Why Canada Goose’s Price Action Indicates We’re Nearing the Top of the Market

Here’s why Canada Goose (TSX:GOOS)(NYSE:GOOS) looks intriguing as a long-term growth pick in most portfolios right now.

| More on:

Canada Goose (TSX: GOOS)(NYSE:GOOS) is a stock that’s been making headlines of late. The company’s recent moves include an announcement of a marketing deal with the NBA. Seeing NBA’s popularity among the youth, investors saw this as an opportunity and were quick to latch onto it.

However, this stock has sold off recently. Here’s what to make of the price action with this stock.

stock research, analyze data

Image source: Getty Images

Earnings volatility

Rising online sales led Canada Goose to report better-than-expected earnings. Indeed, the company’s growth surpassed analysts’ estimates, with shares climbing by 7% on the news. Based on Q4 revenue, sales are projected to surpass the US$1 billion mark for the first time ever.

In the first quarter of the current year itself, revenue witnessed a 48% rise from last year. This revenue also exceeded analysts’ expectations by more than a staggering US$40 million. Despite these high earnings, there has been a drop in share prices.

Canada Goose depends on North America for the majority of its revenue, and with its NBA association with L.A. based RHUDE, investors were quick to buy this stock. This being a multi-year partnership, speculation around a strong return on investment are apparent.

However, questions remain around Canada Goose’s valuation right now. As far as retail stocks go, the company’s valuation is stretched. There’s lots of growth here, but investors are questioning whether this growth can continue long term.

Bottom line 

Canada Goose’s recent earnings certainly highlight the growth case for owning this stock. With retail sales likely to take off post-pandemic, investors are right to look at these retailers right now.

That said, valuation concerns are hampering stocks in general right now. As rates rise, the valuations of all high-growth stocks are likely to be called into question, and Canada Goose is no exception.

Indeed, I have to side with the company on its strong earnings. Canada Goose is building a strong international brand, and the company’s partnership with the NBA was an ingenious one.

That said, the question of how good this company’s long-term return will be for investors remains to be seen. This is a stock I think investors need to keep in the higher-risk, higher-reward portion of their portfolios. Accordingly, sizing this position is extremely important for long-term investors looking to maximize returns and keep their portfolio allocation within a reasonable risk tolerance spectrum.

Canada Goose is a company with a great brand, providing a small moat to this growth stock. It’s likely a play worthy of consideration today by high-growth investors.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Canada Goose Holdings.

More on Investing

Hourglass projecting a dollar sign as shadow
Dividend Stocks

This 6.5% Dividend Play Sends a Cheque Like Clockwork

This TSX dividend stock has consistently paid dividends supported by steady cash flow growth, enabling it to send a cheque…

Read more »

A worker gives a business presentation.
Dividend Stocks

The Bank of Canada Held Rates: Here Are 3 Stocks to Watch

With the Bank of Canada on pause, these three TSX stocks stand out for income, essential demand, and hard-asset cash…

Read more »

crisis concept, falling stairs
Dividend Stocks

1 Magnificent Canadian Dividend Stock Down 13.9% to Buy and Hold for Decades

Given its solid first-quarter performance, encouraging growth outlook, and discounted stock price, Magna International would be an excellent buy for…

Read more »

boy in bowtie and glasses gives positive thumbs up
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Blue-Chip Stocks I’d Buy Before the Next Rally

Two TSX blue chips could be well-positioned before the next rally, one riding nuclear momentum, the other compounding quietly in…

Read more »

bank of canada governor tiff macklem
Metals and Mining Stocks

2 TSX Stocks That Could Benefit From Canada’s New Market Reality

Tariffs, sticky inflation, and higher-for-longer rates are pushing investors back toward hard assets, and these two TSX/TSXV miners sit right…

Read more »

monthly calendar with clock
Investing

This 3.9% Dividend Play Pays Every Single Month

Considering its strong first-quarter performance and favourable growth outlook, Sienna appears well-positioned to sustain its dividend payouts while continuing to…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 20 Years

Both dividend stocks are supported by durable businesses and have the ability to continue increasing earnings and dividends over time.

Read more »

trading chart of brent crude oil prices
Dividend Stocks

Oil, Rates, and Trade: 3 TSX Stocks That Could Come Out Ahead

When oil, rates, and trade headlines collide, these three TSX names stand out for demand tied to energy and energy…

Read more »