky, but it has that kind of upside potential. Management surely agrees; many insiders were aggressively buying the stock in late March.

The bottom line on this travel stock

If you’re looking for a travel stock to buy, forget about Air Canada. I think American Hotel Properties is the better choice.

The company is well positioned to make it through this crisis — assuming lenders give it a little help. Investors are also treated to a dirt-cheap valuation and a bunch of bullish insiders. Those two things are usually a good sign.

And remember, American Hotel Properties shares were in the $7 range before all this COVID-19 chaos hit the market. Shares could easily get back to that lofty level again.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Nelson Smith owns shares of American Hotel Income Properties REIT. 

More on Coronavirus

little girl in pilot costume playing and dreaming of flying over the sky

Air Canada Stock: How High Could it go?

AC stock is up 29% in the last six months alone, so should we expect more great things? Or is…

Read more »

eat food

Goodfood Stock Doubles Within Days: Time to Buy?

Goodfood (TSX:FOOD) stock has surged 125% in the last few weeks, so what happened, and should investors hop back on…

Read more »

stock data
Tech Stocks

If I Could Only Buy 1 Stock Before 2023, This Would Be It

This stock is the one company that really doesn't deserve its ultra-low share price, so I'll definitely pick it up…

Read more »

Aircraft Mechanic checking jet engine of the airplane

Air Canada Stock Fell 5% in November: Is it a Buy Today?

Air Canada (TSX:AC) stock saw remarkable improvements during its last quarter but still dropped 5% with more recession hints. So,…

Read more »

Airport and plane

Is Air Canada Stock a Buy Today?

Airlines are on the rebound. Does Air Canada stock deserve to be on your buy list?

Read more »

A patient takes medicine out of a daily pill box.

Retirees: 2 Healthcare Stocks That Could Help Set You up for Life

Healthcare stocks offer an incredible opportunity for growth for those investors who look to the right stocks, such as these…

Read more »

sad concerned deep in thought

Here’s Why I Just Bought WELL Health Stock

WELL Health stock (TSX:WELL) may be a healthcare stock and a tech stock, but don't let that keep you from…

Read more »

healthcare pharma

WELL Stock: The Safe Stock Investors Can’t Afford to Ignore

WELL stock (TSX:WELL) fell 68% from peak to trough, and yet there's no good reason as to why. So now…

Read more »