Is TransCanada Corporation a Buy After a 17% Dip?

After a 17% dip, TransCanada Corporation (TSX:TRP)(NYSE:TRP) yields 4%. The estimated long-term total return is 12%, given that the company grows earnings at an 8% rate.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Pipeline companies are viewed as more stable investments in the energy sector because they are responsible for transporting and storing oil and natural gas, and are not as sensitive to volatile commodity prices.

From its 52-week high of $63, TransCanada Corporation (TSX:TRP)(NYSE:TRP) has dipped to $52 in a span of nine months, leading to an attractive yield of 4%. That’s a drop of over 17%. Is now an opportunity to buy some TransCanada shares?

Assets and business

TransCanada owns roughly 57,000 km of gas pipelines and 368 billion cubic feet of gas storage. It also owns 12 operating power plants with eight more either partially-owned or in development. TransCanada has the capacity to generate more than 11,800 megawatts of power. Its natural gas pipelines are located in Canada, the United States, and Mexico, while its Keystone crude oil pipeline spans 4,247 km.

Growth

In its first-quarter financial results on May 1, TransCanada highlighted its pipeline of $46 billion portfolio of short-term and long-term projects. Compare that number with its existing assets of $64 billion. This indicates that there’s lots of room for the company to grow its earnings and cash flow when its investments start to pay off.

Financial position

TransCanada’s financial position remains strong; it has a S&P credit rating of A-. At the end of March 2015 its capital structure consisted of 56% of debt and 37% of common equity. It has $1.8 billion cash on hand on top of $5 billion of undrawn credit lines for deployment when needed.

Yield and dividend growth

Although some investors like to buy stable companies at the minimum yield of 4%, historically speaking, a 4% yield for TransCanada is not uncommon. Still, for investors looking to start a position in TransCanada, the 4% yield point is not a bad place to buy some shares.

TransCanada has a 14-year record of increasing dividends every year. In the past, it has typically grown dividends in the 4-5% range. So, it might have surprised investors this year when the dividend was hiked it by 8%. Where did that spike of growth come from?

A healthy dividend must be supported by earnings. TransCanada’s earnings grew 10% quarter over quarter for the first quarter of 2015. If that keeps up, the company should be able to continue growing dividends at an 8-10% rate, given that the company wants to keep the payout ratio around the same level.

TransCanada generally pays out eligible dividends so that Canadian investors are entitled to the enhanced dividend tax credit.

In conclusion

If you’re looking for a stable company with growth, TransCanada maybe the investment you are looking for. At about $52 a share, it pays out a yield of 4% and is expected to grow at least 8% per year. That implies a total return of 12% as long as the earnings grow at the rate of 8%.

Fool contributor Kay Ng has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Dividend Stocks

happy woman throws cash
Dividend Stocks

Billionaires Are Unloading Amazon and Piling Into This TSX Stock

This TSX-listed, under-the-radar asset manager could be a smart long-term bet.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

Canadians: Here’s How Much You Need in Your TFSA to Retire

A $7,000 TFSA contribution can feel small, but these three dividend growers show how it can snowball into real retirement…

Read more »

man in bowtie poses with abacus
Dividend Stocks

A Year Later: The Canadian Dividend Stock That Surprised Me Most

A&W quietly became more than a royalty trust, and that shift could make its monthly dividend story even stronger.

Read more »

man shops in a drugstore
Dividend Stocks

A Perfect TFSA Stock: A 5% Yield with Constant Paycheques

RioCan Real Estate stands out as a perfect TFSA stock, offering a reliable 5.6% yield and steady monthly income for…

Read more »

The RRSP (Canadian Registered Retirement Savings Plan) is a smart way to save and invest for the future
Dividend Stocks

Here’s the Average Canadian TFSA and RRSP Balances at Age 45

Find out how much Canadians have saved in their TFSA at age 45 and compare it with RRSP contributions to…

Read more »

shopper looks at paint color samples at home improvement store
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Stocks I’d Buy if I Only Checked My Portfolio Monthly

These two Canadian blue-chip retailers look built for “set it and check it monthly” investing, with steady demand and improving…

Read more »

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

A Dependable 4% Dividend Stock That Pays You Every Month

Resist the temptation of double-digit yield traps. This Canadian industrial REIT has raised its monthly distribution payout for 15 straight…

Read more »

builder frames a house with lumber
Dividend Stocks

This Growth Stock Continues to Crush the Market

Bird Construction stock has record backlog, double-digit growth ahead, and booming demand in defence and data centres.

Read more »