January 2020: Could This 1 Stock Make a Bullish Run?

New Look Vision Group Inc is trading below its intrinsic value. Here is why you should add it to your TFSA or RRSP.

New Look (TSX:BCI) is involved in the eye care industry in Canada. It is an operator of retail stores in Canada that offer eye care products and services. The network consists of corporately owned eye care stores in Quebec, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Labrador, Ontario, PEI, Saskatchewan, and BC.

The company reports a market capitalization of $501 million with a 52-week high of $25.40 and a 52-week low of $26.01.

Intrinsic price

Based on my calculations, using a discounted cash flow valuation model, I determined that New Look has an intrinsic value of $34.57 per share. Assuming less-than-average industry growth, the intrinsic value would be $30.83 per share, and higher-than-average industry growth would result in an intrinsic value of $39.28 per share.

At the current share price of $32, I believe New Look is slightly undervalued. Investors looking to add a retail company to their TFSA or RRSP should consider buying shares of New Look. I would recommend investors follow the share into 2020 as a bearish market could mean buying shares of New Look at a discount.

New Look has an enterprise value of $704 million, which represents the theoretical price a buyer would pay for all of New Look’s outstanding shares plus its debt. One of the good things about New Look is its leverage, with debt at 24% of total capital versus equity at 76% of total capital.

Financial highlights

For the nine months ended September 28, 2019, the company reported a strong balance sheet with $16 million in positive retained earnings (up from $10.5 million as at December 29, 2018). This is good news for investors as positive retained earnings indicate more years of cumulative net income than net loss which the company reinvested into itself.

Overall revenues are up from $220 million in 2018 to $224 million in 2019 (+2%). Given that inventories increased from $30 million to $35 million, it is clear that senior management anticipates increased sales in the coming years.

Pre-tax net income increased sharply from $16 million in 2018 to $20 million in 2019 (+23%).

Management remains committed to reducing its debt as indicated by a $12 million pay down of its revolving facility and a $7 million pay down of its acquisition term facility. This is offset by a $9.3 million draw on its revolving facility.

The company reported a $4.1 million outflow with regards to a strategic relationship with Topology Eyewear, which is a San Francisco company specializing in bespoke eyewear.

As an added bonus, the company pays a quarterly dividend of $0.15, which results in a dividend yield of 1.88%. Although it is nothing to jump up and down at, it allows investors to benefit from passive income as well.

Foolish takeaway

Investors looking to buy shares of a retail company should look into buying shares of New Look. With its rock solid financials, and a management team that is committed to reducing debt, New Look is well positioned to continue to grow while managing the ebbs and flows of the economy. Fellow fool Nelson Smith begs to differ.

At its current share price of $32, compared to its intrinsic value of $34.57, I believe the company is undervalued. With bearish sentiment going into 2020, I would advise interested investors to wait and follow the stock to find the appropriate time to buy in.

Fool contributor Chen Liu has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Tech Stocks

2 Technology Stocks With the Kind of Potential That Could Make Millionaires

Two tech stocks with impressive growth trajectories amid elevated volatility are potential millionaire-makers.

Read more »

a man celebrates his good fortune with a disco ball and confetti
Dividend Stocks

Where Will Enbridge Stock Be in 3 Years?

Enbridge stock has raised its dividend for 31 straight years. With a $39B project backlog and 5% growth ahead, here's…

Read more »

Train cars pass over trestle bridge in the mountains
Dividend Stocks

Why the Market May Be too Quick to Write Off These Railway and Telecom Stocks

Discover why the railway and telecom markets are experiencing significant declines and what it means for investors and value growth.

Read more »

Lights glow in a cityscape at night.
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks I’d Buy Today and Feel Good Holding for at Least 5 Years

Want dividend income that will last for the five years to come? These two dividend stocks are leaders in Canada.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Dividend Stocks Yielding 4% That Appear to Have the Goods to Back It Up

These Canadian dividend stocks are dependable investments, offer attractive yield of over 4%, and are backed by solid businesses.

Read more »

Investor reading the newspaper
Dividend Stocks

A 3.9% Dividend Stock That Looks Safer Than It Seems

Transcontinental just reshaped its business with a $2.1 billion sale, and that cash could make its dividend look safer than…

Read more »

Young adult concentrates on laptop screen
Retirement

What the Typical 25-Year-Old Canadian Has Saved in a TFSA and RRSP

If you are around 25-years of age, here are some ideas on how to use both your RRSP and TFSA…

Read more »

infrastructure like highways enables economic growth
Energy Stocks

This Canadian Stock Could Rule Them All in 2026

Canadian Natural Resources just posted record production and 26 straight years of dividend hikes. Here's why CNQ stock could dominate…

Read more »