Why Canada Goose (TSX:GOOS) Stock Fell 37% in May

Canada Goose Holdings Inc (TSX:GOOS)(NYSE:GOOS) lost more than a third of their value in May. Here’s what happened to shake investor confidence.

| More on:
Businessmen teamwork brainstorming meeting.

Image source: Getty Images

The markets haven’t been kind to stocks that have missed earnings in recent weeks.  

Nowhere is that truer than Canada Goose (TSX:GOOS)(NYSE:GOOS) who announced lower-than-expected fourth-quarter results May 29 sending its stock down by 26% in a single day of trading.

Overall, the results weren’t horrendous, as revenue grew 25% during the quarter to $156.2 million, which was $600,000 less than the consensus estimate and three cents higher than the $0.06 estimate.

What took investors by surprise, however, was the company’s reduced growth rate of 20% for fiscal 2020, which is half the rate this of this past year and much less than the 50% growth witnessed in 2018. According to the revised growth rate, Canada Goose will earn approximately $1 billion in 2020, $50 million less than analysts’ expectations.

With the China-U.S. trade war already creating uncertainty in the eye of investors, the slowing growth has continued to put pressure on GOOS stock in the days preceding its quarterly announcement.

However, while some analysts weren’t pleased about the company’s earnings miss, RBC Dominion Securities analyst Kate Fitzsimons has increased Canada Goose’s earnings projection for 2020 by five cents to $1.70 and her 2021 estimate by four cents to $2.12 a share.

The analyst believes that Canada Goose’s gross margins are healthy and getting stronger.

In the fourth quarter, they were 62.2%, 340 basis points higher than a year earlier. Canada Goose’s brick-and-mortar and online stores delivered top-notch gross margins of 75.3% during the quarter, while wholesale margins increased by a respectable 120 basis points to 48.1%.

With the 37% sell-off in May, Canada Goose is now trading at 21.5 times Fitzsimons’ 2021 earnings estimate, well below its historical forward P/E multiple since going public in 2017.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Will Ashworth has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Business man on stock market financial trade indicator background.
Tech Stocks

1 Growth Stock Down 50 Percent to Buy Right Now

There are plenty of growth stocks in the market worth considering, but Shopify (TSX:SHOP) looks like one of the best…

Read more »

You Should Know This
Dividend Stocks

How to Convert a $300 Monthly Investment Into $338 in Monthly Income

If you want a certain amount in monthly passive income, invest a similar amount today and leave the rest to…

Read more »

Increasing yield
Dividend Stocks

3 Income Stocks With Big Yields to Consider in April 2024

If you haven’t yet made your March investments, here are three income stocks to buy the dip and lock in…

Read more »

Senior Man Sitting On Sofa At Home With Pet Labrador Dog
Dividend Stocks

RRSP Investors: Don’t Miss Out on This Contribution Hack!

This hack has so many benefits for you -- not just when you put it in your RRSP but for…

Read more »

edit Sale sign, value, discount
Stocks for Beginners

These 3 Growth Stocks Are on Sale and Set to Surge

Some growth stocks are on sale right now that offer massive long-term potential for investors. Here's a trio to consider…

Read more »

Cannabis grows at a commercial farm.
Cannabis Stocks

Why Canopy Growth Stock Could Double in 2024

Canopy Growth (TSX:WEED) stock saw its share more than double in the last two weeks. So, can it do it…

Read more »

Young woman sat at laptop by a window
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks Everyone Should Own for the Long Haul

For investors looking for top-tier dividend stocks to buy and hold for the long term, here are three of my…

Read more »

A red umbrella stands higher than a crowd of black umbrellas.
Dividend Stocks

Passive Income: 2 Safe Dividend Stocks to Own for the Next 10 Years

Dividend stocks such as Manulife and Fortis can help you generate a stable and recurring passive-income stream.

Read more »