Air Canada’s Stock Falls 1.3% Despite Record Q3 Results: Buy Now?

Air Canada (TSX:AC)(TSX:AC.B) released record Q3 results Wednesday morning, but its stock responded by falling 1.3%. Should you buy now? Let’s find out.

| More on:

Air Canada (TSX:AC)(TSX:AC.B), Canada’s largest airline company, announced record third-quarter earnings results before the market opened on Wednesday, but its stock responded by falling 1.29% in the day’s trading session. Let’s break down the quarterly results and the fundamentals of its stock to determine if we should consider using this weakness as a long-term buying opportunity.

The record results

Here’s a breakdown of 12 of the most notable financial statistics from Air Canada’s three-month period ended on September 30, 2017, compared with the same period in 2016:

Metric Q3 2017 Q3 2016 Change
Passenger revenues $4,478 million $4,106 million 9.1%
Cargo revenues $179 million $130 million 37.7%
Other revenues $223 million $215 million 3.7%
Total revenues $4,880 million $4,451 million 9.6%
EBITDAR (excluding special items) $1,388 million $1,248 million 11.2%
EBITDAR margin (excluding special items) 28.4% 28.0% 40 basis points
Operating income $1,004 million $896 million 12.1%
Operating margin 20.6% 20.1% 50 basis points
Adjusted net income $950 million $821 million 15.7%
Adjusted earnings per diluted share (EPS) $3.43 $2.93 17.1%
Free cash flow $324 million $315 million 2.9%
Revenue passengers carried (thousands) 13,993 13,327 5.0%

What should you do with the stock now?

It was an outstanding quarter overall for Air Canada, as it achieved record operating revenues, record operating income, record EBITDAR, record adjusted net income, record operating cash flow, and record free cash flow.

That being said, I think the market should have reacted by sending Air Canada’s stock significantly higher in Wednesday’s trading session, and I think it represents a very attractive long-term investment opportunity today for one fundamental reason in particular: valuation. Air Canada’s stock is up over 90% year to date, but it still trades at just 6.2 times fiscal 2017’s estimated EPS of $4.17 and a mere 5.5 times fiscal 2018’s estimated EPS of $4.77, both of which are incredibly inexpensive given its current double-digit earnings-growth rate and its estimated 19% long-term earnings-growth rate.

With all of the information provided above in mind, I think all Foolish investors should strongly consider making Air Canada a long-term core holding.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in the companies mentioned.

More on Investing

shopper looks at paint color samples at home improvement store
Dividend Stocks

6% Every Month? 1 TFSA Stock Doing Just That

Crombie REIT offers a near-6% monthly payout backed by grocery-anchored properties and steady growth projects.

Read more »

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian ETFs Worth Buying and Holding in Your TFSA Right Now

These 3 low-cost Canadian index ETFs provide exposure to the broad market, blue-chips and dividend stocks, respectively.

Read more »

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Investing

Power Up Your TFSA: This TSX-Listed ETF Delivers Tax-Free Monthly Cash Flow

XDIV pays monthly income with a current 3.6% 12-month trailing yield.

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Investing

The TFSA Rules Around Global Investments That Many Canadians Don’t Know About

Planning to own non-Canadian stocks in your TFSA? Give this article a read first.

Read more »

three friends eat pizza
Dividend Stocks

The 6% Dividend Stock That Pays Every. Single. Month.

Boston Pizza Royalties offers a 6% monthly payout backed by record franchise sales and a simple royalty model.

Read more »

pregnant mother juggles work and childcare
Investing

Why Government Bonds Are Starting to Look Worth a Second Look

If you have a lower risk tolerance, an allocation to high-quality bonds could help you sleep better at night.

Read more »

how to save money
Dividend Stocks

Canadians: Here’s How Much You’ll Likely Need in Your TFSA to Retire

The Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend Yield Index ETF (TSX:VDY) is a great passive income for retirees to stash in…

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

How a TFSA Could Help You Earn $4,360 in Tax-Free Passive Income Each Year

This income-focused ETF from BMO remains low-cost and highly diversified.

Read more »