Why it’s a Bad Idea to Buy What Warren Buffett Buys

Why might investors fail by following Warren Buffett in his recent purchase of Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) shares or any of his moves for that matter?

Warren Buffett owns many great companies that have great management. His top holdings include Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), The Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO), and American Express Company (NYSE:AXP). However, investors shouldn’t just buy what other investors buy, even when they’re legendary investors–including Mr. Buffett.

Different portfolio

Buffett likes partnering with businesses for the long term, but even if that’s a strong belief of yours, you shouldn’t necessarily buy Wells Fargo when Buffett does.

What if you already own another diversified U.S. bank and you really shouldn’t add more because U.S. banks already make up 10% of your portfolio? Are you going to switch to Wells Fargo just because Buffett buys it tomorrow?

Buffett’s portfolio allocation is different from everyone else’s on the planet. To replicate his success or get the kind of returns he’s getting, the best way would be to invest in Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:BRK.A)(NYSE:BRK.B).

Even though you don’t get a dividend, you’re likely to get above-average, long-term returns because Buffett is better at allocating capital than we are. But investors shouldn’t overpay for Berkshire. When its price-to-book is 1.3 or less, investors can consider it for the long term. It is 1.36 times its book value at about US$142 per share.

Different goals

Buffett also loves dividends. You might also like dividends, but you should be willing to expand your stock investment universe. For example, Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ:FB) pays no dividend, but it should experience higher growth than dividend stocks.

Recently, Buffett bought more Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) shares. It only yielded 3% at $75 in the recent dip. What if you were a retiree and needed a minimum yield of 4% on all your investments?

Valuation

Out of Buffett’s top holdings mentioned earlier, Coca-Cola is probably too expensive to buy at present levels. It’s trading at over 23 times its earnings. Wells Fargo and American Express are at more reasonable valuations with price-to-earnings ratios of 11.5 and 11.2, respectively.

What if you replicate Buffett’s every move?

You may rationalize that Buffett is a value investor, so whatever he buys is cheap. So, by following Buffett’s every move, you should also make money. However, investors don’t have Buffett’s knowledge and experience.

Are you certain that you’re able to follow his moves and hold on to these assets even when they fall 50% in price? Even the best of the best investors can make mistakes–it’s just not possible to pick winners 100% of the time.

Conclusion

Investors should focus on their own portfolio goals and aim for satisfactory returns with acceptable risks. You define what your goals are, the satisfactory rate of return, and the kind of risks you are willing to take.

It’s all right (in fact, it’s encouraged) to observe and even study legendary investors’ investment strategies and what they hold in their portfolios. From their holdings, you can decide if you want to own those businesses as well.

If yes, add them to your watch list, determine their fair values, and set target yields or prices based on the margin of safety that make you comfortable to become a part owner.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of Coca-Cola and Facebook. David Gardner owns shares of Facebook. Tom Gardner owns shares of Facebook. The Motley Fool owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Facebook, and Wells Fargo and has the following options: short May 2016 $52 puts on Wells Fargo.

More on Dividend Stocks

a man relaxes with his feet on a pile of books
Dividend Stocks

What’s the Average RRSP Balance for a 70-Year-Old in Canada?

At 70, turn your RRSP into a personal pension. See how one dividend ETF can deliver steady, tax-deferred income with…

Read more »

monthly calendar with clock
Dividend Stocks

An 8% Dividend Stock Paying Every Month Like Clockwork

This non-bank mortgage lender turns secured real estate loans into steady monthly income, which is ideal for TFSA investors seeking…

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

The Absolute Best Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever in a TFSA

Uncover the best stocks for your Tax-Free Savings Account investment strategy and understand the Canadian market dynamics.

Read more »

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Passive Income: 2 TSX Dividend Stocks to Buy Now

These energy sector giants offer high yields and reliable dividend growth.

Read more »

hand stacks coins
Dividend Stocks

3 High-Yield Canadian Stocks for Worry-Free Passive Income

These high-yield Canadian dividend stocks can strengthen your portfolio's income-generation capabilities over the next decade.

Read more »

rising arrow with flames
Dividend Stocks

FIRE Sale: 1 Top-Notch Dividend Stock Canadians Can Buy Now

This “fire‑sale” bank may be mispriced. BMO’s durable dividend and U.S. expansion could reward patient buyers when fear fades.

Read more »

Partially complete jigsaw puzzle with scattered missing pieces
Dividend Stocks

1 Marvellous Canadian Dividend Stock Down 16% to Buy and Hold Immediately

A recent pullback has pushed this dependable Canadian dividend payer into buy territory, even as its long-term growth story keeps…

Read more »

Pile of Canadian dollar bills in various denominations
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: Invest to Create $144 in Monthly Tax-Free Income

An essential-healthcare REIT with long leases and a stabilizing balance sheet could deliver tax-free monthly TFSA income before sentiment catches…

Read more »