Is Canopy Growth Corp. (TSX: WEED) Headed for a Crash?

Canopy Growth Corp.’s (TSX:WEED)(NYSE:CGC) recent quarterly earnings report showed triple-growth in revenue but not enough to convince the investing public.

| More on:
Handwriting text writing Are You Ready For Tomorrow question. Concept meaning Preparation to the future Motivation Stand blackboard with white words behind blurry blue paper lobs woody floor.

Image source: Getty Images

If you’re looking for a high-growth stock, would you be particular about the industry to where the stock belongs? Since last year, marijuana stocks have been the talk of the town. Even the shares of least known companies were boosted by a change in name to reflect a bit of link to the cannabis sector.

Among all the weed stocks, Canopy Growth Corp. (TSX:WEED)(NYSE:CGC) appears headed for unprecedented growth. Disappointingly, analysts’ forecasts were off the mark as most cannabis stocks fell sharply in late 2017. But after Canopy Growth’s recent earnings report, should investors be enlivened?

An intriguing stock

Canopy Growth is a paradox. At least on paper, the company is strong deep down yet fundamentally shallow. The company’s percentage increase of 280% year over year in the last quarter of 2018 may be striking. From the sales perspective, Canopy Growth is the industry’s top seller, which makes it fairly attractive.

However, revenue will be better appreciated if earnings come up to par. Canopy Growth netted $75 million income from sales of 7,300 kilograms. Further sleuthing revealed that the figure could have been smaller were it not for the financial adjustments. Hence, the financial image is still wanting in shareholder value.

Factors affecting tangible growth

If you have an eye for details, you’ll notice that a lot of factors are spoiling the performance. The company’s gross margin went down $4 million versus last year, which means Canopy Growth was beset by higher inventory costs during the quarter in review. The lower gross margin negated the increase in sales.

The Canadian cannabis producer also needed to issue an additional $5 billion in shares. More than $97 million in cash went directly to operating activities while investing activities used up $1.4 billion. In other words, Canopy Growth is spending cash at a torrid pace.

And talking of speed, operating expenses grew faster than sales. A year ago, it was only $43 million before ballooning to $170 million. Mind you, the $46 million general and administrative costs incurred dwarfed all the company’s operating costs.

Given the bloating expenses and lower margins, Canopy Growth was fortunate to even report $75 million net income. Truth be told, it was the other income of $235 million that painted a rosy picture. There was a $186 million fair value gain resulting from changes in the fair value of convertible notes.

Not yet time to celebrate

WEED is trading at $62.81 as we write, which is 59.9% higher than the price on the first trading session of 2019. But keep in mind the stock was already doing $73.75 two days before The Cannabis Act was enacted. The trajectory after the legalization should have been $100; no one expected Canopy Growth to sputter.

Perhaps it’s better to hold your horses before betting on Canopy Growth. The company needs a few more strides. That might entail a couple of quarters. For restive investors, you can monitor the stock day-to-day if you have the time.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

rail train
Stocks for Beginners

CP Stock: 1 Key Catalyst Investors Should Watch

After a positive surprise in the last quarter, CP stock (TSX:CP) recently made a change that should have investors excited…

Read more »

Payday ringed on a calendar
Dividend Stocks

Cash Kings: 3 TSX Stocks That Pay Monthly

These stocks are rewarding shareholders with regular monthly dividends and high yields, making them compelling investments for monthly cash.

Read more »

grow dividends
Tech Stocks

Celestica Stock Is up 62% in 2024 Alone, and an Earnings Pop Could Bring Even More

Celestica (TSX:CLS) stock is up an incredible 280% in the last year. But more could be coming when the stock…

Read more »

Airport and plane
Stocks for Beginners

Is Air Canada Stock a Good Buy in April 2024?

Despite rallying by over 20% in the last six months, Air Canada stock could be a great buy for the…

Read more »

Businessman holding AI cloud
Tech Stocks

Stealth AI: 1 Unexpected Stock to Win With Artificial Intelligence

Thomson Reuters (TSX:TRI) stock isn't widely-known for its generative AI prowess, but don't count it out quite yet.

Read more »

Shopping and e-commerce
Tech Stocks

Missed Out on Nvidia? My Best AI Stock to Buy and Hold

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock isn't the only wonderful growth stock to hold for the next 10 years and beyond.

Read more »

Human Hand Placing A Coin On Increasing Coin Stacks In Front Of House
Dividend Stocks

Up 13%, Killam REIT Looks Like It Has More Room to Run

Killam REIT (TSX:KMP.UN) has seen shares climb 13% since market bottom, but come down recently after 2023 earnings.

Read more »

crypto, chart, stocks
Energy Stocks

If You Had Invested $10,000 in Enbridge Stock in 2018, This Is How Much You Would Have Today

Enbridge's big dividend yield isn't free money. Here's why.

Read more »