The Feds’ 0.75% Hike Is Likely as Jobless Rate Falls to Record Low  

The drop in the unemployment rate to a new record low could prompt the Bank of Canada to implement a 0.75% increase in interest rates.

| More on:
Coworkers standing near a wall

Image source: Getty Images

Statistics Canada reported that the 39,800 additions to tight labour in May 2022 beat consensus estimates by 12,000 new jobs. The results drove down the country’s unemployment rate to a new record low of 5.1%. Moreover, the hourly wage rate also increased 3.9% from a year ago.

According to some analysts, the imbalance between demand and supply in the jobs market prompts the Bank of Canada to implement a tighter monetary policy. The Feds have a justifiable reason to proceed with a 75-basis-point increase in its key interest rate hikes.

While declining or low unemployment signals an improving economy, runaway inflation remains the worry of stock investors. The call of the times is to invest in resilient companies that can serve as hedges or buffers against rising prices of goods and services.

Volatile stock prices

The erratic behaviour of the TSX is the result of fears about the uptick in inflation. Stock prices could stay volatile if the rate keeps rising. Fortunately, some sectors may absorb the impact better than others. Currently, only four of the 11 primary sectors are in positive territory.

Energy (+69.47%) is the top-performing sector followed by materials (+7.03%), utilities (+2.73%), and consumer staples (+1.33%). All of them outperform the broader market (-4.47%) year to date. However, the standout choices today are Canadian Utilities (TSX:CU) and Empire Company (TSX:EMP.A).

Dividend King

Canadian Utilities is the TSX’s lone Dividend King. The utility stock earned the status for increasing its dividend for 50 consecutive years. At $39.65 per share, current investors enjoy a 10.69% year-to-date gain on top of the hefty 4.48% dividend yield. The total return in 39.75 years is 10,100.14% (12.34% CAGR).

In Q1 2022, the $1 billion company reported adjusted earnings of $219 million, which represents a 14.7% increase from Q1 2021. Management also spent $263 million in capital projects during the quarter, where 83% went to regulated utilities. The balance of 17% was invested in energy infrastructure.

Canadian Utilities recently announced a 15-year power-purchase agreement with Microsoft. It will purchase all renewable energy generated by ATCO’s (its parent company) Deerfoot solar project in Calgary, Alberta. Once the 37 MW project becomes operational, it will be one of the largest solar installations in Western Canada.        

Highest EPS in memory

Empire pays a modest 1.47% dividend, but the payouts should be safe and rock steady. The consumer-defensive stock trades at $40.88 per share and is up 6.84% year to date. Besides owning Sobeys Inc. in its food retailing business, this $10.73 billion company has a 41.5% equity interest in Crombie REIT.

Management has yet to report its earnings results for Q4 fiscal 2022 on June 22, 2022. However, in Q3 fiscal 2022 (quarter ended January 29, 2022), sales and net earnings increased 4.8% and 15.4% versus Q3 fiscal 2021. Empire’s free cash flow for the quarter increased 75% year over year to $551 million.

Michael Medline, Empire’s president and CEO, said, “Our team delivered another outstanding quarter, including the highest EPS in memory, with strong increases in sales, EBITDA margin and free cash flow.”

Low volatility

Canadian Utilities and Empire may be considered as low-volatility stocks. The respective businesses should prove resilient against the current inflationary environment.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Microsoft.

More on Dividend Stocks

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

How to Build a Powerful Passive-Income Portfolio With Just $20,000

It is an opportune time to invest $20,000 and boost passive income. Between higher yields and higher dividend growth, which…

Read more »

Shopping card with boxes labelled REITs, ETFs, Bonds, Stocks
Dividend Stocks

How to Build a Bulletproof Monthly Passive-Income Portfolio With Just $7,000 in 2024

You can make passive income without risking your capital. Here's how the CI High Interest Savings ETF (TSX:CSAV) and other…

Read more »

woman retiree on computer
Dividend Stocks

Want $2,000/Year in Passive Income? Invest $26.8K in this Canadian Stock

Make $2,000 per year in passive income through this leading Canadian dividend stock.

Read more »

edit Sale sign, value, discount
Dividend Stocks

A 30% Discount on a Magnificent Dividend Stock You Don’t Want to Miss

What does a 30% discount on a magnificent dividend stock mean to your portfolio returns? And why you don't want…

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

Beat the TSX With These Cash-Gushing Dividend Stocks

Looking to earn a gushing stream of dividends? Don't just look at TSX stocks with big dividend yields. Look at…

Read more »

ETF chart stocks
Stocks for Beginners

3 Things You Need to Know if You Buy VFV Today

VFV is a popular Canadian ETF for tracking the S&P 500 Index. Here's what you need to know before you…

Read more »

Female raising hands enjoying vacation, standing on background of blue cloudless sky.
Dividend Stocks

3 Reasons to Buy BCE Stock Like There’s No Tomorrow

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock has been a bit of a dumpster fire this last year or so, but that doesn't mean…

Read more »

Canadian Dollars
Dividend Stocks

Invest $10,000 in 2 TSX Stocks for $614/Year in Dividend Income

Earn worry-free dividend income through these Canadian stocks with stellar dividend payment and growth history.

Read more »