Should You Invest in The World’s Most Unloved Stock Market?

If you show some love to the UK right now, your portfolio might just love you back.

The Motley Fool

Global stock markets are on a roll, defying repeated predictions that they are about to crash.

The US S&P 500 index has just posted 13 consecutive months of growth for the first time in 90 years, while Europe MSCI is up 25% over the past year.

Yet investors have lost their passion for one key market. It is so unloved, even the locals do not want to invest in it.

I am talking about the UK.

Where did our love go?

The British are pouring money into stocks and shares investing a record £5.6 billion in September, with global funds the bestselling sector.

Europe, Japan and North America all enjoyed massive inflows, but there is one place the Brits do not want to invest.

In fact, they are pulling money out. It is their own country.

No growth

The British certainly have plenty of reasons to feel fed up right now. Inflation stands at 3%, but wages are growing at just 2.2%, which means people are getting poorer in real terms.

Effectively Britain has not had a pay rise in 15 years, and GDP growth is now the lowest in the EU.

Brexit is dividing the nation, and creating massive business uncertainty. Recently the UK has discovered the price of leaving the EU: between €60bn and €100bn.

Collapse

The world has noticed. The latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey of investor sentiment shows attitudes towards the UK are as low as in 2008, when the UK banking system was on the verge of collapse.

Things could get worse, especially if the UK crashes out of the EU without a deal.

It seems that everybody hates the UK… which could make now an exciting time to invest.

The benchmark FTSE 100 index of top stocks is up 12.1% in the past 12 months, a positive return but just half the growth seen across Europe.

However, there are hopes that the UK and EU will edge closer towards a much-needed trade deal, especially with the UK apparently now agreeing to pay the divorce bill.

There are sticking points on Ireland and the rights of EU citizens, but both sides have a clear financial interest in striking an agreement before March 2019.

If we see further progress over the coming months, business confidence and investment will pick up and the love could start flowing again.

Fighting back

While the overvalued US is trading at almost 31.86 times earnings, according to the Shiller PE ratio, the FTSE 100 trades at just 15.22, and offers a generous average yield of 3.86% to boot.

It also includes global behemoths who should perform well regardless of what happens domestically, such as oil majors BP and Royal Dutch Shell, HSBC Holdings, British American Tobacco, pharmaceutical giants GlaxoSmithKline and AstraZeneca, and Vodafone Group and Unilever.

If you show some love to the UK right now, your portfolio might just love you back.

More on Investing

Concept of multiple streams of income
Dividend Stocks

Passive Income: How Much Do You Need to Invest to Make $400 Per Month?

This fund's fixed $0.10-per-share monthly payout makes passive-income math easy.

Read more »

traffic signal shows red light
Investing

The Red Flags The CRA Is Watching for Every TFSA Holder

Here are important red flags to be careful about when investing in a Tax-Free Savings Account to avoid the watchful…

Read more »

senior couple looks at investing statements
Retirement

Canadian Retirees: 2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

Add these two TSX dividend stocks to your self-directed Tax-Free Savings Account portfolio to generate tax-free income in your retirement.

Read more »

Farmer smiles near cannabis crop
Cannabis Stocks

Can Canopy Growth Stock Finally Recover in 2026, as Donald Trump Might Ease Cannabis Restrictions?

Down over 99% from all-time highs, Canopy Growth stock might recover in 2026 if the Trump administration reclassifies cannabis products.

Read more »

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Retirement

Retirees: 2 High-Yielding Dividend Stocks for Solid TFSA Income

Do you want tax-free, predictable retirement income? These two high‑yield mortgage lenders can deliver monthly dividends that quietly compound inside…

Read more »

Business success of growth metaverse finance and investment profit graph concept or development analysis progress chart on financial market achievement strategy background with increase hand diagram
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Growth Stocks Look Like Standout Buys as the Market Keeps Surging

Enbridge (TSX:ENB) stock and another standout name to watch closely in the new year.

Read more »

voice-recognition-talking-to-a-smartphone
Dividend Stocks

How to Turn Losing TSX Telecom Stock Picks Into Tax Savings

Telecom stocks could be a good tax-loss harvesting candidate for year-end.

Read more »

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Bank Stocks

Yield vs Returns: Why You Shouldn’t Prioritize Dividends That Much

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD) has a high yield, but most of its return has come from capital gains.

Read more »