Cannabis Index Rise 2.99%: Brace for a Marijuana Boom in 2022

A small-cap cannabis stock is the better buy if investors are preparing for a marijuana boom in 2022.

| More on:
Cannabis stocks have fallen.

Should investors in the cannabis space prepare for a marijuana boom in 2022? On November 12, 2021, the Canadian Cannabis LP Index rose 2.99%. Industry leaders Canopy Growth, Aurora Cannabis, and Cronos Group led the charge with gains of 12.77%, 12.49%, and 10.39%, respectively.

Others, like Hexo and OrganiGram Holdings (TSX:OGI)(NASDAQ:OGI), gained more than 6%. However, not all leading names are winning investments in 2021. Hexo and Canopy Growth are losing by 52.25% and 38.83%, respectively, year to date. Aurora Cannabis is up by only 1.13%. OrganiGram is the high-flying growth stock with its 76.33% gain.

While it’s been extremely challenging for weed stocks in the last 12 months, the index’s 57% advance in September is encouraging. Likewise, the latest development in U.S. Congress seems to suggest the federal legalization of marijuana might come sooner than later.

New draft legislation

On November 5, 2021, reports came out that Republican congresswoman Nancy Mace submitted draft legislation titled the States Reform Act. The measure is circulating among stakeholders for their feedback. While it’s temporary, the filing of the final draft or version could be in late November.

The Democrats want to pass large-scale marijuana bills, which the other side opposes, whether in the House or the Senate. Somehow, the proposed measure of Rep. Mace could be the compromise that conservatives and progressives could agree on.

De-scheduling of marijuana

The congresswoman’s draft legislation aims to de-schedule marijuana federally and create a regulatory scheme. It also ensures that no existing markets would be unduly burdened nor undermined by new rules. The proposed federal de-scheduling means the treatment of cannabis would be the same as the treatment for alcohol.

Other draft details include tasking the Treasury Department’s Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau (TTB) to be the chief regulator for marijuana concerning interstate commerce. It limits the regulatory authority of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) too in that it would relinquish control over cannabis like with alcohol.

The FDA would have a say on prescribing serving sizes of medical cannabis and approval or regulation of marijuana-based pharmaceuticals. However, the agency could not ban the use of cannabis or its derivatives in non-drug applications.

If approved, Mace’s bill would incorporate existing state-licensed cannabis operators into the federal scheme. Last, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) must issue a report to Congress on the marijuana industry.

Top pick

If you were to invest in cannabis today, OrganiGram is the top pick for its consistent performance. At $2.98 per share, the trailing one-year price return is 104.11%. Based on market analysts’ forecasts, the upside potential is 33.89% ($3.99). In Q3 fiscal 2021 (quarter ended May 31, 2021), net loss versus Q3 2020 reduced significantly by 96% to $4 million.

The $890.37 million licensed cannabis producer’s gross revenue climbed 31% to $29.1 million. OGI’s Chief Strategy Officer Paolo De Luca said, “The ongoing investment in our genetics and cultivation program has yielded some exciting new dried flower products.” The revitalized product portfolio and upcoming product launches are its competitive advantages for the near term.

The long wait could soon be over

A scaled-down measure with safeguards could be the key to the federal legalization of marijuana in the United States. The long wait could be over in early 2022.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends HEXO Corp. and OrganiGram Holdings.

More on Cannabis Stocks

Pot stocks are a riskier investment
Cannabis Stocks

The Single-Best Pot Stock to Buy in November 2022

Profitable pot stocks such as Green Thumb are well positioned to deliver market-beating gains to long-term investors in 2022 and…

Read more »

Cannabis smoke
Cannabis Stocks

These 3 Meme Stocks Could Have Legitimate Long-Term Upside

These meme stocks were once a volatile mess of share prices, but now are looking far more valuable these days.

Read more »

A cannabis plant grows.
Cannabis Stocks

5 Things to Know About Cannabis Stocks in November 2022

Cannabis stocks are on the move once more, with U.S. decriminalization and legalization potentially happening across the country.

Read more »

Cannabis grows at a commercial farm.
Cannabis Stocks

WEED Stock Skyrocketed 62% in 1 Week: Should You Invest?

WEED (TSX:WEED) stock surged 62% in the last week of October, so what's going on with this top pot stock?

Read more »

A cannabis plant grows.
Cannabis Stocks

2 Top Cannabis Stocks to Buy for the Long Haul

U.S.-based cannabis stocks such as Green Thumb and Cresco Labs are top bets for long-term investors with a high-risk appetite.

Read more »

Cannabis smoke
Cannabis Stocks

If I’d Invested $100 in WEED Stock at the Start of 2022, Here’s What I’d Have Now

Shares of Canopy Growth (TSX:WEED) stock are down 70% in 2022. Despite the pullback, it remains a high-risk investment.

Read more »

Pot stocks are a riskier investment
Cannabis Stocks

Biden’s Pot Pardon: Where Will Canopy Growth Be in 5 Years?

Joe Biden’s big pro-cannabis push bodes well for Canopy Growth (TSX:WEED) and others this decade.

Read more »

A cannabis plant grows.
Cannabis Stocks

The Single Best Pot Stock to Buy in October

If you can take the wait, this pot stock could be well worth it in the next decade or more,…

Read more »