Dividend Cuts: Why They Cause Stocks to Outperform the Market

A new study finds that dividend cutters like Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (TSX:CNQ)(NYSE:CNQ) tend to outperform the market by roughly 10%.

| More on:
We’ve seen a slew of companies cut dividends over the last few months, especially in the energy space. In fact, it’s hard to name oil producers that haven’t cut their dividend yet. The last quarter saw companies like Canadian Oil Sands Ltd.Bonterra Energy Corp.Baytex Energy Corp., and Surge Energy Inc. slash their dividends. And those are just some companies off the top of my head.

Investors should not feel concerned by this. Such cuts are natural — and inevitable — given the current market environment and uncertainty in oil prices. The initial reaction most investors have is to sell a stock when a company cuts its dividend, similar to how investors tend to sell when the market is down and buy when the market is up. But long-term investors should try to focus on the big picture and think twice before dumping dividend cutters in the “bad” camp. This is because a new study has found that dividend cutters tend to outperform the market by roughly 10% in the long run.

The study

The study, conducted by an analyst at CIBC, looked at the relationship between dividend cuts and market performance over the last 15 years. The analyst focused on companies that cut their dividend by at least 10% or more and then looked at the relative performance of those companies over time.

He found that shares started outperforming the market by about 10% approximately two months after the dividend cut. The study also found that those investors who already owned the stock before (and after) the dividend cut also seemed to benefit overall on the stock.

Long-term focus

At Motley Fool Canada, we encourage investors to block out the short-term panic, noise, and market movements. Instead, we advise shareholders to focus on long-term trends and look for value creation and growth.

The current energy market will provide some great opportunities to buy companies with strong balance sheets, talented management, and great growth prospects. Once oil prices stabilize, these companies will likely be at rock-bottom valuations, which will be the perfect time to buy. That’s when investors should grab the opportunity and buy companies like Suncor Energy Inc. and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (TSX:CNQ)(NYSE:CNQ). Both of these companies are strong oil producers and are expected to come out of this oil market successfully because of their solid positions.

Fool contributor Sandra Mergulhão has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

Double Your TFSA Contribution With 1 Smart Strategy

A monthly dividend stock like Diversified Royalty could help TFSA investors compound faster by reinvesting steady cash payments over time.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Tuesday, June 16

The TSX climbed to a fresh record high on Monday as investors welcomed easing energy market concerns and stronger metals…

Read more »

diversification and asset allocation are crucial investing concepts
Dividend Stocks

How Splitting $30,000 Across 3 TSX Stocks Could Generate $2,820 in Annual Dividend Income

Three high yield Canadian names can turn a $30,000 stake into steady monthly and quarterly cash. The payouts are generous,…

Read more »

Investing

A Year Later: 2 Stocks I’d Buy Again Without Hesitating

TD Bank (TSX:TD) and another great pick that's still a must-buy right now.

Read more »

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Retirement

The $109,000 TFSA Benchmark: Here’s How to See Where You Stand

See how the $109,000 TFSA benchmark can help Canadian investors compare their progress and build a stronger tax-free portfolio.

Read more »

open vault at bank
Bank Stocks

A 4.4% Yielding Monthly Income ETF That You Can Take to the Bank

One simple ticker hands you a monthly paycheque from Canada's biggest banks and insurers. Here is why I think it…

Read more »

investor schemes to buy stocks before market notices them
Dividend Stocks

Looking for a 5.4% Average Yield? These 3 TSX Stocks Are Worth a Look

South Bow (TSX:SOBO) and 2 other TSX dividend stocks deliver a sustainable 5.4% average yield with strong long-term fundamentals for…

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Dividend Stocks

BCE’s Dividend Has Been Getting a Lot of Attention – Here’s Why

BCE Inc (TSX:BCE) has a high yield but has been suffering dividend cuts.

Read more »