Why November Could Be a Big Month for Cannabis

Aphria Inc (TSX:APH) and other cannabis companies will probably be following the midterm elections in the U.S. very closely.

Marijuana legalization has made a lot of progress in the U.S. over the years, but it still has a long way to go, especially at the federal level. But as more states seek to legalize pot, it’ll undoubtedly put more pressure on the federal government to make changes as well, as a federal ban on cannabis makes it illegal to cross state lines with the drug.

The midterm elections in the U.S. are coming up next month, which means many potential changes.

The first is that there are many political races that could shift the balance of power in the U.S., which currently sits with Republicans, who are still largely against legalizing marijuana. More Democrats in the Senate and running states will likely lead to more progress on marijuana legalization.

While it may not lead to a direct or even quick change on the topic, it will pave the way for future ballots and set the stage for more places where pot can be consumed.

Voting will take place on the legalization of marijuana in four U.S. states. North Dakota and Michigan will vote on whether to legalize marijuana for recreational use, while Utah and Missouri will decide on medical marijuana and under what circumstances it will be allowed.

Attitudes on marijuana have been changing

What’s remarkable on the topic of marijuana is not that we’re seeing legalization happen in many U.S. states, it’s that even in largely Republic states we are seeing progress on the topic as well. For me, the big turning point was seeing former House Speaker John Boehner become involved with a cannabis company as an advisor.

While there may still be some people who are opposed to legalizing pot, it’s clear that the movement to legalize marijuana is picking up steam. How long it will take for that to lead to changes federally, however, is another question.

Why this matters to Canadian cannabis investors

While these changes are big at the U.S. level, their impact is also significant for Canadian companies as well. Aphria Inc (TSX:APH) knows all too well how investing in U.S. pot could land companies in hot water, as the pot stock recently divested itself of its U.S. assets. Other cannabis companies have simply steered clear of the country entirely and decided that as lucrative as the market is, that it isn’t worth the risk.

That’s also why many big companies in other industries are staying on the sidelines. The industry will look very different once we see marijuana legalization take place in the U.S., as companies like Aphria could be swallowed up by big tobacco or beverage companies that would be able to ship cannabis along with other products across the country.

While we’ve seen some big deals take place already, we’re likely to see many more once legal obstacles are out of the way.

Aphria and other cannabis companies have also been looking to expand in other parts of the world, and you can bet that the U.S. market, if it were to become accessible, would immediately become the focal point.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Hand arranging wood block stacking as step stair with arrow up.
Coronavirus

2 Pandemic Stocks That Are Still Rising, and 1 Offering a Major Deal

There are some pandemic stocks that crashed and burned, while others have made a massive comeback. And this one stock…

Read more »

Supermarket aisle with empty green shopping cart
Investing

CRA: Will You Receive a Grocery Rebate in 2024?

The grocery rebate was introduced as a one-time tax credit for low-income Canadian households to offset higher prices.

Read more »

question marks written reminders tickets
Investing

BCE Stock’s Dividend Yield Hits 9%—Is it Finally Time to Buy?

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock has a super-swollen dividend yield right now as it passes 9%.

Read more »

oil and gas pipeline
Energy Stocks

Why TC Energy Stock Is Down 9% in a Month

TC Energy (TSX:TRP) stock has fallen by 9% in the last month, as it continues to divest assets to strengthen…

Read more »

close-up photo of investor Warren Buffett
Tech Stocks

3 Stocks Warren Buffett Owns That Should Be on Your List, Too

Investing in quality Warren Buffett stocks such as Mastercard can help you generate outsized gains in the upcoming decade.

Read more »

STACKED COINS DEPICTING MONEY GROWTH
Dividend Stocks

How Long Would It Take to Turn $20,000 Into $100,000 With TSX Dividend Stocks?

Here's how a historical investment in TSX dividend stocks would have fared.

Read more »

edit Businessman using calculator next to laptop
Dividend Stocks

Passive Income: How Much Should You Invest to Earn $100 Every Month

Want to earn an extra $100 per month in investment passive income? Here's how much cash you would need to…

Read more »

Canadian Dollars
Dividend Stocks

Buy 1,430 Shares of This Super Dividend Stock for $1,000/Year in Passive Income

Here's how to generate $1,000 in annual passive income with Dream Industrial REIT (TSX:DIR.UN) stock.

Read more »