Whitecap Resources Stock Surged 15% Last Month: Is it a Buy?

Given its healthy growth prospects, solid financial position, and attractive valuation, the rally in WCP can continue.

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Whitecap Resources (TSX:WCP) is a Canadian energy company that focuses on the development of oil and natural gas facilities in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. Last month, the company posted an impressive second-quarter performance, outperforming its production guidance and improving its financial position. Amid healthy quarterly performance, the company’s management predicts its 2025 production to come closer to the higher end of its guidance.

The solid second-quarter performance and healthy 2025 guidance appear to have raised investors’ confidence, thereby driving WCP’s stock price higher. Last month, the company’s stock price rose 14.95%. Despite the recent increases, it is trading 9.8% lower compared to its 52-week high. Meanwhile, let’s examine its second-quarter performance and growth prospects in detail to determine buying opportunities in WCP.

WCP’s second-quarter performance

During the second quarter, WCP completed the acquisition of Veren, thereby becoming the seventh-largest oil and natural gas producer in Canada. Amid the acquisition, its average production grew 65.1% to 292,754 BOE/d (barrels of oil equivalent per day). However, on a per-share basis, its production grew 5% during the quarter amid solid execution, the opening of new production facilities, and downtime optimization.

Further, it generated $713 million of funds flow during the quarter, an increase of 6% per share compared to the previous year’s quarter. After making a capital investment of $409 million during the quarter, its free cash flows stood at $304 million. Supported by its strong cash flows, the company has returned $298 million in the first six months through share repurchases and dividend payouts. Its monthly payout of $0.0608/share translates into a forward dividend yield of 7.15% as of the August 6th closing price.

WCP also improved its balance sheet by disposing of certain non-strategic assets, generating $270 million. It ended its second quarter with net debt of $3.3 billion, with an unutilized debt capacity of $1.6 billion that could allow WCP financial flexibility to sail through this volatile macro environment. Its net debt to annualized funds flow ratio stood at one at the end of the second quarter. Now, let’s look at its growth prospects.

WCP’s growth prospects

The acquisition of Veren has increased WCP’s scale, strengthened its premium inventory, and improved its financial strength. Further, the company’s management expects shared learnings and expertise across its consolidated portfolio to enhance capital efficiency and lower operating expenses over the next six to 12 months, driving its financials.

The company also expects to make a capital investment of around $1.2 billion in the second half of this year to strengthen its production capabilities. Meanwhile, the company’s management predicts an average production in the second half to be between 363,000 and 368,000 BOE/d, marking a substantial improvement from the first half. Moreover, the company’s management predicts a 3-5% organic growth in the long term.

Furthermore, analysts are bullish on oil and expect oil prices to strengthen in the second half of this year due to low spare capacity, lower oil inventories, and supply disruptions amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Higher oil prices could benefit oil-producing companies, including WCP. Considering all these factors, I believe WCP’s growth prospects look healthy.

Investors’ takeaway

Despite the recent increase in its stock price, WCP trades at an attractive valuation, with its next-12-month price-to-sales multiple and price-to-book multiples standing at 2.1 and 1.1, respectively. Considering its healthy growth prospects, high dividend yield, solid financial position, and attractive valuation, I am bullish on WCP.

Fool contributor Rajiv Nanjapla has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Whitecap Resources. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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