Warren Buffett: How to Win the Next Market Crash

Warren Buffett is being cautious in this market. Investors should emulate his style and add stocks like Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (TSX:AQN)(NYSE:AQN).

| More on:
Arrow descending on a graph

Image source: Getty Images.

The S&P/TSX Composite Index fell nine points on August 25. Investors have watched the behaviour of legendary investor Warren Buffett closely in 2020. This should come as no surprise. Buffett came out on top after the 2007-2008 financial crisis. Because of this, investors are looking for some guidance in the COVID-19 crisis. Today, I want to discuss how investors can emulate Warren Buffett to guard against a potential market crash.

The top Warren Buffett Indicator is flashing a market crash warning

Earlier this month, I’d discussed the behaviour of Warren Buffett’s favourite market indicator. The so-called Buffett Indicator takes the combined market capitalizations of publicly traded stocks worldwide and divides it by global gross domestic product (GDP). Buffett has long advocated for a value investing strategy. When this indicator reads more than 100%, as it does not, that suggests that the market is overvalued relative to the global economy.

Value investors like Buffett are not the only ones who are sounding the alarms about this market. Economies around the world are struggling to bounce back from the COVID-19 calamity. The diversion between an expanding market and a stumbling economy has become even more pronounced.

What is the legendary investor doing right now?

Warren Buffett has cultivated a reputation as a gold skeptic. He has often advocated against investing in precious metals, preferring to focus on top blue chips on the S&P 500. Buffett shocked the investing world when his company Berkshire Hathaway added a position worth over $500 million in Barrick Gold. This is one of the largest gold producers in the world. Its stock has increased 57% in 2020 as of close on August 25.

In the beginning of August, reports showed that Warren Buffett had poured over $2 billion into Bank of America stock over a two-week period. Canadian bank stocks are worth watching, as third-quarter earnings season is now underway. Toronto-Dominion Bank is the second-largest financial institution in Canada. Its stock has dropped 8.1% in 2020 so far. Shares last possessed a favourable price-to-earnings (P/B) value of 11 and a price-to-book (P/B) value of 1.3.

This stock is a solid pick to emulate Warren Buffett

Earlier this summer, Warren Buffett made a big splash with the $9.7 billion acquisition of Dominion Energy. This energy giant has made a concerted effort to transition to green energy alternatives in recent years. Investors worried about a market pullback can work towards stability with stocks like Algonquin Power & Utilities (TSX:AQN)(NYSE:AQN).

Algonquin owns and operates a portfolio of regulated and non-regulated power-generation and utility assets in Canada and the United States. Its stock has increased 11% year over year at the time of this writing. In the year-to-date period, adjusted net earnings have climbed 1% to $150.7 million. Shares of Algonquin last had a P/E ratio of 18 and a P/B value of 2.1. This puts the stock in favourable value territory.

The stock last paid out a quarterly dividend of $0.1551 per share. This represents a solid 4.5% yield. Value investors can emulate Warren Buffett by adding this top dividend stock in late August.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan owns shares of TORONTO-DOMINION BANK. The Motley Fool recommends Dominion Energy, Inc.

More on Coronavirus

tech and analysis
Stocks for Beginners

If You Invested $1,000 in WELL Health in 2019, Here is What It’s Worth Now

WELL stock (TSX:WELL) has fallen pretty dramatically from all-time highs, but what if you bought just before the rise? Should…

Read more »

Hand arranging wood block stacking as step stair with arrow up.
Coronavirus

2 Pandemic Stocks That Are Still Rising, and 1 Offering a Major Deal

There are some pandemic stocks that crashed and burned, while others have made a massive comeback. And this one stock…

Read more »

Dad and son having fun outdoor. Healthy living concept
Dividend Stocks

1 Growth Stock Down 15.8% to Buy Right Now

A growth stock is well-positioned to resume its upward momentum in 2024 following its strong financial results and business momentum.

Read more »

Double exposure of a businessman and stairs - Business Success Concept
Stocks for Beginners

3 Things About Couche-Tard Stock Every Smart Investor Knows

Couche-tard stock (TSX:ATD) may be up 30% this year, but look at the leadership and history of the stock to…

Read more »

Plane on runway, aircraft
Coronavirus

Can Air Canada Double in 5 Years? Here’s What it Would Take

Air Canada (TSX:AC) stock has gone nowhere since 2020. Can this change?

Read more »

Senior housing
Stocks for Beginners

Home Improvement Stocks Are Set to Fall (When They Do, Buy These Like Crazy!)

Home improvement stocks are due to drop further in the coming months. But with solid underpinnings for the sector, it…

Read more »

An airplane on a runway
Coronavirus

Forget Boeing: Buy This Magnificent Airline Stock Instead

Boeing (NYSE:BA) stock is looking risky right now, but Air Canada (TSX:AC) stock? Much less so.

Read more »

Man considering whether to sell or buy
Stocks for Beginners

Goeasy Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

When it comes to smart buys, goeasy stock (TSX:GSY) is up there as one of the smartest money can buy.…

Read more »