It’s been a difficult time for cannabis stocks, yet one of the worst cases has to be Tilray (TSX:TLRY). The company seemed to be doing so well just a few years ago. In fact, analysts believed it was well on the way to becoming the cannabis stock. Yet Tilray stock has most certainly fallen from grace. The question is, will it bottom out soon or start edging up?
One of the most controversial parts of Tilray stock these days is its acquisition of Hexo. The company wasn’t doing well, yet in swooped Tilray stock and picked it up. It certainly was a change from its acquisition of major cannabis producer Aphria a few years before.
The news that Tilray stock now owned 100% of Hexo came with its earnings report a few weeks ago. The company saw shares drop, as it reported another earnings loss for its second quarter. The loss hit US$61.6 million compared to a profit of US$5.7 million the year before.
Revenue also fell short of expectations at US$144.1 million, and, therefore, analysts were less than pleased. Sure, it continues to create acquisitions that should lead to long-term profits, but it has to actually make it there first.
Tilray stock remains in a similar position to many other large cannabis producers, with cutting costs and these long-term profits at the forefront. In a statement during the earnings report, Tilray chief executive officer and chairman Irwin Simon stated, “We are close to achieving our increased annualized cost savings target of $130 million, consistent with our commitment to building a lean, efficient, and dynamic business that will realize tangible and immediate benefits as the market improves.”
That last part is important. When will the market improve? And when will Tilray stock be able to expand and potentially come the world’s largest cannabis producer? In fact, it remains the largest marijuana play in Canada.
While that’s all well and good, the United States is where things will really ramp up one day. The question becomes, “When?” Tilray stock is still sitting on over $400 million in cash just waiting for the U.S. to give a go ahead. But with an election coming in 2024, I wouldn’t hold my breath.
Tilray stock is down 53% in the last year and even more since all-time highs. While it was one of the first and only cannabis stocks to hit profitability, that looks to have gone up in smoke this year. And there really isn’t any clear sign as to when that could turn around.
Meanwhile, investors aren’t all that interested in growth stocks like Tilray stock once was. Instead, they want safety in these trying times. So, I still don’t believe the bottom has been achieved quite yet. That being said, by the end of 2023, there could be a turnaround, as investors see the potential opportunity that Tilray stock offers in the next decade.
For some, that’s just too long of a wait.