How Risky Are Cannabis Stocks in Light of the TMX Group Limited Review?

Cannabis stocks such as Aphria Inc. (TSX:APH) have dropped on news of regulatory review.

| More on:

Top cannabis stocks were down again on Wednesday, October 18, as the market has been struck with deep anxiety following the announcement from TMX Group Limited (TSX:X). The exchange group revealed that it would launch a review of companies listed on its markets to determine if business was being done in the United States where cannabis is still prohibited by federal law.

Cannabis firms that have violated federal law by doing business in the United States are at risk of being de-listed from the Toronto Stock Exchange and the TSX Venture Exchange. This would include markets in U.S. states that have legalized recreational cannabis use. So, a Canadian cannabis company operating in Colorado, which recently passed legalization, would still be in violation of federal law.

Shares of Aphria Inc. (TSX:APH) have dropped 9% since the news as of close on October 18. Aphria released a statement responding to both the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) staff notice and the TSX guidance on October 17. “We believe the new CSA staff notice provides a very balanced framework for the Canadian capital markets,” said CEO Vic Neufeld. “…We welcome the additional guidance on specific and enhanced disclosure requirements for U.S. marijuana-related activities as they pertain to the medical marijuana industry in Canada.”

A statement from Aphria also accused the TSX staff notice as being too broad in determining business that could be in violation in the United States. For reference, the company currently has a stake in an Arizona-based medical cannabis producer and originally had plans to begin early expansion into Florida.

Canopy Growth Corp. (TSX:WEED) has experienced a 6% decline since the news broke. However, leadership at Canopy was far more welcoming of the news than some of its key competitors. The company has focused on a push to Europe and has no U.S. interests to speak of. Canopy CEO Bruce Linton said that the company had only operated in jurisdictions in which it was permitted and has little to worry about.

In spite of the lack of U.S. investments for Canopy, its stock has become a victim of a broader sell off. This is after a surge since mid-July which has moved the stock up over 60% on a slew of positive news for the industry, as provincial plans have started to be fleshed out, and Canopy itself has moved forward on some key deals with public and private entities.

Are cannabis stocks destined for another period of volatility?

Investors in companies like Aphria, with stakes in the U.S., will obviously see enhanced risk over the course of this review. We must also balance the statements from the CSA, which seem to suggest that companies need simply divulge investments that breach U.S. federal law to satisfy the regulator.

This is not the first time cannabis stocks have been wracked by this threat. If anything, a conclusion of the review should bring some much-needed clarity to a market plagued by uncertainty due to conflict caused by Canadian recreational legalization.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

Today’s Perfect TFSA Stock: 6% Monthly Income

SmartCentres REIT stands out as the perfect TFSA stock for Canadians seeking reliable monthly income, and long‑term stability.

Read more »

A modern office building detail
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian REITs That Look Worth Buying Right Now

SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) and another yield-rich, passive-income play are fit for Canadian value seekers.

Read more »

man looks surprised at investment growth
Investing

3 Canadian Stocks That Look Undervalued and Worth Buying Right Now

These high-quality Canadian stocks still look undervalued and are well-positioned to deliver notable growth in the future.

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Investing

3 Canadian Growth Stocks Worth Adding to a TFSA This Year

Three Canadian growth stocks are valuable additions to the TFSA for investors prioritizing capital gains over dividend income in 2026.

Read more »

crisis concept, falling stairs
Stocks for Beginners

2 Canadian Stocks That Could Utterly Destroy a $100,000 Portfolio

Understand the risks associated with goeasy stock and its significant decline. Protect your portfolio with informed decisions.

Read more »

man gives stopping gesture
Dividend Stocks

2 Stocks That Canadian Retirees May Want to Think Twice About Owning

If you have a long investment horizon and a portfolio geared for retirement planning, these two stocks are investments you…

Read more »

senior man smiles next to a light-filled window
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks to Buy if Rates Stay Higher for Longer

Higher rates make yield traps more dangerous, so these three dividend names show three different “quality income” approaches.

Read more »

middle-aged couple work together on laptop
Dividend Stocks

5 Canadian Stocks Beginners Can Buy and Hold Forever

These five Canadian stocks offer beginners a mix of simple business models and long-term staying power.

Read more »