A Top TSX Index Stock to Own for 50 Years in Your TFSA

Suncor (TSX:SU) (NYSE:SU) is down 20% from the summer high. Is this the time to buy?

| More on:
Gold king in chess game face with the another silver team on black background (Concept for company strategy, business victory or decision)

Image source: Getty Images

Young investors are searching for reliable stocks to add to their TFSA retirement portfolios.

The strategy makes sense, as any distributions that are paid are tax free and can be invested back into new shares to take advantage of the power of compounding. In addition, when the day comes to cash out and spend the funds, all the capital gains are yours to keep. That’s right, you don’t have to share any of the profits with the taxman.

Let’s take a look at one TSX Index stock that currently looks oversold and might be an interesting pick for your TFSA right now.

Suncor (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU)

A quick look at all the media headlines around the desperate situation faced by Canadian energy companies would keep most investors away from the sector.

It’s true that the pipeline bottlenecks and carbon taxes are causing some players grief. Those who have to sell their oil at Western Canadian Select (WCS) prices are particularly vulnerable to ongoing delays in the construction of a new major pipeline to get Alberta oil to international markets.

However, not all companies are feeling the same pain.

Suncor, for example, reported strong Q3 2018 results. The company generated $3 billion in funds from operations and operating earnings of $1.6 billion, or $0.96 per share, compared to $0.52 per share in Q3 2017.

The downstream assets, which include the refining and Petro-Canada retail locations benefitted from lower input costs. In addition, Suncor is able to get WTI or Brent pricing for much of its production due to favourable market access. Production gains came from the Fort Hills oil sands facility that was completed late last year and is now operating at target production rates.

Suncor also finished the Hebron offshore platform in the Atlantic at the end of 2017 and production continues to ramp up at the project.

Additional offshore developments include White Rose, Oda, and Fenja.

Suncor raised its dividend by 12.5% in 2018 and has increased its share buyback program from $2.15 billion to $3 billion through the beginning of May 2019. That would be about 5% of the outstanding common share float.

Investors should see another solid dividend hike in 2019. The current quarterly payout of $0.36 per share provides an annualized yield of 3.3%.

Should you buy?

The stock is down below $44 per share from $55 this summer. The drop in WTI oil from US$76 per barrel in early October to the recent price near US$56 has caught many pundits by surprise given the new sanctions against Iran and the ongoing production declines from Venezuela.

If OPEC decides to restrict output, rather than pump more oil to offset the Iran impact, oil could quickly move back to the recent highs or even test US$80 per barrel next year.

Suncor has a strong balance sheet and the integrated business structure provides a nice hedge against volatility in oil prices. Oil is unlikely to be replaced by renewable energy as quickly as many people predict, so Suncor probably has decades of good profit generation on the horizon.

If you have some cash sitting on the sidelines, Suncor might be an attractive pick at the current price.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Andrew Walker has no position in any stock mentioned.

More on Energy Stocks

Growing plant shoots on coins
Energy Stocks

Dividend Darlings: 3 Canadian Stocks That Are Too Good to Ignore

Rising bond yields are headwinds for stocks, but income-investors can’t pass up on these three high-yield Canadian stocks.

Read more »

Nuclear power station cooling tower
Energy Stocks

TSX Energy Sector: Uranium Stocks vs. Natural Gas?

Even though the demand for fossil fuels (including natural gas) is expected to slack, the timeline is in decades. Meanwhile,…

Read more »

edit CRA taxes
Energy Stocks

The 2024 Tax Hacks Every Smart Investor Should Know

Smart taxpayers can turn to two investment accounts to lessen their tax burdens and save money at the same time.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Energy Stocks

Say Goodbye to Volatility With Rock-Solid, Stable Low Beta Stocks

Hydro One (TSX:H) stock is a great volatility fighter for income investors seeking stability on the TSX.

Read more »

Value for money
Energy Stocks

Is TC Energy Stock a Buy for Its 7.7% Dividend?

Down 35% from all-time highs, TC Energy stock offers you a tasty dividend yield of 7.7%. Is the TSX dividend…

Read more »

bulb idea thinking
Energy Stocks

Should Investors Buy the Correction in Cameco Stock?

Cameco stock (TSX:CCO) is up 71% in the last year, but has come back 10% in the last month. But…

Read more »

Group of industrial workers in a refinery - oil processing equipment and machinery
Energy Stocks

2 Top Energy Stocks (With Dividends) to Buy Today and Hold Forever

Besides their solid growth prospects, these two Canadian energy stocks also reward investors with attractive dividends.

Read more »

Dice engraved with the words buy and sell
Energy Stocks

Suncor Energy Stock Has Surged 25% in Just 75 Days: Is It Still a Buy?

Suncor stock has surged 25% to above $53 in the last 75 days. Is there more upside or correction for…

Read more »