Should You Follow Warren Buffett and Increase Exposure to the Energy Sector?

Though energy stocks have crushed the broader markets in the last year, companies part of this industry are highly cyclical.

| More on:
Group of industrial workers in a refinery - oil processing equipment and machinery

Image source: Getty Images

During Berkshire Hathaway’s (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B) annual general meeting held over the weekend, Warren Buffett disclosed the company increased its stake in energy giant Chevron (NYSE:CVX). At the end of Q1 of 2022, Chevron accounts for 7.7% of Berkshire’s investment portfolio, making it the fourth-largest holding.

At the end of 2021, Berkshire Hathaway held US$4.5 billion worth of Chevron stock and at the end of March 2022, this figure surged to almost US$30 billion. Chevron stock also rallied by 30% in Q1 due to higher oil prices.

In the last six months, the equity markets have been impacted by a range of macroeconomic issues that include the possibility of multiple interest rate hikes, overvalued tech stocks, surging inflation numbers, higher commodity prices, supply chain disruptions, and the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine.

The S&P 500 is already down 13% year to date, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index re-entered bear market territory last week. Comparatively, the energy sector south of the border has gained 35% in the first four months of 2022.

Companies part of the energy sector have experienced a massive uptick in earnings, as crude oil prices recently touched multi-year highs. Due to a significant increase in cash flows, the energy sector in the U.S. offers investors a forward yield of 4.7% compared to the 1.5% yield of the S&P 500.

In addition to Chevron, the Oracle of Omaha also purchased shares of Occidental Petroleum worth US$7 billion, increasing his total position to US$10 billion in the company.

Berkshire’s top holding remains Apple followed by financial heavyweights such as Bank of America and American Express.

Chevron has a dividend yield of 3.63%

Valued at a market cap of US$307 billion, Chevron is one of the largest companies in the world. In Q1 of 2022, Chevron reported earnings of US$6.3 billion, or US$3.22 per share. Its adjusted earnings stood at US$6.5 billion, or US$3.36 per share.

It was the third consecutive quarter where Chevron reported a free cash flow of US$6 billion, allowing it to return US$4 billion to shareholders and further lower its debt.

Chevron offers investors a forward yield of 3.63%, and the company’s robust business model, strong balance sheet and low cost of production have allowed it to raise dividends for 36 consecutive years.

Should you invest in energy stocks?

While Warren Buffett has significantly increased exposure to the energy sector, investors should note that the industry is highly cyclical and capital intensive. For example, iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF (TSX:XEG) has gained 95% in the last year, easily crushing the broader indices. However, in the last 10 years, annual returns are below 1%.

Yes, energy stocks are poised to benefit from higher oil prices. However, in order to offset an inflationary environment, central banks are likely to hike interest rates, which, in turn, will result in higher debt payments and lower profit margins.

Further, if recession fears come true, there is a good chance for crude oil prices to trade lower in the upcoming months. Instead of adding oil producers to your portfolio, I believe it makes sense to look at midstream companies such as Enbridge and TC Energy that are relatively immune to fluctuations in commodity prices.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. American Express is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has positions in ENBRIDGE INC. The Motley Fool recommends Apple, Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), and Enbridge.

More on Energy Stocks

crypto, chart, stocks
Energy Stocks

If You Had Invested $10,000 in Enbridge Stock in 2018, This Is How Much You Would Have Today

Enbridge's big dividend yield isn't free money. Here's why.

Read more »

edit Businessman using calculator next to laptop
Energy Stocks

If You’d Invested $5,000 in Brookfield Renewable Partners Stock in 2023, This Is How Much You Would Have Today

Here's how a $5,000 lump-sum investment in BEP.UN would have worked out from 2023 to present.

Read more »

Pipeline
Energy Stocks

Here Is Why Enbridge Is a No-Brainer Dividend Stock

For investors looking for a no-brainer dividend stock worth holding for the long term, here's why Enbridge (TSX:ENB) should be…

Read more »

Money growing in soil , Business success concept.
Energy Stocks

3 Canadian Energy Stocks Set for a Wave of Rising Dividends

Canadian energy companies are rewarding shareholders as they focus on sustainable financial performance.

Read more »

Solar panels and windmills
Top TSX Stocks

1 High-Yield Dividend Stock You Can Buy and Hold Forever

There are some stocks you can buy and hold forever. Here's one top pick that won't disappoint investors anytime soon.

Read more »

Oil pumps against sunset
Energy Stocks

Is it Too Late to Buy Enbridge Stock?

Besides its juicy and sustainable dividends, Enbridge’s improving long-term growth prospects make it a reliable stock to hold for the…

Read more »

oil and gas pipeline
Energy Stocks

Why TC Energy Stock Is Down 9% in a Month

TC Energy (TSX:TRP) stock has fallen by 9% in the last month, as it continues to divest assets to strengthen…

Read more »

Group of industrial workers in a refinery - oil processing equipment and machinery
Energy Stocks

If You Like Cenovus Energy, Then You’ll Love These High-Yield Oil Stocks

Cenovus Energy is a standout performer in 2024, but two high-yield oil stocks could attract more income-focused investors.

Read more »