Earnings Season: 3 Canadian Stocks That Could Pop on Results

These three TSX names have clear catalysts that can matter a lot during earnings season, when proof beats hype.

Key Points
  • Stantec is riding infrastructure demand with a record backlog, supporting steady growth even if the economy slows.
  • Kinaxis is delivering fast SaaS growth with rising margins, but investors will punish it if growth cools.
  • TFI is more cyclical, yet strong cash flow and early recovery signals could drive upside if freight improves.

Earnings season can turn fast. One strong report can push a stock from ignored to in demand overnight. That’s true when investors already know the business has a durable edge, but still want proof that growth can hold up. Stantec (TSX: STN), Kinaxis (TSX: KXS), and TFI International (TSX: TFII) each fit that setup. And each has something earnings season loves: a clear story, recent momentum, and a reason for investors to look again.

hot air balloon in a blue sky

Source: Getty Images

STN

Infrastructure spending has not gone away. Governments, utilities, cities, and private companies still need engineering work tied to water, transportation, buildings, energy, and environmental services. Stantec sits right in the middle of that demand. It doesn’t need a consumer trend to work, but projects, funding, and execution.

The latest results gave investors plenty to like. In the first quarter of 2026, Stantec reported net revenue of $1.7 billion, up 9.1% from last year. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose 14.7% to $1.33, while backlog climbed to a record $9 billion. That backlog is the real eye-catcher. It gives the company visibility and supports the case that growth can continue even if the economy slows.

Stantec also reaffirmed its outlook for mid-to-high single-digit organic growth in 2026. That kind of steady guidance can reward companies that confirm strength instead of walking expectations lower. The risk is valuation. The stock doesn’t look forgotten trading at 24.5 times earnings, and engineering projects can face delays if funding slows. Still, a record backlog gives Stantec a strong chance to keep drawing attention.

KXS

Kinaxis stock brings a different kind of earnings-season appeal. It gives investors exposure to software, supply chains, and artificial intelligence without leaning on a vague artificial intelligence (AI) story. The Ottawa company sells supply-chain planning software to large global customers. When companies worry about delays, tariffs, inventory swings, or demand shocks, Kinaxis stock helps them plan faster.

That story looks timely now. Kinaxis stock reported record first-quarter 2026 results, with total revenue up 25% to US$165.6 million.
Software as a Service (SaaS) revenue rose 21% to US$102.9 million, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) jumped 62% to US$53.6 million. The company also reported a 32% adjusted EBITDA margin, up from 25% a year earlier. That combination of growth and margin expansion can create the kind of “pop” investors hunt for in earnings season.

Kinaxis stock also has a cleaner recurring-revenue story than many Canadian tech names. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew 20% year over year to US$447 million, and management kept full-year revenue guidance of US$620 million to US$635 million. However, Kinaxis stock trades at a growth-stock valuation at about 36 times earnings, so any slowdown in SaaS growth or customer wins could hurt. But if results keep showing operating leverage, investors may still be willing to pay up.

TFII

TFI International may be the most cyclical name here, which makes it the most interesting. The trucking and logistics giant has not enjoyed a perfect freight backdrop. Weak demand hurt volumes in the first quarter, and total revenue came in at US$2 billion, slightly below last year. Adjusted diluted EPS fell to US$0.69 from US$0.76.

So why could it pop? Earnings season does not only reward perfect numbers. It also rewards signs that the worst may be known. TFI still generated US$123.7 million in free cash flow in the quarter and raised its quarterly dividend by 4% to US$0.47. Truckload and logistics operating income also improved, even as less-than-truckload remained weak.

That sets up a recovery angle. If freight demand improves, TFI has room to surprise. Its management team has built a reputation for acquisitions, cost control, and disciplined capital allocation. The risk is that freight stays soft longer than expected, which could keep pressure on margins.

Bottom line

Together, Stantec, Kinaxis stock, and TFI offer three different ways to play earnings season. Stantec brings backlog, Kinaxis brings profitable software growth, and TFI brings recovery potential. For investors building a watchlist, that mix could make the next round of results worth watching.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Kinaxis, Stantec, and TFI International. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Tech Stocks

A shopper makes purchases from an online store.
Tech Stocks

What Investors Need to Know About Owning U.S. Stocks in a TFSA

Do you own U.S. stocks in a TFSA? Learn how the 15% dividend withholding tax works, why Amazon pays none,…

Read more »

The virtual button with the letters AI in a circle hovering above a keyboard, about to be clicked by a cursor.
Tech Stocks

I’d Keep Constellation Software Stock Despite its 3% Organic Growth: Here’s Why

Constellation Software's acquisition strategy has driven the company's success. The growth runway remains strong.

Read more »

data center server racks glow with light
Tech Stocks

AI Data Centres Need Power: This Canadian Stock Just Won a 1GW Contract

Enerflex has landed substantial data centre equipment work. The opportunity now depends on what reaches shareholders after delivery.

Read more »

man makes the timeout gesture with his hands
Tech Stocks

The Tax Rules Canadians Should Know Before Starting a Side Hustle

A side hustle can fund investments, but taxes, business expenses, and sales-tax obligations determine how much money is actually yours.

Read more »

atomic particle
Tech Stocks

This TSX Tech Stock Trades About $1,000 Below Its Consensus Target

Constellation's consensus target sits about $1,038 above its dated share price, while acquisition-driven growth determines whether the optimism is earned.

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Tech Stocks

Celestica Raised Its 2026 Revenue Outlook to US$20.5 Billion: I Think the Stock Is a Buy Now

Here’s why Celestica’s growing role in AI infrastructure and its recent pullback make it one of the top Canadian stocks…

Read more »

quantum correlation
Tech Stocks

5N Plus Is Down 45% and Looks Cheap: The Price at Which it Becomes a Buy

With expanding production capacity, a robust order backlog, and favourable long-term industry trends, 5N Plus appears well-positioned for sustained growth,…

Read more »

telehealth stocks
Tech Stocks

1 Canadian Stock Down 42% to Buy and Hold Forever

This health tech stock is trading at a discount as it continues to grow and expand a business very much…

Read more »