TSX Today: Why Canadian Stocks Could Fall on Wednesday, February 15

Big overnight losses in metals prices could take the TSX index lower at the open today. But several key corporate earnings could give further direction to stocks later.

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tsx today

The Canadian equities market remained volatile on Tuesday, as slightly higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data raised the possibility of more interest rate hikes in the near term. These fears took the S&P/TSX Composite Index down by as much as 149 points in the morning trade yesterday. However, a late recovery in the healthcare and technology stock market sectors helped the TSX benchmark recover sharply to settle at 20,705 without any notable change from its previous closing.

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics, the 12-month Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all items rose 6.4% in January, registering its lowest increase since October 2021. However, the increase in CPI number was slightly higher than Street’s expectation of 6.2%.

Top TSX Composite movers and active stocks

Shares of CAE (TSX:CAE) inched up by 5.1% in the last session to $31.74 per share after the release of its better-than-expected quarterly earnings. In the third quarter of its fiscal year 2023 (ended in December), the Canadian tech company reported a 20.2% year-over-year increase in its total revenue to about $1 billion. Double-digit growth in CAE’s civil aviation and training solutions segment and improved profitability of its healthcare segment drove its adjusted quarterly earnings up 47.4% from a year ago to $0.28 per share, exceeding analysts’ estimate of $0.25 per share. On a year-to-date basis, CAE stock is now up 21.2%.

Advantage Energy, Birchcliff Energy, and ECN Capital were also among the top-performing TSX stocks yesterday, as they climbed by at least 3.9% each.

On the flip side, shares of Interfor, Canfor, BELLUS Health, and West Fraser Timber fell more than 3% each, making them the worst performers on the Toronto Stock Exchange for the day.

Based on their daily trade volume, Enbridge, Manulife Financial, B2Gold, and Crescent Point Energy were the most active Canadian stocks on February 14. Nearly 19 million shares of Enbridge changed hands on the exchange during the session.

TSX today

Early Wednesday morning, oil and gas prices were going sideways. Meanwhile, metals prices across the board were trading with heavy losses. Given these negative indications, I expect the commodity-heavy TSX index to slip at the open today with expected big losses in metal and mining stocks.

While no major domestic economic releases are due, Canadian investors may want to keep a close eye on the latest retail sales and crude oil stockpiles data from the U.S. market this morning.

In addition, the ongoing corporate earnings season will gain steam today with several Canadian companies, including Shopify, goeasy, Manulife Financial, Choice Properties REIT, Kinross Gold, Waste Connections, Nutrien, Barrick Gold, Capstone Copper, Keyera, Birchcliff Energy, and RioCan REIT expected to release their latest quarterly results on February 15.

Market movers on the TSX today

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends B2Gold, Enbridge, Keyera, Nutrien, and West Fraser Timber. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.   

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