How to Identify Superior Growth Stocks

Between Shopify Inc. (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) and Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY), which would you invest in for growth?

| More on:

Buying growth stocks can enhance your portfolio returns. Take a look at the price chart of Shopify Inc. (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP). Despite the stock dipping ~15% in the last few days — due largely to the release of a bearish report — amazingly, the stock is still up ~124% in the last 12 months.

One would invest in Shopify for its perceived bright future of riding on the e-commerce megatrend. The tech company has been growing its revenue at a rapid pace. In its latest quarter, Shopify’s revenue was up nearly 75% from the same quarter in the prior year. However, the company is still losing money overall.

I think Spin Master Corp. (TSX:TOY) is a better growth stock. On top of growing revenue, it also has growing earnings and rising cash flow.

exponential growth

Growing revenue

In its latest quarter, Spin Master’s revenue was up almost 55% from the same quarter in the previous year. And its 2016 revenue was 31% higher than it was in 2015.

Spin Master was founded in 1994 and became a publicly traded company in July 2015; since then, the stock has appreciated nearly 167%. The co-founders are still running the show and growing the company on four pillars: innovate across its business segments, increase sales in higher-growth markets, develop evergreen global entertainment properties, and make strategic acquisitions.

The results can be seen through its growing earnings.

Growing earnings

From 2015 to 2016, Spin Master’s earnings per share increased by 16%. Analysts believe the company will continue growing its earnings per share by at least 13% per year for the next few years.

Growing cash flow

From 2015 to 2016, Spin Master increased its operating cash flow by 30%. Moreover, it has a pattern of growing free cash flow as well. In the trailing 12 months, the company generated US$80 million of free cash flow.

One more important metric

In the last two years, Spin Master had a return on equity of at least 41%. High returns on equity indicate management is allocating capital in the right places for high returns.

Is Spin Master a good buy now?

As recently as August, Spin Master launched its popular Hatchimals and PAW Patrol brands in China. Under current management, the company should remain a great growth stock.

At under $49 per share, Spin Master trades at a multiple of 24.3. Given its double-digit growth, the stock is reasonably valued.

Looking at the history of its stock price, you can see dramatic dips of ~10-20% from peak to trough. So, if you’re looking for a bigger margin of safety, consider the stock on such dips.

Investor takeaway

To identify superior growth stocks, look for companies that grow their revenue, earnings, and cash flow at above-average rates. Such companies should also have high returns on equity and be trading at reasonable multiples. This kind of investment should lead to superior returns.

 Fool contributor Kay Ng has shares in Shopify and Spin Master. Tom Gardner owns shares of Shopify. The Motley Fool owns shares of Shopify and SHOPIFY INC. Shopify is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Tech Stocks

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Tech Stocks

Canada’s Defence Spending Boom: 3 Stocks Poised to Win Big

Canada has a wave of defence spending coming. Here are three top stocks poised to win big from this new…

Read more »

chip glows with a blue AI
Tech Stocks

Revealed: Here’s the Only Canadian Stock I’d Refuse to Sell

Here’s why selling this Canadian stock might not make sense right now.

Read more »

a man relaxes with his feet on a pile of books
Tech Stocks

The TFSA Balance You’ll Probably Need to Retire Well in Canada

Explore how to retire wisely with a Tax-Free Savings Plan for a less taxable retirement and maximize your income.

Read more »

A microchip in a circuit board powers artificial intelligence.
Tech Stocks

The Tech Stock I’d Most Want to Buy If I Were Investing Today

Discover why Celestica is a leading tech stock. Learn about its impressive growth and strategic adaptations in the AI landscape.

Read more »

some REITs give investors exposure to commercial real estate
Dividend Stocks

Dreaming of a TFSA Million? Here’s How Much You’d Need to Set Aside Each Month

A million-dollar TFSA in 10 years takes serious monthly saving, and Altus Group could be one TSX stock to help.

Read more »

man makes the timeout gesture with his hands
Dividend Stocks

Why Your TFSA – Not Your RRSP – Should Be Doing the Heavy Lifting

The TFSA’s real superpower is tax-free compounding, and it gets even stronger when you pair it with a proven long-term…

Read more »

A robotic hand interacting with a visual AI touchscreen display.
Tech Stocks

3 Canadian Growth Stocks Worth Considering for a TFSA This Year

These three TSX growth stocks mix real revenue momentum with improving profits, exactly what TFSA investors want for tax-free compounding.

Read more »

warehouse worker takes inventory in storage room
Tech Stocks

Could Buying This One Stock Actually Put You on a Path to Millionaire Status?

Shopify is growing fast, adding AI tools, and winning bigger brands, but its pricey valuation means investors need patience.

Read more »