6 Green Flags Indicate This Dividend Stock Could Rally Soon

Canaccord Genuity Group Inc.’s (TSX:CF) dividend is deceptively low. Considering the payout ratio, low debt, cash on hand, growth prospects, and buybacks, the dividend is worth more attention.

| More on:

Dividend yields, more often than not, can be deceptive. Sometimes companies pay out more than they can afford, leading to a rush for a coveted yield. Other times, a company pays out much less than it can afford, leading to unattractive dividend yields that miss the attention of income-seeking investors.

In my opinion, Vancouver-based wealth management company Canaccord Genuity (TSX:CF) is one of the latter. If you’re an active stock picker, you’ve probably come across this company’s research on a wide range of Canadian and American stocks. What you’ve probably missed is the fact that equity research is only a small fraction of Canaccord’s operations.

The company provides wealth management, investment banking, and financial consultation services to companies and individuals spread across much of the developed world. While 80% of revenue last year was generated in North America, the company also has operations in the United Kingdom, United Arab Emirates, European Union, and Australia.

Although the company offers a dividend, the yield is barely 0.65% — one-third the rate on a 10-year Canadian government bond. However, my research indicates six reasons for investors to take a closer look:

Low dividend-payout ratio

Canaccord’s dividend-payout ratio is a mere 11%, which indicates the company is holding back and reinvesting much of the cash it generates. My guess is that the company is building its arsenal for further expansion and acquisitions, like the recently purchased Petsky Prunier LLC, a merger and acquisition specialist based in New York.  

Insiders buying

Insiders have been net buyers of the stock over the past 12 months, deploying $2 million in net inflow. The biggest purchase was driven by Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer Stuart Raftus.

Earnings growth

Revenue, net income, and diluted earnings per share are all up over the past three fiscal years. The company has swung from a $6 million loss in 2016 to a $82 million profit in 2018.

Share buybacks

The company has bought back and retired 1,028,700 shares over the past 12 months. Assuming the average price for these purchases was $6, the company has deployed 50% more cash in buybacks than dividends over the past year. However, some of this buyback is offset by the dilution caused by the company’s stock compensation to employees.

Buy ratings

The two analysts who cover the stock, Jeff Fenwick of Cormark Securities and Graham Ryding of TD Securities, both have buy ratings on Canaccord Genuity. The average of their respective price targets is $9.25, while the stock trades 33% lower.

Cash on hand

As of December 31, 2018, Canaccord Genuity reported $931 million in cash and cash equivalents. That covers the dividend and buyback more than 93 times.

Bottom line

I suspect that Canaccord Genuity is trying to drive growth through the mergers and acquisitions strategies it specializes in. Over the next few years, much of its cash hoard could be deployed in buying financial companies across the world.

If the company can boost the return on equity with this strategy, investors will ultimately reap the benefits of capital appreciation. Meanwhile, there’s always a chance management will be more generous with dividends and buybacks.

Fool contributor Vishesh Raisinghani has no position in any stocks mentioned. 

More on Dividend Stocks

boy in bowtie and glasses gives positive thumbs up
Dividend Stocks

My Top Pick for Immediate Income? This 7.6% Dividend Stock

Slate Grocery REIT is an impressive high-yield option for investors seeking reliable income from defensive retail.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

CRA: How to Use Your TFSA Contribution Limit in 2026

After understanding the CRA thresholds, the next step is to learn the core strategies in using your TFSA contribution limit…

Read more »

diversification and asset allocation are crucial investing concepts
Dividend Stocks

9.3% Dividend Yield: Buy This Top-Notch Dividend Stock in Bulk

This dividend stock trades at a discount of about 15% and offers a 9.3% dividend yield for now.

Read more »

a man relaxes with his feet on a pile of books
Dividend Stocks

How to Use Your TFSA to Average $2400 Per Year in Tax-Free Passive Income

Income-seeking investors should consider these picks to build a tax-free passive portfolio with some of the best Canadian dividend stocks…

Read more »

man in suit looks at a computer with an anxious expression
Dividend Stocks

Where I’d Put $10,000 in Canadian Stocks Right Now

A $10,000 market position spread across three reliable dividend payers is a strategic shield against ongoing volatility.

Read more »

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Dividend Stocks

The Best Stocks to Invest $1,000 in Right Now

These top stocks combine diversification, durable business models, and long-term wealth-building potential for patient investors.

Read more »

A worker overlooks an oil refinery plant.
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks Perfectly Positioned for the Infrastructure Boom

These Canadian infrastructure stocks have reliable dividends and solid long-term growth potential, making them top picks in today's market.

Read more »

Blocks conceptualizing the Registered Retirement Savings Plan
Dividend Stocks

A Better Way to Invest Your RRSP Refund in 2026

The RRSP tax refund is a welcome windfall but can offset taxes further through income and growth investing.

Read more »