Warren Buffett Should Buy More Barrick Gold Stock Before the Market Crashes Again

Barrick Gold Corp. (TSX:ABX)(NYSE:GOLD) is a great buy on the dip for Warren Buffett fans who fear the next stock market crash.

| More on:
Gold bullion on a chart

Image source: Getty Images.

Warren Buffett was pretty cautious with his bets last year following the 2020 stock market crash. And although we can only speculate at this juncture, there’s reason to believe he’ll continue to remain cautiously optimistic in the new year. He didn’t back up the truck on stocks when they nosedived last February and March. If I had to guess, he’s in no hurry to put Berkshire Hathaway’s massive mountain of cash to work anytime soon, as so many other investors with the FOMO (fear of missing out) mentality have been in recent months.

Does the man think another stock market crash will be in the cards within the next year? Will it be caused by negative surprises relating to the COVID-19 pandemic? Or does Buffett think prospective returns will be muted over the next decade?

While we could be in for another stock market crash this year, I don’t think Warren Buffett is looking to play another vicious cash-crunching market meltdown. Why? The U.S. Federal Reserve is probably going to step in before things have a chance to get out of hand, as they did nearly a year ago.

Warren Buffett isn’t exactly a raging bull on this stock market either. He appears more than willing to wait things out until he sees more opportunities to grab shares at massive discounts to their intrinsic value ranges. In the meantime, I expect he’s likely to maintain his cautiously optimistic stance by scooping up defensive shares of wonderful businesses that most other investors may be sleeping on.

Playing defence while others play offence

In prior pieces, I’ve gone into detail on Buffett’s recent moves (healthcare companies, gold miner Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX)(NYSE:GOLD), grocers, and Japan’s sogo shosha trading companies), remarking on the defensive nature of such bets.

With a pricy stock market and numerous uncertainties that still lie ahead, I expect Buffett to continue investing as though he thinks we’re in the latter stages of the market cycle, rather than treating the coronavirus stock market crash as the end of the old cycle and the beginning of a new one.

What are some Canadian stocks to buy if you want to play it cautiously optimistic like Warren Buffett?

Barrick Gold is an obvious first choice. Although Berkshire has trimmed its stake in the latter part of last year, I wouldn’t at all be surprised to learn of a re-accumulation of shares, given the recent dip in shares of Barrick.

Warren Buffett has never been a huge fan of gold, often remarking on its “unproductive” nature of time. That said, we’re in a weird market environment that calls for unequally unusual moves. Bonds are the most unrewarding they’ve been in recent memory, making the opportunity costs of holding gold the lowest they’ve been in recent memory. With profound uncertainty, inflation risks, and bubbles floating around the stock market, I think we’ve reached a point where even prior gold critics would prefer holding the shiny yellow metal over bonds at these rates.

Barrick Gold: A golden opportunity to invest alongside Warren Buffett?

For those looking to mirror Warren Buffett’s defensive moves, Barrick Gold is a solid bet. The well-run producer may be mining an “unproductive” asset. Still, there’s no denying that it’s gushing with cash. Moreover, the company has been raising its dividend of late like it’s nobody’s business, a trend I suspect will continue as gold continues to appreciate over the coming 18 months.

Barrick sports a 1.55% yield and is a cheap way to profit profoundly if you think Bank of America is right on the money with its prediction that gold prices will surge to US$3,000 by 2022.

I, like Buffett, may not be a huge fan of holding gold over the long term. That said, I am a fan of the risk/reward profile in this current market environment. Whether you’re looking to preserve your wealth, grow your wealth, or better manage inflation risks, I’d look to gain at least a little bit (2-4% of the total portfolio) of exposure to the precious metals through miners like Barrick or bullion ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust if you’ve yet to do so.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joey Frenette owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and SPDR Gold Trust. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and recommends the following options: short January 2021 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and long January 2021 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

More on Metals and Mining Stocks

Upwards momentum
Energy Stocks

Gold and Energy: Here Are Two of the Best Stocks to Buy Now

Gold and energy stocks are some of the best to buy now for very different reasons.

Read more »

Nickel ore is mined from the ground.
Metals and Mining Stocks

2 Top Commodity Kingpins to Hedge Your TFSA Portfolio

Consider Nutrien (TSX:NTR)(NYSE:NTR) and another top commodity play to hedge your TFSA portfolio right now.

Read more »

Business man on stock market financial trade indicator background.
Dividend Stocks

2 of the Best Stocks to Buy That Have Ultra-Safe Dividends

These two dividend stocks are among the best to buy now due to their reliability and the attractive passive income…

Read more »

People walk into a dark underground mine.
Metals and Mining Stocks

These 2 Commodity Stocks May Be Super Cheap

Gold stocks and energy stocks appear to be very cheap. Interestingly, they're in opposite kinds of environment right now.

Read more »

TSX Today
Metals and Mining Stocks

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Monday, September 19

With speculations about the U.S. Fed’s upcoming policy move and economic projections, TSX stocks could remain highly volatile in the…

Read more »

Gold bullion on a chart
Metals and Mining Stocks

2 Gold Stocks to Buy That Are Unbelievably Cheap

While plenty of stocks trade at significant discounts today, gold stocks and these two, in particular, are some of the…

Read more »

Metals
Dividend Stocks

3 Metal Commodity Stocks You Can Buy at a Massive Discount

Even though each metal market is different, the stocks representing three major metal commodities are simultaneously discounted right now.

Read more »

A miner down a mine shaft
Metals and Mining Stocks

Is B2Gold Stock a Buy, or Could it Continue to Fall in Price?

With the price of gold nearing a two-year low, is the low-cost producer B2Gold stock worth a buy in this…

Read more »