Canadians: This 1 Stock Is the Ultimate Contrarian Play in 2020

Aritzia has made a name for itself in the failing retail industry. Is it a good stock for your TFSA or RRSP?

| More on:

Aritzia (TSX:ATZ) is a vertically integrated design house that own multiple brands. The company focuses on women’s apparel and accessories that address a range of style and lifestyle preferences.

The company has a market capitalization of $2.06 billion with a 52-week high of $19.59 and a 52-week low of $15.08.

An interpretation of the numbers

For the six months ended September 1, 2019, the company reports a strong balance sheet with $408,000 in retained earnings, down from $109 million the previous year.

The reduction in retained earnings is not due a net loss, but rather the introduction of IFRS 16, which resulted in a $42 million reclassification into right-of-use assets.

IFRS 16 also resulted in the addition of $442 million in lease liabilities. Overall, the company reports $975 million of assets on $710 million of liabilities.

Aritzia reports a significant growth in revenues from $372 million in 2018 to $438 million in 2019 (+17.6%), with only a marginal increase in cost of goods sold (+12.6%).

This means that the company is selling higher margin goods, which could be the result of reduced production costs, increased purchases of new items or a combination of both. After-tax net income of $34 million in 2019.

The company reports traditional cash flows (TCF) of $80 million, which is sufficient to cover the current portion of debt and lease obligations of $77 million. The company also purchased and cancelled $107 million of outstanding shares during this period.

But wait, there’s more…

Looking at the company’s notes to its financials indicate a couple of important items.

First, the company has credit facilities totalling $100 million, which includes a $10 million carve-out for a swing line loan (short-term higher interest loan).

As of September 1, 2019, $20 million was drawn on the revolver. Given outstanding letters of credit totalling $75 million the company has $30.6 million available on the facilities, representing a utilization rate of 40%.

Investors should be satisfied with this low utilization rate, as it allows the company to draw on its revolvers to fuel future growth.

Second, one of the company’s largest shareholders sold its position in Aritzia. Berkshire Partners LLC is a Boston private equity firm that received $107 million in exchange for forfeiting all 6,333,653 shares in Aritzia.

This not a concern to me, as private equity firms have a target entrance and exit price that has no bearing on the ability of Aritzia’s share price to continue to grow. Thus, the exit of Berkshire Partners LLC does not change my bullish position.

Third, the company announced the commencement of a normal course issuer bid (NCIB) in July, 2019 which allows it to repurchase and cancel up to 3,624,915 of its subordinate voting shares (5% of the public float).

Despite the company not exercising its right under the NCIB, it did repurchase and cancel $107 million worth of shares from Berkshire Partners LLC.

Foolish takeaway

Investors looking to diversify their portfolio and purchase shares of a company for the long-term should consider buying shares of Aritzia.

The company reports solid financial statements coupled with revenues that are increasing year over year. This is especially impressive given the current state of the retail industry.

Further, the company has a 60% unused revolving credit facility, giving it ample room to draw on it to fuel future growth.

Given the introduction of the NCIB and recent cancellation of $107 million of shares purchase from Berkshire Partners LLC, senior management is sending a strong message that its share price is undervalued.

Fool contributor Chen Liu has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Tech Stocks

2 Technology Stocks With the Kind of Potential That Could Make Millionaires

Two tech stocks with impressive growth trajectories amid elevated volatility are potential millionaire-makers.

Read more »

a man celebrates his good fortune with a disco ball and confetti
Dividend Stocks

Where Will Enbridge Stock Be in 3 Years?

Enbridge stock has raised its dividend for 31 straight years. With a $39B project backlog and 5% growth ahead, here's…

Read more »

Train cars pass over trestle bridge in the mountains
Dividend Stocks

Why the Market May Be too Quick to Write Off These Railway and Telecom Stocks

Discover why the railway and telecom markets are experiencing significant declines and what it means for investors and value growth.

Read more »

Lights glow in a cityscape at night.
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks I’d Buy Today and Feel Good Holding for at Least 5 Years

Want dividend income that will last for the five years to come? These two dividend stocks are leaders in Canada.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Dividend Stocks Yielding 4% That Appear to Have the Goods to Back It Up

These Canadian dividend stocks are dependable investments, offer attractive yield of over 4%, and are backed by solid businesses.

Read more »

Investor reading the newspaper
Dividend Stocks

A 3.9% Dividend Stock That Looks Safer Than It Seems

Transcontinental just reshaped its business with a $2.1 billion sale, and that cash could make its dividend look safer than…

Read more »

Young adult concentrates on laptop screen
Retirement

What the Typical 25-Year-Old Canadian Has Saved in a TFSA and RRSP

If you are around 25-years of age, here are some ideas on how to use both your RRSP and TFSA…

Read more »

infrastructure like highways enables economic growth
Energy Stocks

This Canadian Stock Could Rule Them All in 2026

Canadian Natural Resources just posted record production and 26 straight years of dividend hikes. Here's why CNQ stock could dominate…

Read more »