TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Wednesday, March 4

A wave of risk aversion sent the TSX tumbling from record highs, while today’s tone may depend on oil’s strength, more earnings, and further global conflict updates.

| More on:
Key Points
  • TSX plunged 2.2% to 33,785 as escalating conflict in Middle East and Western Asia triggered a broad risk off selloff.
  • Losses were widespread as miners, financials, and consumer cyclicals led the drop, with Pet Valu and several gold names off sharply.
  • Watch Middle East headlines, U.S. jobs, non manufacturing PMI, and crude inventories, plus TSX earnings from Tourmaline, Kinaxis, Linamar, and George Weston today.

The Canadian stock market fell sharply on Tuesday as fears of growing conflict in the Middle East took a toll on investor sentiment, which started during the weekend with the U.S., Israel, and Iran exchanging strikes that signaled a broader escalation in the region. Investors moved away from risk assets as reports of military activity and retaliatory attacks raised concerns about potential disruptions to global energy supplies. A day after closing at a fresh all-time high, the S&P/TSX Composite Index dived by 756 points, or 2.2%, yesterday to 33,785 — marking its biggest single-day percentage decline in over two weeks.

Despite strength in some technology stocks, heavy losses in most other key market sectors, including mining, financials, and consumer cyclicals, pressured the TSX benchmark.

tsx today

Top TSX Composite movers and active stocks

Shares of Pet Valu Holdings (TSX: PET) plunged by nearly 11% to $25.19 apiece, making it the worst-performing TSX stock for the day. This selloff in PET stock came after the Markham-based pet food retailer reported its fourth-quarter and fiscal 2025 results alongside a softer revenue outlook for 2026. While the company’s revenue rose 10.6% year over year to $326.4 million last quarter, its gross margin slipped to 33% from 34% amid pricing and promotional investments.

Pet Valu guided for fiscal 2026 revenue growth of just 2% to 4% on a 52-week comparable basis, with flat to only slight expansion in adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margin. The cautious top-line outlook and softer profitability metrics weighed on sentiment, driving PET shares sharply lower.

New Gold, Energy Fuels, and NovaGold Resources were also among the day’s bottom performers on the Toronto Stock Exchange, with each falling by over 10%.

In contrast, Paramount Resources, Thomson Reuters, Constellation Software, and Strathcona Resources climbed by at least 3.9% each, making them the session’s top-performing TSX stocks.

Based on their daily trade volume, Canadian Natural Resources, Cenovus Energy, Barrick Mining, Enbridge, and B2Gold were the five most active stocks on the exchange.

TSX today

Commodity prices across the board were largely bullish in early trading on Wednesday, which could support the recovery in TSX energy and mining stocks at the open today.

However, developments related to the escalating Middle East conflict will likely remain the dominant factor shaping investor sentiment. Markets will be sensitive to any fresh headlines regarding military actions, diplomatic efforts, or potential disruptions to global energy supply routes.

While no major domestic economic releases are due, Canadian investors will keep an eye on the latest employment change, non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI), and crude oil inventories data from the United States this morning.

As the fourth-quarter earnings season continues, several TSX-listed companies, including Tourmaline Oil, Vermilion Energy, Athabasca Oil, Baytex Energy, Kinaxis, Linamar, Capital Power, MDA Space, and George Weston, will release their earnings reports today.

Market movers on the TSX today

Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has positions in Canadian Natural Resources, Enbridge, Kinaxis, and MDA Space. The Motley Fool recommends B2Gold, Canadian Natural Resources, Capital Power, Constellation Software, Enbridge, Kinaxis, Linamar, MDA Space, Pet Valu, Thomson Reuters, Tourmaline Oil, and Vermilion Energy. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Stock Market

holding coins in hand for the future
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks Built to Keep Paying Through Any Market Condition

These three dividend stocks offer reliable cash flow, and strong records of rewarding shareholders through changing markets.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Friday, September 4

TSX investors will closely watch Canadian and U.S. jobs data today for fresh economic signals, while developments in the U.S.-Iran…

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Thursday, September 3

Rising crude oil and metals prices could lift the TSX at the open today, while investors monitor U.S. economic data,…

Read more »

Canada national flag waving in wind on clear day
Top TSX Stocks

3 Top Canadian Defence Stocks to Buy Right Now

Geopolitical tensions and NATO commitments are fueling growth for these top Canadian defense stocks insulated from U.S. trade barriers.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Wednesday, September 2

After suffering its biggest single-day percentage decline since June, the TSX could see a cautious start today as investors await…

Read more »

Young adult concentrates on laptop screen
Dividend Stocks

The 3 Canadian Stocks I’d Tell a New Investor to Buy ASAP

These three Canadian stocks give new investors dividend income, resilience, and long-term growth across utilities, railways, and bank stocks.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Tuesday, September 1

Falling metals prices could weigh on the TSX benchmark at the open today, while fresh U.S. economic data and a…

Read more »

hand stacks coins
Dividend Stocks

IMO, These Are the Best Canadian Dividend Stocks to Buy Now

These are three of the best Canadian dividend stocks to buy now for reliable income, defensive businesses, and long-term upside.

Read more »