Air Canada Beats Estimates, Stock Soars

One day’s gain doesn’t make for a great long-term thesis.

The Motley Fool

Air Canada’s (TSX:AC.B) stock is flying on Wednesday after announcing better than expected quarterly results.

With just over an hour in trading to go, the stock sits up a tidy 25% after more than 8 million shares have traded hands thus far.  That’s a slight increase over the typical 1.1 million or so that trade on an average day.

Capital IQ indicates that normalized earnings for our national airline came in at $0.41 vs. an estimate of $0.13.  The company exceeded estimates on the top line as well, as quarterly revenues checked in at $3.057 billion vs. the estimated $3.018 billion.  Incidentally, this was the best second quarter revenue ever.

Increased sales of inflight earphones have been attributed to this beat.  Not really.

Positive year-over-year yield growth of 1.5% was no doubt a factor in this huge move by the stock, particularly after WestJet (TSX:WJA) reported that yield growth had turned negative in the Q2’13.

Cost containment was another big positive.  Management now expects costs to be down 1% to 2% in 2013 vs. the projected -0.5% to -1.5%.  Lower maintenance costs appear to be behind this improved forecast.

Maintenance is precisely the area that frequent flyers are happy to see costs being contained.  Again, not really.

The Foolish Bottom Line

If you bought Air Canada shares yesterday and sold them today, congratulations, you are in the minority of investors that have ever made money on an airline stock.  While the company appears to be flying along smoothly at the moment, you can almost bet that it won’t always be so.  And with a still wonky balance sheet that carries more than $3 billion of debt and negative equity, Air Canada faces significant long-term financial risk alongside the implied business risk that its industry holds.  Investors beware!

Hate business risk?  And financial risk?  You’re not alone.  That’s why we’ve created a special FREE report that profiles 3 companies that are so dominant that these risks hardly apply.  Click here now to download “3 U.S. Companies That Every Canadian Should Own”.  It’s free!

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Iain Butler does not own shares in any company mentioned at this time.  The Motley Fool doesn’t own shares in any of the companies mentioned.

More on Investing

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Dividend Stocks

Monthly Income: Top Dividend Stocks to Buy in December

These two top Canadian dividend stocks could add steady monthly income to your portfolio while offering room to grow.

Read more »

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

Should You Buy Suncor or Canadian Natural Resources Now?

Suncor and Canadian Natural Resources are up in recent months. Are more gains on the way for one of these…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

1 Canadian Stock to Dominate Your Portfolio in 2026

Down almost 40% from all-time highs, goeasy is a Canadian stock that offers significant upside potential to shareholders.

Read more »

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Investing

The Best Stocks to Invest $3,000 in a TFSA Right Now

These Canadian stocks have solid fundamentals and strong future growth potential, making them best stocks for a TFSA.

Read more »

Woman checking her computer and holding coffee cup
Investing

TFSA: 3 Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

Explore the advantages of investing in a TFSA and discover three Canadian compounder stocks to enhance your portfolio.

Read more »

Safety helmets and gloves hang from a rack on a mining site.
Metals and Mining Stocks

2 Gold Stocks That Won Big in 2025 Look Set to Dominate Next Year, Too

Two high-flying mining stocks could deliver a more than 100% return again if the gold rush extends in 2026.

Read more »

a-developer-typing-lines-of-ai-code-while-viewing-multiple-computer-monitors
Energy Stocks

Buy 928 Shares of This Stock for $300 in Monthly Dividend Income

Enbridge (TSX:ENB) has a 5.8% dividend yield.

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Energy Stocks

5 Reasons to Buy and Hold This Canadian Stock for Life

Altagas offers investors exposure to the stable and growing utilities business as well as the lucrative LNG business.

Read more »