Railroad to Riches: Why CN and CP Rail Stocks Are Set to Rally

CP Rail and another top industry giant that could deliver for shareholders in 2023.

| More on:
rail train

Image source: Getty Images

The railway stocks have been surprisingly resilient this year, with top dog CN Rail (TSX:CNR) and Bill Ackman-favoured CP Rail (TSX:CP) both leaving the rest of the TSX Index behind in 2022. Despite the relative outperformance, it’s worth noting that the rail plays aren’t immune to the forces that come with recession.

Indeed, the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada have made it clear that we can expect interest rates to continue to rise. It’s a tough pill for investors to swallow, but it’s a necessary one to put inflation back in its place. The good news is that inflation has likely peaked and could continue to tumble at a quicker rate than expected. In any case, it’s unclear as to how much evidence of falling inflation the Fed wants to see before it considers shifting gears from hike mode to cut mode. I think markets would be content with a Fed pause. However, we may not get one if the variables on their radar don’t hit a level that’d allow them to pivot without running the risk of any sort of inflation comeback.

Undoubtedly, inflation is a terrible beast and a destroyer of wealth. While the bulls may think the Fed’s closer to a pivot than we think, I’d argue it’s a tad too early to bet on peak rates by betting on the growth plays that have the most room to run in a return to a low-rate world.

In this piece, we’ll have a closer look at the two popular Canadian railways to see which may be a better bet for value hunters. Understandably, both names are a tad on the pricy side after beating the TSX of late.

CN Rail

CN Rail found itself in a bitter battle with CP Rail for Kansas City Southern. Ultimately, CN Rail lost, as I predicted when news of the bidding war broke more than a year ago. Indeed, CN Rail was just too big to gobble up another railway. Regulators had their concerns and CP Rail ended up walking away as winner in an unsurprising fashion.

The long-time rail giant doesn’t need a big deal to thrive. It already has a huge network that spans three North American coasts. The real value lies in driving operational efficiencies through the roof. By investing steadily in the business, CN can get so much more. With CEO Tracy Robinson doing a solid job thus far, I remain a bull on CNR stock, even at more than 23 times trailing price-to-earnings.

CN Rail isn’t cheap, but it deserves a premium for its rich history of dividend growth and capital gains.

CP Rail

CP Rail is a spicier but pricier railway play in my opinion. The Kansas City Southern assets could make CP a force to be reckoned with in the North American rail scene. Indeed, CP Rail was fine as a mostly Canadian rail play. Now, it has a chance to truly deliver growth for investors over the next 5–10 years.

With activist investors Bill Ackman back in the name, I expect a lot from CP. So do investors, though. The stock trades at nearly 33 times trailing price-to-earnings, making it a frothy play that may be better to consider buying on a pullback.

Though I believe in CP’s managers, I prefer CNR stock at these valuations.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joey Frenette has positions in Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool recommends Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Railway. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Investing

financial freedom sign
Energy Stocks

Could Investing $10,000 in Enbridge Make You a Millionaire?

A top-tier dividend stock can help you accumulate wealth or become a millionaire over time.

Read more »

Electricity high voltage pole and sky
Dividend Stocks

Fortis Stock: Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold Today?

Fortis is down 15% from the 2022 high. Is the stock now oversold?

Read more »

A bull outlined against a field
Tech Stocks

Bull Market Buys: 1 Magnificent Stock to Own for the Long Run

Here's why investors can consider gaining exposure to tech stocks such as Shopify in the ongoing bull run.

Read more »

Hand arranging wood block stacking as step stair with arrow up.
Tech Stocks

Why Shares of Celestica Stock Jumped 5% on Monday

Celestica (TSX:CLS) stock continues to see its share price rise higher, but not only because shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) are…

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Thursday, June 13

The Fed’s latest decision to hold interest rates unchanged could keep TSX stocks volatile as investors continue to speculate about…

Read more »

consider the options

This Stock Is Miles Ahead of its Industry: Is it a Buy Now?

This company has been making significant waves since the beginning of 2024.

Read more »

Dice engraved with the words buy and sell
Bank Stocks

TD Bank Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold at the 12-Month Low?

TD is near its 12-month low. Is more downside on the way?

Read more »

financial freedom sign
Stocks for Beginners

Could This Undervalued Stock Make You a Millionaire One Day? 

The TSX has good millionaire-maker stocks if you wait. This futuristic stock might look undervalued once you see its growth…

Read more »